Birdbean Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2016 snowstorm anniversary, only snow we had that winter if I remember correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 39 minutes ago, Superstorm said: . I would burn down central market if this came to fruition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 35 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol 1.1 inch in Williamsport? Omg... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 20 minutes ago, Birdbean said: 2016 snowstorm anniversary, only snow we had that winter if I remember correctly. This was my grid forecast as of 10 am January 22, 2016. Turns out it was an epic, historic “bust” - I doubled what their high end forecast called for lol. The NAM completely nailed that storm, it was wild. This is going to sound weird but it was actually too much snow. I hope to never see 30” again in one 24 hour window again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The @Itstrainingtime storm for next weekend is alive & well on the 18z GFS! Here is the CTP close up…Lancaster county bullseye. Apparently I need to keep bumping this map until the 0z runs…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Here’s the 24hr snowfall version of that snowmap. Next.. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Here’s the 24hr snowfall version of that snowmap. Next.. lol. 3 hrs to a different bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 35 minutes ago, canderson said: This was my grid forecast as of 10 am January 22, 2016. Turns out it was an epic, historic “bust” - I doubled what their high end forecast called for lol. The NAM completely nailed that storm, it was wild. This is going to sound weird but it was actually too much snow. I hope to never see 30” again in one 24 hour window again. This was one of the worst storms that I've ever been through lol. I got 4 or 5 inches of light pixie dust over hours while areas 50 miles to my south got a foot and a half. I'll gladly take your 30 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Paw Paw Gypped Not much else to root for in Paw Paw. Pillow doing much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 54 minutes ago, canderson said: I would burn down central market if this came to fruition You and Sauss would have to come head to head then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Not much else to root for in Paw Paw. Pillow doing much better. Just the lemonade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Just the lemonade With the amazing Amazon "still cold 48 hours later" delivery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: With the amazing Amazon "still cold 48 hours later" delivery. It’s good stuff. Just a little pricey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The @Itstrainingtime storm for next weekend is alive & well on the 18z GFS! Here is the CTP close up…Lancaster county bullseye. The storm lasts this run for more than 24 hours…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 How much for Shady Maple? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: How much for Shady Maple? Didn’t it close? I read one for those (gross) buffets closed. I thought one good thing would come from Covid - death to buffets. Alas not even a deadly pandemic can kill those damn things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, canderson said: Didn’t it close? I read one for those (gross) buffets closed. I thought one good thing would come from Covid - death to buffets. Alas not even a deadly pandemic can kill those damn things. I did not know it closed. If so, bad joke on my part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I did not know it closed. If so, bad joke on my part. Ah it was Good N Plenty that closed. Good N Riddance imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Rip Meatloaf. Lots of people quote 2 out of 3 ain't bad here, so thought he should get a nod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 27 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Rip Meatloaf. Lots of people quote 2 out of 3 ain't bad here, so thought he should get a nod. Louis Anderson died the same day. You can’t convince me it was the same person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 32 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nice shift for the day 6/7 threat Here was the comparison between the 18z and the 12z. This things only beginning to materialize by the 144hr timeframe which is as far out as the 18z Euro EPS and control goes. 18z 12z I’m intrigued by the timeframe to be sure but I’m not jumping gung ho on this threat until I see some more consistency on the operational guidance and ensemble guidance to start reeling the mean back towards the coast line. Ensembles have been seeing it to a degree but everything (GEFS, Euro EPS, CMC ens) is generally way to far out to sea to have us in the game for anything. Still pretty far out in range though, like I mentioned I think yesterday the storm last week really didn’t start showing consistently until it was around D5-6 and the pattern also makes it hard to see threats even in the medium range with the progression and lots of moving parts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, canderson said: Louis Anderson died the same day. You can’t convince me it was the same person. Rocky Horror is the convincer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 hours ago, canderson said: This was my grid forecast as of 10 am January 22, 2016. Turns out it was an epic, historic “bust” - I doubled what their high end forecast called for lol. The NAM completely nailed that storm, it was wild. This is going to sound weird but it was actually too much snow. I hope to never see 30” again in one 24 hour window again. I had a Hazleton to Weyer's Cave VA run the Monday after that storm. I ran down I-81 of course and ran through Martinsburg, WV where they had over 40 inches. The three lane interstate was barely open one lane in spots. I have a video on YouTube of my trip that day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I thought the GFS looked...interesting. How much will I lose from that amount during the next hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 27 minutes ago, Voyager said: I had a Hazleton to Weyer's Cave VA run the Monday after that storm. I ran down I-81 of course and ran through Martinsburg, WV where they had over 40 inches. The three lane interstate was barely open one lane in spots. I have a video on YouTube of my trip that day. I remember that video vividly actually. It was a fun one. Your excitement over our pain after shoveling all that was fun lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Looks like the winners of the 0z version of the GFS snowstorm sweepstakes is the southern New England gang. Extreme eastern LI and Connecticut, all of RI and eastern Mass get rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Voyager said: I had a Hazleton to Weyer's Cave VA run the Monday after that storm. I ran down I-81 of course and ran through Martinsburg, WV where they had over 40 inches. The three lane interstate was barely open one lane in spots. I have a video on YouTube of my trip that day. 47 minutes ago, canderson said: I remember that video vividly actually. It was a fun one. Your excitement over our pain after shoveling all that was fun lol. For those who haven't seen it, here it is... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 hours ago, Voyager said: For those who haven't seen it, here it is... Cool vid bro enjoyed it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Here is the CTP Expected snow for the Clipper today. Here is their forecast for Harrisburg. Today Light snow likely, mainly between 1pm and 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tonight A chance of light snow, mainly before 9pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 15. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Here is CTP forecast discussion on the Clipper today. NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Focus later today remains on approaching Alberta Clipper, which is progged to track east along the Mason Dixon Line between 22Z-04Z. Typical of clippers, this system will lack significant moisture, so expect its associated shield of warm advection snow to be light. However, model time sections support fairly high snow/water ratios, with maximum lift occurring within the dendritic growth zone. Latest mean WPC snow/water ratios are near 18/1. RAP 850-700mb fgen fields, which correlate well with the heaviest snow currently falling over the midwest, indicate the corridor of steadiest snow will fall along the I-80 corridor this afternoon into early evening. Latest HREF mean qpf in this region is around 0.1 inches, supporting a band of around 2 inches of snow along I-80. Orographic enhancement is likely to result in amounts around 3 inches along the spine of the Appalachians, but don`t think coverage supports an advisory. Elsewhere, weaker forcing is indicated over the Lower Susq Valley, where POPs are significantly lower and any snow accums will likely be limited to a dusting. As for timing, near term model guidance indicates the light snow will develop first across the northwest mountains during the late morning hours, then rapidly overspread much of central Pa during the early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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