CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Here in Carlisle at 11:00pm...the temperature has risen another 2.5 degrees over the past hour and has just reached 30.0. Pressure continuing its rapid decline, now reading 29.48" or 998 millibars and is falling at a rate of 0.11"/hr which is the same rate it's been falling at for the past 4 hours! Not much sleet is falling now. Primarily light freezing rain, which won't be freezing anymore if the rate of 4.5 degrees per hour increase continues for another half-hour. My guess is that it starts to slow down soon. The first gusts of wind have just rattled the house...just 10mph but they've been calm the whole night up until now. I'll be staying up for one more hourly ob at midnight then it's lights out until morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Heavy rain blowing up against the windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Up to 28 here. Hrrr has the eastern lsv getting into the 40's briefly before pulling in colder air on the back side of the low. No sun should limit the pack damage. That heavy rain though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 31 now pretty heavy mix/sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Man, this rain and wind is nuts. Pretty sure I just saw a flash of lightning… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 13 minutes ago, anotherman said: Heavy rain blowing up against the windows. Pouring rain here. Quarter inch of liquid so far. 35 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Big Ben"s final drive? Should have pulled him out during that drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Should have pulled him out during that drive. Torn between getting one more TD I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 32 minutes ago, canderson said: Didn’t have that on my bingo card tonight. That line could be the mechanism I mentioned yesterday that would be needed to tap the high low level winds and provide some semblance of the high surface wind gusts that models like the GFS have been showing a lot leading up to this. Will have to keep an eye on it the next couple hours to see what sneaks up into the LSV. Specifically this portion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 High gust so far was 40 mph around 830pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Precip has shut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: High gust so far was 40 mph around 830pm. Chambersburg has sustained at 32 and gusts to 44. I’m at 16/28. Surprised at that difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Chambersburg has sister at 32 and gusts to 44. I’m at 16/28. Surprised at that difference. It's really blowing here. We are almost into the dry slot near the low. Sustained is around 30 here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 It’s pouring rain. It was 6 this morning. Weather can be a bitch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's really blowing here. We are almost into the dry slot near the low. Sustained is around 30 here as well. 8.1”. That’s the highest I’ve seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just minutes away from hitting 32.0. It's 31.8 degrees now with light freezing rain. Meanwhile, the pressure continues to crater at even a greater speed now. Reading 29.37" or 995 millibars and falling at a rate of 0.14" per hour. A true bomb getting closer and closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just minutes away from hitting 32.0. It's 31.8 degrees now with light freezing rain. Meanwhile, the pressure continues to crater at even a greater speed now. Reading 29.37" or 995 millibars and falling at a rate of 0.14" per hour. A true bomb getting closer and closer.At 990 mb here and still falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 CTP did hoist wind products (advisory for 15-25 gusts to 50mph) for good portion of the area in the wake of the system tomorrow and incorporated wind impact into the ongoing warning in the Laurel’s. Also didn’t completely rule out needing a blizzard warning there tomorrow either. Per short term portion of the discussion: Quote Strong gradient in wake of departing low and a strong isallobaric couplet noted in model data Monday, particularly across the southwest part of the forecast area. Bufkit soundings in this part of the state support gusts in excess of 40kts, so have hoisted a wind advisory and incorporated the winds into the WSW over the Laurels. These winds should produce considerable blowing/drifting across the Alleghenies with locally poor visibilities on Monday. Not convinced that there will be frequent 1/4sm visibilities because the snow will be much lighter Monday. However, wouldn`t rule out the possibility of needing to upgrade to a blizzard warning over the Laurel Highlands Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: 8.1”. That’s the highest I’ve seen Thanks, makes me feel a bit better. Just up the hill from me. Surprised they are that high but if they held snow for an extra 30-45 min, that would have given them 1-2 more" at the rate it was coming down. It was sleeting so hard that I had to do my driveway again to get it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just had another gust to 40. Coming out of the East and hitting a different side of the house, than normal, is making for some strange and unsettling sounds. Really surprised we still have power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks, makes me feel a bit better. Just up the hill from me. Surprised they are that high but if they held snow for an extra 30-45 min, that would have given them 1-2 more" at the rate it was coming down. It was sleeting so hard that I had to do my driveway again to get it off. That surprises me a bit but depending where it was measured, you’re approaching 1600ft. Only thing higher would be back pen mar to high rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Also, here was a snow pic right at the sleet transition a bit ago. There actually had been some half decent drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Just had another gust to 40. Coming out of the East and hitting a different side of the house, than normal, is making for some strange and unsettling sounds. Really surprised we still have power. Dulles had a gust to 58 at airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Just had another gust to 40. Coming out of the East and hitting a different side of the house, than normal, is making for some strange and unsettling sounds. Really surprised we still have power. That me with NW winds. East / South / due west isn’t as bad / scary. String NW ones hit the bedroom corner and yes I can’t sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Dulles had a gust to 58 at airport Surprised it has been so bad tonight. On the snow thing, those one or two 3" measurements in Waynesboro are a bit suspect. Wonder if they corrected that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 At 11:58pm in Carlisle, the temperature has reached 32.0 which will be the high for the day. The pressure is down to 29.34" or 994 millibars and is falling at a rate of 0.14" / hour. Just 24 hours ago the pressure was a full one inch of Hg higher at 30.40". An amazing drop in pressure and an amazing rise in temperature all within the one day of January 16, 2022. I'll be back in the morning with the precip summary for the 16th. I'm exhausted...lol. PS>>>Now that it just hit 32.2 degrees I can say that plain rain is falling lightly. NWS is forecasting me to reach 37 degrees by 1 am. That prediction I do not believe is going to come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Surprised it has been so bad tonight. On the snow thing, those one or two 3" measurements in Waynesboro are a bit suspect. Wonder if they corrected that? I ended up with 3.2”, Thurmont had about the same, so it’s hard to say. Can prob get a better picture when pns gets updated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just browsed some other forums and saw mention that it is sleeting in Erie. Prop's to the app running former primary for putting its mark on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I ended up with 3.2”, Thurmont had about the same, so it’s hard to say. Can prob get a better picture when pns gets updated. That is crazy low for you but reminds me of the model runs with 5 different levels of accums over Adams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Just browsed some other forums and saw mention that it is sleeting in Erie. Prop's to the app running former primary for putting its mark on this one. The nam kinda nailed that extreme warm surge. The euro … failed. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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