canderson Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Is the wind going to relax tomorrow at all before picking back up Monday Tomorrow will be pretty calm. Sunday’s overnight won’t be too gusty, just in the mid 20s. Monday and Monday night is the brunt - gusts nearing 50. Not sure why there isn’t a wind advisory out yet, it’s usually 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: Tomorrow will be pretty calm. Sunday’s overnight won’t be too gusty, just in the mid 20s. Monday and Monday night is the brunt - gusts nearing 50. Not sure why there isn’t a wind advisory out yet, it’s usually 36 hours. Thank you. That’s what I thought, it would ramp up Monday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nam 3k rolling in. Rain in central WV stands out. Lots of green at 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NAM appears to be a flat out tropical rain storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Lots of green at 30 LSV only has 3 to 4 hours of snow. Frz around 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: LSV only has 3 to 4 hours of snow. Frz around 7pm. I get the eye this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, canderson said: NAM appears to be a flat out tropical rain storm lol Tons of rain? Thermal issues all the way to Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I get the eye this run Caledonia....cashtown....6 of one, half a dozen of another. Both start with C. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I get the eye this run Fyi, I am looking at the 3k. So some slight differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Lots of taint even in Pitt though they still look to get deform when column crashes. (3k) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, canderson said: NAM appears to be a flat out tropical rain storm lol And for reference the Deform band on the HRRR set up right over Pittsburgh essentially, and on the NAM it is like almost from Dayton to Cleveland. Just a casual 200 mile difference 24 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Fyi, I am looking at the 3k. So some slight differences. 978 low (28.88in) ne pa. Going to be some low pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: 978 low (28.88in) ne pa. Going to be some low pressure Plain rain to Canadian border on 3k. Snow in Salisbury MD at 6am Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Plain rain to Canadian border on 3k. Snow in Salisbury MD at 6am Monday. Precursor for their MECS next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Temp down to 11.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Precursor for their MECS next weekend. Rouzerville gets almost as much snow from the deform band, on monday, as the Sunday thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Precursor for their MECS next weekend. Correction good Sir… the next one is ours! It is sitting right where we want it at that range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Rouzerville gets almost as much snow from the deform band, on monday, as the Sunday thump. Interesting, I didn't see that. Something to watch for while I'm in the mid 40s. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Interesting, I didn't see that. Something to watch for while I'm in the mid 40s. LOL On the 3k. 1/2" on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Where have our old fashioned winters, when watching the nam meant tempering expectations, have gone? The nam is the new Dr no. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The precip in the southeast currently is impressive! The earlier start time on the HRRR might be accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Temp down to 11.3 still 15 im about to kick my thermometer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Mercy rule in Buffalo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: A little bit of a disconnect between weather offices CTP and LWX as it pertains to wind . Thurmont in northern Frederick county Md near the M/D line has wording of 50 mph winds tomorrow evening but Gettysburg, Pa in Adams county says gusts to 22 mph only 15 miles away lol And I have a winter storm warning a few hundred feet to the south of my back door. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Following this is just straight confusion...this storm needs to stop being bipolar on the models. Also currently sitting at 14.2F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: And I have a winter storm warning a few hundred feet to the south of my back door. With a southerly wind you should be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: With a southerly wind you should be good. That is some a plus nowcasting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 11 76! Wowzer! I kid you not, we keep our place at 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: 76! Wowzer! I kid you not, we keep out place at 66. I saw that, panicked, and headed for Central AC command center... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: And I have a winter storm warning a few hundred feet to the south of my back door. I just looked at maps down that way, and there's a house on Waldheim Road that is split in half by the state line. Of course I don't know their floor plan, but imagine... Living room is in a Winter Storm Warning and the kitchen just has a Winter Weather Advisory... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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