CarlislePaWx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I do have to chuckle over DT's map. The 11-16" line goes directly over me PLUS the purple means heavy ice accretion. Are those two things both happening?? I'm asking simply based upon his forecast depiction. Also, he'll do his final call tomorrow night which will probably bring major changes. I just can't see him not changing the accumulation distributions. But, what do I know? I only went to his wedding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 At the risk of offending, still worth peeking at the Hrrr for any trends. It is really gung ho on the inland low. Deepening it to 998 in TN. See if it starts to climb off the ledge tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 FYI>>Take a look over to the far right at 3'oclock and notice the pressure of that low out in the ocean. 969 millibars is about as deep as the superstorm ever got. I don't know if its presence downstream is having any effect at all on our setup, but it certainly is an indication of what the atmosphere wants to do with lows, which appears to be bomb them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 If I get 4” snow I’ll be absolutely shocked. And here goes DT thinking we get 10”+. He must have had a lot of lying girlfriends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Hrrr delaying the transfer and has the primary in WV and still deepening at 7pm tomorrow. The coastal has a reflection but not as deep. Hrrr is still advecting warmer 850's into N VA at that point but a different way of handing this convulted solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, canderson said: If I get 4” snow I’ll be absolutely shocked. And here goes DT thinking we get 10”+. He must have had a lot of lying girlfriends. Speaking of DT, Randy (Stormtracker) just posted his 2nd and a quarter call in the MA sub. It's worth a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Speaking of DT, Randy (Stormtracker) just posted his 2nd and a quarter call in the MA sub. It's worth a look. 2-45” is lol - the boobs are a nice touch to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Speaking of DT, Randy (Stormtracker) just posted his 2nd and a quarter call in the MA sub. It's worth a look. Does that mean it is almost half time? How many guesses can DT have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Does that mean it is almost half time? How many guesses can DT have? Unlimited. 1st 1st Call, 2nd 1st Call, 3rd 1st Call.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 All the money this country has and the NAM can only load like it’s running on dial-up? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Amwx hug of death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, TimB84 said: All the money this country has and the NAM can only load like it’s running on dial-up? Hey be fair - all our bridges are close to failing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, canderson said: Hey be fair - all our bridges are close to failing too. Only two actually failed and killed people in recent times that I can think of, so that’s a win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hrrr delaying the transfer and has the primary in WV and still deepening at 7pm tomorrow. The coastal has a reflection but not as deep. Hrrr is still advecting warmer 850's into N VA at that point but a different way of handing this convulted solution. Despite all that it still looked better p-type wise at 48hr on approach than the 18z NAM lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, MAG5035 said: Despite all that it still looked better p-type wise at 48hr on approach than the 18z NAM lol. Lol. Nam has a 997 and 998 low at 48 hours. Doomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, TimB84 said: All the money this country has and the NAM can only load like it’s running on dial-up? But it does look better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: But it does look better? Yes. Very much so IMO. The transfer happens sooner, at least that is what it appears like. edit: never mind. We I’ve and dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Yes. Very much so IMO. The transfer happens sooner, at least that is what it appears like. But that dry slot is kinda big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, TimB84 said: But that dry slot is kinda big. Thats the western low pulling into PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Pitt may still get the deform band when the coastal gains some latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Pitt may still get the deform band when the coastal gains some latitude. Deform band of sleet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 The canderson flash flood watch is being typed up right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, KPITSnow said: Deform band of sleet lol. Once (if) the coastal takes over, the column will cool as long as it stays to your east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Hour 54 is a straight, driving rainstorm here after one inch of snow. What a hot mess this is... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 How much (rain) for Albany? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Deform band is just barely west of Pitt. Lol. Dick move by the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I don’t know much about weather but one I do know: if you are SE of the Appalachian trail in the LSV insurgent warm air NEVER loses. Combined with the trend and it’s pretty dire for snow lovers. If you’re in extreme SE Lanco you prob see no accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much (rain) for Albany? Kyle Elliott (MU) says the changeover to plain rain very well might make it to Watertown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Kyle Elliott (MU) says the changeover to plain rain very well might make it to Watertown. Skiers on MT Washington will be getting pelted by sleet per the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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