Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: Whtm-27 has not changed their snow map from last night. S I guess they feel pretty confident. Yes, I just watched that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS still looks good for most from around I-81 north & west. You think those totals in the central and western part of the state will eventually be expanded east 30 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Whtm-27 has not changed their snow map from last night. S I guess they feel pretty confident. i didn't see what they had said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i didn't see what they had said? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 WHTM looks good to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Ukmet has the best h5 pass out of the globals and crushes west central Pa. Good look.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It’s becoming clear that ice and wind will be the main show, at least for York County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 44 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, I just watched that as well. they are bad at updating maps any time a storm comes or even updating the video forecast on the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, anotherman said: It’s becoming clear that ice and wind will be the main show, at least for York County. well, I have been wondering what for impact the wind/ice will have for Harrisburg area as well. I just have a funny suspicion, after a front end thump, we end with frzn/sleet with wind to top it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 34 minutes ago, Superstorm said: WHTM looks good to me. . Yes & they confirmed that they are confident in the forecast this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, sauss06 said: well, I have been wondering what for impact the wind/ice will have for Harrisburg area as well. I just have a funny suspicion, after a front end thump, we end with frzn/sleet with wind to top it off. If so, it’s great for snow preservation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 29 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Here's the vort pass .^ Probably an outlier but That would defintely be nice. Snow maps on almost everything are remarkably consistent this Am. Big snows about 30-60 min to my west and back from there. It's possible we do not see much change on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If this would stay all snow and those forecasted winds materialize There will be a lot of drifting an possible road closures. Key word if. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, mahantango#1 said: If this would stay all snow and those forecasted winds materialize There will be a lot of drifting an possible road closures. Key word if. As modeled right now, the drifting is probably going to be a non event so your IF is probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 50 minutes ago, Superstorm said: WHTM looks good to me. . I think 10+ for eastern Schuylkill County is a bit of a stretch. I'm thinking about 6 inches tops for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...I'm leaning less snow imby but still think it's too early to predict. By tonight I think mesos start to become useful and definitely by tomorrow 12z .I still think this adjust east in the end but the tug nw is real with the ns energy diving in behind so it could be right with a pass through central Md just unusual. Fine tuning certainly coming up. Just do not see any more runs where there is 1 foot in S/E PA and hardly anything in Western PA so basically agree with your thought. I still think you see 4-8" before cutover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Grid for Adams looking better 5-10” Sunday Snow likely after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 24. Calm wind becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow before 1am, then snow and freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. M.L.King Day A chance of snow before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 50%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Here is the 6z Euro. Very solid front end thump of snow. I really like the position of the low near Norfolk when the heavy batch of precip arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 By the time the low approaches PA and the mixing is on going in the LSV, most of the snow is already on the ground and not much precip left to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 6z Euro. Very solid front end thump of snow. I really like the position of the low near Norfolk when the heavy batch of precip arrives That is a ton of mixed up into Western PA. The Euro must still be driving warm air up way to the west of the "new low". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Here is the 6z Euro snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: That is a ton of mixed up into Western PA. The Euro must still be driving warm air up way to the west of the "new low". I wouldn’t call it a ton, but the final extent & location of the mixing won’t be fully determined until the last 24 hours or during game time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Cloudy and 34 this AM. Low 40's today then deep freeze time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I wouldn’t call it a ton, but the final extent & location of the mixing won’t be fully determined until the last 24 hours or during game time. It’s not a ton, but it’s enough to make people nervous who might get screwed by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I wouldn’t call it a ton, but the final extent & location of the mixing won’t be fully determined until the last 24 hours or during game time. It extends from Central WV up about 1/2 way into PA toward NY. Means the 850 low is probably in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If the low gets to the Chesapeake and then rides up I-95, many in the LSV would end up with less mix & more snow. Let’s see the 12z tracks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: It’s not a ton, but it’s enough to make people nervous who might get screwed by it. Oodles, scads, a lot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If the low gets to the Chesapeake and then rides up I-95, many in the LSV would end up with less mix & more snow. Let’s see the 12z tracks.If the 850 tracks west of us, still changing over even if low is east of us.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: If the 850 tracks west of us, still changing over even if low is east of us. . Pretty much. Just don't use the word Tons to designate an area that is hundreds of miles long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Pretty much. Just don't use the word Tons to designate an area that is hundreds of miles long. Lol… I must need my eyes checked….not seeing it…but whatever. Let’s not go down a bad path in here today over 1 single word choice please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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