Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I just resumed breathing... Now you have to occasionally watch the game tonight. Just in case....otherwise, congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Now you have to occasionally watch the game tonight. Just in case....otherwise, congrats! Yes, thanks. Though nothing "occasional" about tonight. I'll be watching like a hawk. I was just a couple of degrees warmer than most this morning and those few degrees must have meant a lot. I still have a white yard but it's less than 1" of slush left on average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yes, thanks. Though nothing "occasional" about tonight. I'll be watching like a hawk. I was just a couple of degrees warmer than most this morning and those few degrees must have meant a lot. I still have a white yard but it's less than 1" of slush left on average. Today was weird and not "CAD" like at all. I was cooler than you pretty much all day. I do not do CAD well and you usually do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 To the surprise of no one, the 18Z GFS pulled back on its prediction of Hurricane Alex. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 49 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: To the surprise of no one, the 18Z GFS pulled back on its prediction of Hurricane Alex. and gave us this to watch instead. Much more plausible option that has support from CMC. I want a snowcane, but below is just fine w/ me. Ya know the saying....beggars... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 39 minutes ago, pasnownut said: and gave us this to watch instead. Much more plausible option that has support from CMC. I want a snowcane, but below is just fine w/ me. Ya know the saying....beggars... CTP is in for Saturday night snow chance. Saturday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 The 12z major ensembles are all loudly signally a pattern of snow chances. The majority of the snow falls in week two. The GEFS & Euro ensembles both have the 6 inch line near the MD border. The Canadian ensemble has the 6 inch line down towards DC! These maps don’t guarantee snow, but these type of signals on the ensembles usually produce when they ramp up like this! Lots of tracking ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 54 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Its goin snow Blizz Great pattern & great signals! Lots of long tracking days & nights on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 18Z GFS Snow Accum map....who has more through 384? Rouzverville, USA or Abilene, Tx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Well after sitting at 31.6 degrees for more than 4 hours I have finally reached freezing with the temp at 32.2. I'll be very interested in seeing how high the temps get as winds pick up ahead of the front later. Earlier I said I wouldn't be surprised if the temps went up 5 degrees but I wouldn't be shocked if it rose 8 degrees and hit 40 for a very brief amount of time. The 0.15" of ice covering the snow is going to greatly retard any snow melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS Snow Accum map....who has more through 384? Rouzverville, USA or Abilene, Tx? Abilene, has around 3" while you, sadly have 2" over the whole 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 5 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Abilene, has around 3" while you, sadly have 2" over the whole 15 days. Lol…several near misses on phasing on the 18z GFS. There will be plenty of chances in the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Abilene, has around 3" while you, sadly have 2" over the whole 15 days. Rouzerville wins on the 18z GEFS! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Well, I just checked in on Wundermap across all of PA and the good news (if you are hoping for ice/snow retention) is that nearly the entire state is below 40 degrees with one lone station in Perry County showing 41. The area of 40's that was wider across the west and west-central earlier has shrunken considerably. I think any brief warm-up will be muted, at least in duration. But also, very unlikely to rise above the upper 30's before it starts heading back to freezing after a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 19 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Well, I just checked in on Wundermap across all of PA and the good news (if you are hoping for ice/snow retention) is that nearly the entire state is below 40 degrees with one lone station in Perry County showing 41. The area of 40's that was wider across the west and west-central earlier has shrunken considerably. I think any brief warm-up will be muted, at least in duration. But also, very unlikely to rise above the upper 30's before it starts heading back to freezing after a few hours. Looked like a 10 hr window above freezing prior to front passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 37 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol…several near misses on phasing on the 18z GFS. There will be plenty of chances in the next 2 weeks. Lol. Yes, it was a joke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Ramp up has begun. Now up to 33.4. A little bit of wind beginning to stir up the air and allow the warmer air not far up to mix down. >>Edit 2 mins later...temp up to 34.0 and rising rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Ramp up has begun. Now up to 33.4. A little bit of wind beginning to stir up the air and allow the warmer air not far up to mix down. >>Edit 2 mins later...temp up to 34.0 and rising rapidly. Winds beginning to pick up a bit more now. Temp 34.2. 2 Minutes later (9:44) up to 34.9 >>(9:45) 35.2 >>(9:46) 35.6 >>I'm fully expecting 5 degree rise to 37. (9:48) 35.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Winds beginning to pick up a bit more now. Temp 34.2. 2 Minutes later (9:44) up to 34.9 >>(9:45) 35.2 >>(9:46) 35.6 That is the quite the rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That is the quite the rise. I've seen it play out like this many times before. Temp rise is slowing down now >>(9:51) 35.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: I've seen it play out like this many times before. Temp rise is slowing down now >>(9:51) 35.8 Definitely slowing down. Might not hit 37, but at (9:54) 36.0 (+4.0 degree rise in the past 15 minutes) Air beginning to dry just a tad as RH down to 83% with a dew point of 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 25 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: I've seen it play out like this many times before. Temp rise is slowing down now >>(9:51) 35.8 I feel like I expect snow cover to disappear quicker than most on here, but even I'm surprised by how little I have left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I feel like I expect snow cover to disappear quicker than most on here, but even I'm surprised by how little I have left. Were you above freezing for most of the day? That's microclimate for you. The nuances of weather are always surprising. I'm now up to 36.5 and crawling my way up to 37.0 (lol). Only a half degree left for my semi-prediction / expectation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 30 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Were you above freezing for most of the day? That's microclimate for you. The nuances of weather are always surprising. I'm now up to 36.5 and crawling my way up to 37.0 (lol). Only a half degree left for my semi-prediction / expectation. Yesterday’s sun killed a lot of the depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Winds kicked up to the mid 20s along with a temp spike to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 My midnight update for 1/9/22 --- my temperature spike due to winds (which were light < 5mph) peaked out just 0.3 degrees from my expectation of 37.0 with a reading of 36.7 degrees which occurred at 10:47 pm. Icicles began to melt off the shrubs and trees. But, the big news is the snow cover is now encased in a wonderful, thick glaze of ice that's not going anywhere until Wednesday at the earliest. Soon afterwards I noticed breaks in the clouds and my temperature was retreating slowly. At midnight my temp is 35.4 degrees and by dawn I'll be back below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Winds 25 mph above forecast. Gusts to 47. Sustained at 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Not a Pittsburgh fan but man does Tomlin pull off some miracles with what he has at his disposal. Just crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: My midnight update for 1/9/22 --- my temperature spike due to winds (which were light < 5mph) peaked out just 0.3 degrees from my expectation of 37.0 with a reading of 36.7 degrees which occurred at 10:47 pm. Icicles began to melt off the shrubs and trees. But, the big news is the snow cover is now encased in a wonderful, thick glaze of ice that's not going anywhere until Wednesday at the earliest. Soon afterwards I noticed breaks in the clouds and my temperature was retreating slowly. At midnight my temp is 35.4 degrees and by dawn I'll be back below freezing. I only got to 33 and that was @10:00pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Also only got up to 33 here at 9:04pm. Now at 24.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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