Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 9 minutes ago, Voyager said: So I'm sitting here, and 15 minutes ago I looked at my station display and the temperature was 19.6 degrees. Fifteen minutes later and I'm up to 22.8 degrees. I was kind of hoping to hold the teens at least until the precipitation started. Still, that was quite a quick jump. I just scanned some mesos again and all show you getting some frz but not a ton. None for the south part of the lsv and about .1 or less accretion for upper lsv and msv. Will see how we they did later tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 @MAG5035 The 0z Euro & Canadian say to buckle up next weekend up through day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Precip has started. Straight freezing rain, 28ºF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Light Rain/Snow mix here. 27.3º Heavier precip moving in from SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Wow! I did not expect to see the oranges and reds. We are just missing some heavier stuff here in Williamsport and I hope our good luck continues. We are 28 now with wintry mix and won't hit 32 for another 9 hours at 1pm. That little 2" of snow with ice on top may be a big pain. The city never plowed my street, which was a first. I assume other smaller streets didn't get done either. It is hard to believe that last Saturday was New Year's and that the holiday season is finally over. I'm not ready to slip and slide after so many recent days of 40s and 50s but now winter is really here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Woke up to ice storm warning! it's an ice rink out there 29 degrees. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 608 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022 PAZ037-041-042-046-049>053-058-091900- /O.UPG.KCTP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-220109T1900Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.IS.W.0001.220109T1108Z-220109T1900Z/ Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder- Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville 608 AM EST Sun Jan 9 2022 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Significant icing. Ice accumulations of one quarter to one half inch. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 2 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Extremely dangerous travel conditions. Untreated surfaces will be very slippery. Isolated power outages are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as severe winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 We went from predicted up to .1-.25-.5 ice in about a day and a half in Williamsport. I was not expecting an ice warning but we have one now. I sure hope our power stays on. It is rare for us to have an outage but we did lose it for about 14 hours a few years ago and we didn't like it at all. We didn't buy more batteries for the flashlights since then either. Meant to but didn't, isn't that what they all say? 7:30a Update: I feel doomed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 29 here. Had some scattered returns overhead but do not think anything reached the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: @MAG5035 The 0z Euro & Canadian say to buckle up next weekend up through day 10. For the weekend on the euro, a quick cyclogenensis from 994 to 980 in 12 hours then the system has the rug pulled out from it. Unique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- *Significant, locally damaging ice threat through the midday hours across much of the Central and North-Central Mtns of PA and the Middle Susq Valley...preceding an Arctic cold snap. Increased QPF and FZRA accums across a large part of the area from KUNV ENE through KIPT and KSEG based on high res guidance, upstream precip rates and an area of enhanced uvvel/cold cloud tops within the thermally direct circulation of a 110 kt jet max extending from Lake Erie northeast across the St. Lawrence Valley. Upstream rainfall rates of 0.10-0.20" of an inch/hour are aimed directly at the region of expected, longest-duration and coldest sfc air entrenched throughout the Valleys of Central PA and the Mid Susq Region. Increased ice accum to around 0.50" on the ridges AOA 1800 ft MSL east of KUNV through the KIPT area into the Endless Mtns, while the Valley locations should easily see 3-4 tenth of an inch of total ice accum. The region near and to the west of the RT 219 corridor will see minimal additional ice accum as temps are rising several deg above freezing across most locations ATTM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Was quite surprised to see the Ice Storm Warning this morning. There's already a glaze on everything outside that is/wasn't treated. Current temp is 28.2 with light spotty rain at the moment. Radar and future radar indicate that a steadier slug will move in over the next few hours. The big question is are the temps going to hold steady, slowly rise, or quickly rise. Past experience from my own backyard says that we won't see the high end of CTP's quarter to half inch range, as temps generally get to 33 rather quickly (with a few rare exceptions) here for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: If I were an eagles fan, I would simply ask who won a SB more recently. then we get....but who has more. It'll never end....and thats fine. Part of the fun. BTW, I shouldnt have "bragged" about our B team hangin tough...the A team then proceeded to trounce the B's. We are doing far better than expected. I'll take the positives and let things fall where they may. Eagles are playing well, but it will be tough to go deep into playoffs. Green Bay won the superbowl coming into post season at 8-8 so anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, Voyager said: Was quite surprised to see the Ice Storm Warning this morning. There's already a glaze on everything outside that is/wasn't treated. Current temp is 28.2 with light spotty rain at the moment. Radar and future radar indicate that a steadier slug will move in over the next few hours. The big question is are the temps going to hold steady, slowly rise, or quickly rise. Past experience from my own backyard says that we won't see the high end of CTP's quarter to half inch range, as temps generally get to 33 rather quickly (with a few rare exceptions) here for some reason. very icy down this way temp 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Temp already at 32 here this morning, was not expecting that. I assume we’ll drop back down a bit if some precip moves through but all in all not seeing many big issues down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 hours ago, Voyager said: Yes it is. I'm an Eagles fan and my wife is a Cowboys fan. We go back and forth bashing each others team, but it's all in fun, and neither one gets gets angry about it. make sexual favor bets for the games....then it becomes a win win....just sayin 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Temp already at 32 here this morning, was not expecting that. I assume we’ll drop back down a bit if some precip moves through but all in all not seeing many big issues down this way. I didn't expect 28 here this morning, either. Most guidance seemed to be indicting low to perhaps mid 20's at onset of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 29 degrees with light freezing rain. Car tops & sidewalks already are a sheet of ice in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 Still 29 here. Had some drizzle for a bit so elevated areas have a glaze now. The fact that is still below 30 here suggests the SW push of warm air is not overly zealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 21 minutes ago, pasnownut said: then we get....but who has more. It'll never end....and thats fine. Part of the fun. BTW, I shouldnt have "bragged" about our B team hangin tough...the A team then proceeded to trounce the B's. We are doing far better than expected. I'll take the positives and let things fall where they may. Eagles are playing well, but it will be tough to go deep into playoffs. Green Bay won the superbowl coming into post season at 8-8 so anything is possible. Eagles had an amazing second half of the season. They have a decent chance of beating anyone except the Packers. Cannot get down too much as I think your passing game is suspect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 Freezing area below....to the west has caved is about 32. Surprised Lanco has some above freezing temps...as MJS said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: For the weekend on the euro, a quick cyclogenensis from 994 to 980 in 12 hours then the system has the rug pulled out from it. Unique. The 0z Euro storm for next Weekend is a Miller B that redevelops and rapidly strengthens from Norfolk up into far eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z Euro storm for next Weekend is a Miller B that redevelops and rapidly strengthens from Norfolk up into far eastern PA. It then somewhat minors out once getting down in the upper 970's. Strange evolution...very short life span of development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 I forgot about my drone app. It gives a wind and temp profile for flying. As you can see, it's 26 (my wx station says 28) at the surface and doesn't get above 32 until 2,500ft up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Voyager said: I forgot about my drone app. It gives a wind and temp profile for flying. As you can see, it's 26 (my wx station says 28) at the surface and doesn't get above 32 until 2,500ft up. Pretty warm just a few thousand feet up. Guess that is why there is not much sleet. Any snow is totally melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Pretty warm just a few thousand feet up. Guess that is why there is not much sleet. Any snow is totally melting. We've been mixing from time to time here, so we have and ice and pellet buildup on cars and sidewalks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Right on the hairy edge here. Looking at maybe 2 dozen local WU stations, most are 31.x while a few are just over 32. KLNS showing 33.1. My driveway is just wet but the decking is icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 We are starting to get a serious ice build up on everything here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, Voyager said: We've been mixing from time to time here, so we have and ice and pellet buildup on cars and sidewalks. Interesting. Wonder how high the actual clouds/precip are as to starting. Anything in the 38-40 range would melt right there. So how are you getting these readings? You said a drone app...is this estimated info from a model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 26 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It then somewhat minors out once getting down in the upper 970's. Strange evolution...very short life span of development. It weakens after it passes our latitude and drops a good amount of snow over CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 29 with moderate freezing rain in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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