TimB Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 49 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I see the notorious radiational cooling spots of THV and SEG both dropped to 4 last night, much colder than any other official stations in the state. State low that I could find at an airport was at AFJ (Washington, PA), which got down to 2, but that’s more my neck of the woods than yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 35 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12 F low The day 5/6 timeframe is a long shot but there's hints of sw energy trying to go neutral tilt under us and negative too late . Icon gfs and some members have shown a slim potential . Something I'll watch today and tomorrow for trends for a possible sharper stronger sw Seeing your temp observation made me think. I need a two degree low this week. That way I can report it as being 2F(n) cold... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: State low that I could find at an airport was at AFJ (Washington, PA), which got down to 2, but that’s more my neck of the woods than yours. Oh nice thank you for that. I was just going off the roundup of the ASOS/AWOS sites that is released twice a day (see below). I wonder why AFJ isn’t included in that? Is AFJ a notorious cold spot? Relative low elevation spot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Did anyone just see the gfs storm. 30 inch storm up the coast. I use to be Able to post picture but no longer can. Everything I do it’s to big of file size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Did anyone just see the gfs storm. 30 inch storm up the coast. I use to be Able to post picture but no long can. Everything I do it’s to big of file size. Lol, gotcha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 24 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Lol, gotcha . Now that's one even I can root for! It just needs to jackpot an area about 100 miles each side of I-81 instead of the damn I-95 corridor again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: Lol, gotcha . Fringed. No thank you. Next. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Fringed. No thank you. Next. ;-) Lol…me too…! Week 2 is loaded with potential! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Like my granny was fond of saying, “The road to hell is paved with good model runs.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 12z Canadian has a front end snow to mix storm next Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 The 12z Euro has a Clipper turned Miller B type look next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 39 minutes ago, kerplunk said: Like my granny was fond of saying, “The road to hell is paved with good model runs.” She got that saying from Lincoln himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Fringed. No thank you. Next. ;-) This event is also on the Euro control run today in a much more friendly C-PA positioning. Something to see if it sticks when it gets inside D10. Looks like the next event after tomorrow’s icy mess is going to be in the Jan 15-16 timeframe. The overall pattern going forward looks good for the eastern US. I think we’ll eventually be presented with other snow opportunities 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Oh nice thank you for that. I was just going off the roundup of the ASOS/AWOS sites that is released twice a day (see below). I wonder why AFJ isn’t included in that? Is AFJ a notorious cold spot? Relative low elevation spot? I think it’s probably a notorious cold spot for western PA. Perhaps the data is questionable, I’ve never looked into it. PIT got to 6 around 7:30 this morning and several personal weather stations in the area got to the low single digits so I would tend to believe that reading, but it may be a different type of site than your typical airport. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 @Mount Joy Snowman, it looks like AFJ is an AWOS site at 1063 feet, about 20 miles south of PIT as the crow flies. What differentiates AWOS sites that make it onto that list from AWOS sites that don’t? Reliability of data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: This event is also on the Euro control run today in a much more friendly C-PA positioning. Something to see if it sticks when it gets inside D10. Looks like the next event after tomorrow’s icy mess is going to be in the Jan 15-16 timeframe. The overall pattern going forward looks good for the eastern US. I think we’ll eventually be presented with other snow opportunities A shot at two WSW level events (this last one was a bit questionable) over the next 2-3 weeks. Shot meaning potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 19 minutes ago, TimB84 said: @Mount Joy Snowman, it looks like AFJ is an AWOS site at 1063 feet, about 20 miles south of PIT as the crow flies. What differentiates AWOS sites that make it onto that list from AWOS sites that don’t? Reliability of data? I’m not sure that’s a damn good question and was really what caught my attention. Seems like they should be on, no?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: I’m not sure that’s a damn good question and was really what caught my attention. Seems like they should be on, no?? Well, time to contact the NWS again. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Well, time to contact the NWS again. LOL They love it when people from AmWx call to opine. The more calls, the better in their mind. Mention Blizz and they send you a coupon for a free Blizzard (from Dairy Queen). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A shot at two WSW level events (this last one was a bit questionable) over the next 2-3 weeks. Shot meaning potential. Guaranteed the week of the 15th Book it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8, 2022 Author Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Guaranteed the week of the 15th Book it! That is like a double guarantee. Book it AND guarantee. Will need to keep the runway clear for your flight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Well, time to contact the NWS again. LOL Haha yes my thoughts exactly! Perhaps I’ll send them a strongly worded tweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Temps in the low-mid 20s with initial arrival of freezing rain late tonight around here, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Geez, the pattern looks pretty ripe the week of the 16th. Still out there but if something noteworthy is going to pop, that sure looks like a good time for it. Potentially a big dog out there, which I honestly had written off for this winter. Intrigued...and as of now, nothing more. 25 degrees. Top of grass visible in most sunny areas now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Just now, MAG5035 said: Temps in the low-mid 20s with initial arrival of freezing rain late tonight around here, ugh. Early into midday Sunday looks ugly for a lot of our area. Just not sure if we'll have any precip down here until after we warm up. Wouldn't be the worst thing to miss out on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Geez, the pattern looks pretty ripe the week of the 16th. Still out there but if something noteworthy is going to pop, that sure looks like a good time for it. Potentially a big dog out there, which I honestly had written off for this winter. Intrigued...and as of now, nothing more. 25 degrees. Top of grass visible in most sunny areas now. Quite a bit of melting today despite a high of 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 I topped out at 28 today. Shaded areas still have a nice full pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 2 hours ago, canderson said: She got that saying from Lincoln himself. Could be, but she always claimed that’s what Alfred Wegener used to whisper in her ear when he was bangin her. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 I gotta drive a long way around 5:30 tomorrow morning right when the freezing rain starts. Not looking forward to it. Hopefully it starts later driving in that always makes me so nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: That is like a double guarantee. Book it AND guarantee. Will need to keep the runway clear for your flight. Haha! Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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