paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Festus said: WWA issued for Adams, York and Lancaster. 2 - 4". Good stuff Lebanon County on the verge of Winter Storm Watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: They went all in Maybe only those with plowable snows get a colored county? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Maybe only those with plowable snows get a colored county? Guess you’ll have to drive to get the purple. I’m guessing this is the most confident counties for now and will add more tomorrow if models hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Maybe only those with plowable snows get a colored county? I left out the part where Millersville thinks that Franklin county gets 8" and Palmyra gets <1" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I left out the part where Millersville thinks that Franklin county gets 8" and Palmyra gets <1" What! Come on. Play nice with Palmyra 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I left out the part where Millersville thinks that Franklin county gets 8" and Palmyra gets <1" The higher elevations of Lebanon get 8" as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Guess you’ll have to drive to get the purple. I’m guessing this is the most confident counties for now and will add more tomorrow if models hold Snow map would suggest more purple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: The higher elevations of Lebanon get 8" as well. Yes. And Palmyra still gets <1" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Guess you’ll have to drive to get the purple. I’m guessing this is the most confident counties for now and will add more tomorrow if models hold @CarlislePaWx and @mahantango#1are probably pounding out strongly worded posts in disagreement with the picking and choosing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 The Majestic city of Maytown likely to get T-storms tomorrow night into Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 CTP AFD Confidence has increased sufficiently for Advisory issuances for parts of the Laurel Highlands (Somerset County) and the Lower Susq River Valley (Adams, York and Lancaster Counties), where 2 to 4 inches of snow is increasingly likely. Advisories may be expanded to include parts of the SC Mountains with a slight northward wag of the steadiest steadiest snow, but for now 1 to 2 inches appear likely across most of central PA south of I-80, with a coating to 1 inch likely over the north, through Friday morning. Even outside of headlines, the widespread light snow could lead to slippery travel into the Friday morning commute. As the precip moves closer to the near term range, HRRR and RAP models are indicating a slightly earlier onset time around late afternoon across the Laurel Highlands/southwest Alleghenies with snow expanding northeast to the I-80 corridor around 00Z/7PM. Expect period of accumulating snow from Thursday evening through Thursday night. The latest HRRR/RAP suggest the northern tier of CPA could see very little to no snow with a sharp northern precip gradient; while also showing some potential for moderate snowfall rates along the PA/MD border btwn 00-06Z Fri. Temps trend colder Thursday night with fcst minTs in the 15-25F range by daybreak Friday. Winds/gusts from the WNW should also be increasing into Friday morning with +single digit wind chills over the western Alleghenies. Synoptic snow should transition to lake effect snow showers Friday morning. Expect LES to last into Friday night with light to potentially moderate snow accumulation in the favored NW snowbelt. We were keen to increase POPs above NBM in the NW mtns, but later shifts may need to bump up snowfall amounts. Friday will be blustery with 25-35mph wind gusts and below normal highs trending 5 to 10F colder vs. Thursday. Lows will drop into the teens Friday night with winds subsiding by AM Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: The Majestic city of Maytown likely to get T-storms tomorrow night into Friday. I'm okay with that. Especially if they're training. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Damn you bub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Damn you bub You get full props, you posted the entire text. Cash for the win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Damn you bub I deleted mine. It was embarrassing enough for them already suggesting any model shows Franklin county gets less snow than Adams. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I deleted mine. It was embarrassing enough already suggesting any model shows Franklin count gets less snow than Adam. LOL That was classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Man it is just going to feel good to watch and put snow in the book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm okay with that. Especially if they're training. Thundersnow! Wow, congrats training. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Frederick snd Washington counties 2-4” with isolated 6” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Frederick snd Washington counties 2-4” with isolated 6” That Matches the 18Z HRRR. Starting around 4:30 tomorrow. Snow must hit a wall when it passes Ringold and Cascade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 @paweather AccuWeather is calling for 1-2" in Palmyra tomorrow night.. ...and only a "Coating to 1" for Maytown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: @paweather AccuWeather is calling for 1-2" in Palmyra tomorrow night.. ...and only a "Coating to 1" for Maytown. Exactly we have got to get more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 HRRR does have a snow hole (lesser amounts) in N VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That Matches the 18Z HRRR. Starting around 4:30 tomorrow. Snow must hit a wall when it passes Ringold and Cascade. HRRR is going to BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, paweather said: HRRR is going to BOOM! It already did on Pivotal. Just a loud clap though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It already did on Pivotal. Just a loud clap though. It only goes out to 18 hours on TT does it go out further on Pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2022 Author Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, paweather said: It only goes out to 18 hours on TT does it go out further on Pivot 0, 6, 12 and 18Z HRRR goes to 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: 0, 6, 12 and 18Z HRRR goes to 48. Yeah went to look since I am now a member Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 Point and click for everyone's favorite capitol says 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 5, 2022 Share Posted January 5, 2022 32 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @CarlislePaWx and @mahantango#1are probably pounding out strongly worded posts in disagreement with the picking and choosing. This isn't the first time I've been one county away for an advisory. I'm not going to quibble over 2-4 20 miles south of me and 1-3 up here. I'm hoping for 2" with anything more a bonus. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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