pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Wmsptwx said: Part of me hopes Richmond gets it and DC gets 2-4 lol they’ll lose their minds. But DT is almost as bad as the rest of the MA crew combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 The DP, on the Nam, goes from the mid 20's at midnight to the mid teens mid Monday morning...near the M/D line. Not a recipe for snow when the 2M temps are in the upper 20s mid morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The DP, on the Nam, goes from the mid 20's at midnight to the mid teens mid Monday morning...near the M/D line. Not a recipe for snow when the 2M temps are in the upper 20s mid morning. That just gives the column room to cool and suppress worries of mixing that was brought up this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Antonio Brown really hated the 18Z Nam. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: That just gives the column room to cool and suppress worries of mixing that was brought up this morning. A 13 degree difference in DP and temp is pretty dry when at the edge of a precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Rgem still in the GFS and Euro camp with a SLP position a good hundred miles north of the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Rgem still in the GFS and Euro camp with a SLP position a good hundred miles north of the Nam. This map lines up pretty well with CTP's snow map (for our area) unless they've updated it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: This map lines up pretty well with CTP's snow map (for our area) unless they've updated it. 18Z GFS not far from it. Large drop in accums in N MD but I would not complain about getting a nice whitening. 1-2" for much of the LSV. Southern 2/3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS not far from it. Large drop in accums in N MD but I would not complain about getting a nice whitening. 1-2" for much of the LSV. Southern 2/3. Better for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Better for us. I would be happy with that. I know paweather will not be so I feel bad about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Here is another view of the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I would be happy with that. I know paweather will not be so I feel bad about that. Not much else to do but let the dice fall and see where bands set up. There’s always surprises in every storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Still setting my bar at a few hours of snow be it light or whatever. If it coats the ground all the better. Congrats M/D line and below. Hoping late week holds and we get ours thurs night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I like the expanse of the precip shield. Usually there is a second good band well north of the main precip shield. Maybe someone in the LSV gets a little surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Not much else to do but let the dice fall and see where bands set up. There’s always surprises in every storm For us all to be chatting this event up is already a win IMO. 5 days ago I said to keep an eye on it hoping it would ride the boundary like it should…and it is. Hoping we get more chances to reel a few more cleaner storms in. It’s refreshing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: For us all to be chatting this event up is already a win IMO. 5 days ago I said to keep an eye on it hoping it would ride the boundary like it should…and it is. Hoping we get more chances to reel a few more cleaner storms in. It’s refreshing. Very true. Some actual cold air and tracking is a big change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Here Is a zoomed in 18z GFS snow map for most of CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here Is a zoomed in 18z GFS snow map for most of CTP. Way too close to give up as in warning snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Late week system back.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Superstorm said: Late week system back. . Baby steps...get it back to the other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Late week system back. . It was never gone.,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It was never gone.,. Other models had it at some form but GFS did lose for a run or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Watching the Short Term mesos for trends and am seeing a common theme for S/E LSV. Looking good IMO for Central and Southern Adams/York/Lancaster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Watching the Short Term mesos for trends and am seeing a common theme for S/E LSV. Looking good IMO for Central and Southern Adams/York/Lancaster I usually like to get in the precip shield, even if on the northern fringe like in this case, & then take my chances that banding may over perform in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That radar still looks north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, paweather said: That radar still looks north I’ve been radar hallucinating as well… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 45 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Better for us. Haha that partial post above the post with the snow map… I see two trends in that screen capture lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Haha that partial post above the post with the snow map… I see two trends in that screen capture lol. I’ll crop that better next time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The latest SREF is a step back from the run earlier today, but it still gets Advisory snow to the LSV tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 40 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It was never gone.,. While technically correct....12z was far from inspiring....and to me....the word poof came to mind. Glad 18z took a shot of vodka and straightened out a bit. I could stare at the loop of the 12z CMC for a long time before i get bored of looking at it. Thats how to run a snowstorm round these parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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