Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Late week has looked good on Every model & ensemble on & off the last few days. We are in good shape for Thursday night. The 12z Canadian looks great for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Clouds, a few peeks of sun, and 58 here. Sure feels good outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Clouds, a few peeks of sun, and 58 here. Sure feels good outside! 59 here with clouds & sun. Took a little family New Years hike this morning & it felt like April! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Hopefully this front stalls just south of the LSV to give the storm a nice boundary to run up tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 MU's Director Of Meteorology isn't too enthused for tomorrow: (quoted below - and this is specific to Lanco) Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: 59 here with clouds & sun. Took a little family New Years hike this morning & it felt like April! It's really nice outside. Just got back from an awesome walk along the river! Here is what MU's director of Meteorology was saying last evening about tomorrow: "Right now, a probabilistic snowfall forecast for LanCo. is the most prudent approach:60%: Trace or less30%: Coating - 1 inch10%: >1 inchI expect the highest totals across southern MD, northern VA and the Eastern Shore, where up to 6-8" could fall in a narrow band" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 MU's Director Of Meteorology isn't too enthused for tomorrow: (quoted below - and this is specific to Lanco) It's really nice outside. Just got back from an awesome walk along the river! Here is what MU's director of Meteorology was saying last evening about tomorrow: "Right now, a probabilistic snowfall forecast for LanCo. is the most prudent approach:60%: Trace or less30%: Coating - 1 inch10%: >1 inchI expect the highest totals across southern MD, northern VA and the Eastern Shore, where up to 6-8" could fall in a narrow band"Haha he is never enthused. But it makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, anotherman said: Haha he is never enthused. But it makes sense. If one always took the negative route to snow possibilities, they would be right far more than wrong...in an average winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If one always took the negative route to snow possibilities, they would be right far more than wrong...in an average winter. This is my outlook on life, in general. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: Haha he is never enthused. But it makes sense. This is his first storm to forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 @paweather, get your Euro F5 key pressing...refresh, refresh, refresh, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Hopefully this front stalls just south of the LSV to give the storm a nice boundary to run up tonight. Blizz let’s do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Still in the low to mid 40's as we go into night (Euro). SLP is slightly north at 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 VERY slight tick north in shield at 24 (for PA Concerns) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Total qpf for Cashtown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro playing catch-up with GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That was another noticeable bump north. 4" line at southern Lancaster county now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: That was another noticeable bump north. 4" line at southern Lancaster county now. Yep, getting closer to MU! LOL. Philly gets jacked by the Euro Kuch map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This is nuts like literally for us in York and Lancaster if there is another bump north before it happens, we are in at least an advisory type event! All forecasts around here are saying nothing… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Storm Clouds said: This is nuts like literally for us in York and Lancaster if there is another bump north before it happens, we are in at least an advisory type event! All forecasts around here are saying nothing… Southern parts of border counties (east) are getting close to WSW level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro @96, the @Superstorm system beginning to take shape in the TN Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: This is nuts like literally for us in York and Lancaster if there is another bump north before it happens, we are in at least an advisory type event! All forecasts around here are saying nothing… It's happened before that everyone is playing catch-up. It's tough right now...do you trust the trends and forecast accumulations county wide? Could just as easily bump back the 20 miles and current forecasts are fine. Should be interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Stolen from MA forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Boom! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro @96, the [mention=423]Superstorm[/mention] system beginning to take shape in the TN Valley. Lol, sure is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: Stolen from MA forum Which was stolen from Weathermodels.com. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yea this Euro run is a snow bomb. I know everyone likes to be nit picky and be like cut the snowfall amounts in half and ground temps and blah blah blah but none of that matters the first week of January (or April) with rates like that. DC has like 8 hours of 1”+ an hour and that’s applying 10:1. The column becomes cold during this with -6 to -8ºC all the way down to 925mb. This probably becomes greater than 10:1, hence why I’m presenting the Kuchera while I try not to shed a tear. That would get the 6” line into York and Lancaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Boom! I’m ready the radar down south still looks encouraging 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, paweather said: I’m ready the radar down south still looks encouraging The snow map is pretty sparse with mixing near by and the progressive natural of the speed/track, but way too specific for worry this far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The snow map is pretty sparse with mixing near by and the progressive natural of the speed/track, but way to specific to worry about this far out. Hrrr update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Hrrr update 17z....more of a central VA crusher. Basically no snow in PA through the 18 hour run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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