Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very true, but still frustrating to see it go the wrong way to start 12z. We can’t afford backwards steps on the northern fringes. If GFS and Euro come in south for 12z then it’s over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 .71” of rain here. Looking forward to a more wintry pattern developing in the near to medium term. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: If GFS and Euro come in south for 12z then it’s over. It's likely at some point. Just gotta pull for 1 or 2 more bumps before the grab ahold of the rug..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Very true, but still frustrating to see it go the wrong way to start 12z. We can’t afford backwards steps on the northern fringes. Fv3 is still 1-2" for some in the LSV so one 12Z did not go backwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: .71” of rain here. Looking forward to a more wintry pattern developing in the near to medium term. all of the jibber jabber about getting weather stations actually has me somewhat interested. Dont worry, I'll just peruse the history here if I decide to invest. Seems pretty cool w/ all the stuff you guys post. Dumb question tho. Is that .71 a digital number that you are shown or do you have to do something special to get it? I have KLNS data to reference for my area, but can tell you that many many times what they get varies greatly from what i get regarding rain snow wind temps etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’m glad I’m not in the MA forum right now Cheers to them we get the late week system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, paweather said: I’m glad I’m not in the MA forum right now Cheers to them we get the late week system They are fighting a two headed issue down there. Soundings keep showing very close issues with mixing even on the Northern periphery just north of the big cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, paweather said: I’m glad I’m not in the MA forum right now Cheers to them we get the late week system I'll take your word for it. I'd quit the board before I go back down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, pasnownut said: I'll take your word for it. I'd quit the board before I go back down there. Me too! I will never go back there but thanks Bubbler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Me too! I will never go back there but thanks Bubbler. I am just watching :-). Here is what I am referring too. Mix in the middle of snow. It's close on some models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I am just watching :-). Here is what I am referring too. Mix in the middle of snow. It's close on some models Gotcha it is close for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 28 minutes ago, paweather said: Gotcha it is close for sure! We need to GFS to come in amped and another 50-75 mile north with precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: We need to GFS to come in amped and another 50-75 mile north with precip Yep, Icon was way south. This is the GFS's storm though. Rgem held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Yep, Icon was way south. This is the GFS's storm though. I thought the extended hrrr fwiw looked good with heavy bands just south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I thought the extended hrrr fwiw looked good with heavy bands just south of us Yea, it has stayed pretty consistent the last few runs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 No mention of snow in my grid at all for tonight/tmrw. My only hope is the late week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I thought the extended hrrr fwiw looked good with heavy bands just south of us 12Z ICON was way south, but still NW of its 06Z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I thought the extended hrrr fwiw looked good with heavy bands just south of us LWX seems a bit low/restrained with their expected totals in the DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: LWX seems a bit low/restrained with their expected totals in the DC area they had a make drastic changes to their grids and havent gone all in yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: they had a make drastic changes to their grids and havent gone all in yet GFS looks good through 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Best Panel on the GFS. That is ultra heavy snow. LOL. Looking on my mobile. Thought it was the mix line at first glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS looks good through 18. Higher qpf into southern counties.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Best Panel on the GFS. That is ultra heavy snow. LOL. Looking on my mobile. GFS would force LWX to post warning all the way to M/D line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Superstorm said: Higher qpf into southern counties. . Do you have qpf map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: GFS would force LWX to post warning all the way to M/D line Yep. 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, Superstorm said: 12Z ICON was way south, but still NW of its 06Z. . NW trends on all models is the key we need to focus on. RGEM was sligggthlly NW of 6z wrt precip sheild....and slightly S/SW with SLP. I'd call it noise, but the noise wasnt terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Do you have qpf map 24 hr map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: 24 hr map 2” to 12” in 30 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Won’t take much to get parts of SE counties into warning level snows.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 32 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: We need to GFS to come in amped and another 50-75 mile north with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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