Bubbler86 Posted March 12, 2022 Author Share Posted March 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: You’d be surprised how fast the 93 superstorm moved. It actually occurred during a +NAO state. The low center went from the northern Gulf off the FL Panhandle to exiting New England in about 24hrs or so. Obviously the insane phasing situation and setup made that a way bigger storm.. This one’s still dynamic though and it has the far reaching significant cold to tap into as well. They are even having mid 20's weather in central Florida tomorrow night. Very uncommon in mid March but 93ish as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 13 minutes ago, canderson said: Do a map!!! Haha I’ll make it simple. I think pretty much everyone in here is good for a mainly 4-8” type event. Actually my biggest concern at the moment resides in my own general area, having watched the 3k NAM and also the HRRR at times showing a soft spot in accums in this particular area (between about here down to Cumberland,MD) between the now established precip shield in western PA and the slug associated with the low itself that arrives from the south. That could cost me a warning snow if that came to fruition so I’ll definitely be watching how things evolve overnight with that. Other than that, I really think everything looks good for everyone to see their biggest snowfall of the season and likely a warning type snowfall. I think the ceiling on this in C-PA is probably 10” max. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is not 93 but it does have a lot of hallmarks from it. Just moving much faster. I literally just said this to my wife right before I read your response... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Soon starting for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Each of these surface maps has a 24 hour time period. I think people forget that as the storm was crossing into Georgia it had a pressure of 972 down from a 1000 by Brownsville and ended up 960. If you took a section of the Gulf of Mexico off the Florida panhandle and looked at the greatest 12 hour pressure falls over the last 100 years I believe I saw a graphic that in the top 10 were a bunch of strong hurricanes and the 93 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Each of these surface maps has a 24 hour time period. I think people forget that as the storm was crossing into Georgia it had a pressure of 972 down from a 1000 by Brownsville and ended up 960. If you took a section of the Gulf of Mexico off the Florida panhandle and looked at the greatest 12 hour pressure falls over the last 100 years I believe I saw a graphic that in the top 10 were a bunch of strong hurricanes and the 93 storm . Love it! Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 By Monday our little low will be sub 930mb bringing above freezing temperatures to the north pole . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Still 44 degrees here at 4:30 am but winds have definitely kicked up a ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 The 0z HRDPS was really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z HRDPS was really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 The 6z NAMs both show the game is on for CTP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 The 6z GFS says to load up the snow train! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 38 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Here is the Latest HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Updated Warning this am Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 418 AM EST Sat Mar 12 2022 PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-122130- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0005.220312T1000Z-220312T2200Z/ Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 418 AM EST Sat Mar 12 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches with slightly higher amounts possible on the hill tops. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...South-central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Through 5 PM EST. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain showers will turn to snow before sunrise west of I-83, and shortly after sunrise to the east of I-83. The snow will be heaviest between 6 AM EST and 2 PM EST, tapering off in the afternoon. Snow could fall at the rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour for a few hours this morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Temp down to 38 with rain underway in Marysville and the wind occasionally gusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 12, 2022 Author Share Posted March 12, 2022 Thanks for the model round up, blizz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks for the model round up, blizz Coffee pot is on….I’m ready for the show! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 It sounds like a quick changeover in Winchester per @WinterWxLuvr in the Mid Atlantic thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 12, 2022 Author Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It sounds like a quick changeover in Winchester per @WinterWxLuvr in the Mid Atlantic thread. It's mod snow and 31 here. Mulch and grass caved. Roads wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 12, 2022 Author Share Posted March 12, 2022 Hrrr suggests this is still a quick mover so about 1" an hour until 12-2 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: It's mod snow and 31 here. Mulch and grass caved. Roads wet. Yes!!! Congrats & good luck today! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Rain only lasted for maybe 20 minutes before changing over to snow. I think it's still snow. At the rate I've seen it fall the roads will cave soon. Temp fell by almost 10 degrees in an hour lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just woke up. It was 37.0 and raining lightly. Put the dog out and had a smoke and while I was out, the rain was transitioning into snow, and it was getting breezy. By the time I was done it was mostly snow, and now the temp is 35.6 as I type this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 All snow northern york everything but roads already white. Winds gusting pretty good already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Snow transition is underway! Temp down to 35 in Marysville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Was 38 @ 5:15am now it's 33 snowing grass turning white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Wind driven sleet in Manheim at 6:35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Crazy snow and wind in Newville out of the gate. The way it’s blowing I don’t see how we don’t go to a blizzard warning at some point. You wouldn’t want to be out in this and that’s for damn sure. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 42 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks for the model round up, blizz Yes thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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