paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Nice Front end dump: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:22 PM, paweather said: Nice Front end dump: Expand 24 hour event mostly frozen. Sig Ice and frz western LSV after 3-5" snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:29 PM, Bubbler86 said: 24 hour event mostly frozen. Sig Ice and frz western LSV after 3-5" snow. Expand Yep long event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:30 PM, paweather said: Yep long event. Expand Using this year as a standard, that depiction would be the most significant of the season. Plenty cold first part of the storm as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:32 PM, paweather said: Nice! Expand LOL, sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:33 PM, Bubbler86 said: Using this year as a standard, that depiction would be the most significant of the season. Plenty cold first part of the storm as well. Expand I agree it would be our biggest snowstorm no doubt. Plenty of time to change and Dr No is coming up. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 1:00 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Well, that was fun. Got woken up around 4am with what sounded like my house being torn down and haven't slept a wink since. Looks like my temp peaked here at 62 sometime between 4-4:30 right before the frontal passage. Down to 40 now. I only got a total of .29" rain though. Hey, question for the board. Sometime a little before 4:30 I checked the radar and there was an mPing report just to my west (looked fairly close to @Itstrainingtime) for pea sized hail. Is this accurate or was it possibly some sleet mixing down? The wind was too loud and the precip too brief for me to tell what the heck was hitting the house from the comfort of my sheets. Can anybody confirm any unusual precip types or was this person just mistaken? Expand On 2/18/2022 at 1:29 PM, Anduril said: We lost power just before the front roared through around 330ish and then it was a gail. Some pretty impressive bursts of wind since then as well. I think our garbage can might be over the river... Expand 4am was the magic time for me as well. Set me straight up. It was dark when i left at 515 for work, but i will definitely have to do a walk around when i get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 GAG at 240 bears watching in future runs. Just a slight adjustment at 500 and we have a phase. Cold air may be an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:43 PM, Bubbler86 said: GAG at 240 bears watching in future runs. Just a slight adjustment at 500 and we have a phase. Cold air may be an issue though. Expand This is my superstorm in the making stay tuned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:47 PM, paweather said: This is my superstorm in the making stay tuned. Expand You have a bowling ball coming first week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:48 PM, Bubbler86 said: You have a bowling ball coming first week of March. Expand STRIKE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:48 PM, Bubbler86 said: You have a bowling ball coming first week of March. Expand On 2/18/2022 at 4:49 PM, paweather said: STRIKE! Expand Am I allowed to hope for a gutter ball??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:53 PM, Voyager said: Am I allowed to hope for a gutter ball??? Expand LOL, it was in this case. For southern PA. Northern PA gets wracked. It will be different in 6 hours :-) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:53 PM, Voyager said: Am I allowed to hope for a gutter ball??? Expand HAHA! No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 MJS good call about tomorrow it looks like snow squalls are coming in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 CTP might need to reissue wind headlines for tomorrow and tomorrow night. Looks just as windy if not moreso than last night and today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 4:53 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, it was in this case. For southern PA. Northern PA gets wracked. It will be different in 6 hours :-) . Expand Truth... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 EURO looks warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:30 PM, paweather said: EURO looks warmer Expand It makes the LSV sad next week. Not warm per se but not frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:39 PM, Bubbler86 said: It makes the LSV sad next week. Not warm per se but not frozen. Expand Yep GFS is likely wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:41 PM, paweather said: Yep GFS is likely wrong. Expand I would not say that. The CMC is a southern slider followed by a more GFS like solution for the second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:46 PM, Bubbler86 said: I would not say that. The CMC is a southern slider followed by a more GFS like solution for the second wave. Expand I know but when Dr. No typically speaks he is right usually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:47 PM, paweather said: I know but when Dr. No typically speaks he is right usually Expand LOL, come on man. It has been the exact opposite a LOT this year. Not going to get into throwing models under busses right now but the EC has caved as much or more than any other suite this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, come on man. It has been the exact opposite a LOT this year. Not going to get into throwing models under busses right now but the EC has caved as much or more than any other suite this year. Expand the EC had for sure caved in more often no doubt. I remain optimistic that it will be a colder solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, come on man. It has been the exact opposite a LOT this year. Not going to get into throwing models under busses right now but the EC has caved as much or more than any other suite this year. Expand The commonality is that the model that shows the least snow or the most warmth has won almost every time. This time it’s the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 6:55 PM, TimB said: The commonality is that the model that shows the least snow or the most warmth has won almost every time. This time it’s the Euro. Expand That may be true more than not but I am still watching the situation. If anything the trend today has been toward a worry of a miss south with both waves. CMC and GFS are both questionable with wave one now (or wave two if you count the wave two days before as one). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 Icon is a significant ice storm. 2M's are plenty cold for issues at the start, rise a bit toward 30 as the event goes on, but never rise above freezing for the whole event (the 25th). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 7:04 PM, Bubbler86 said: Icon is a significant ice storm. 2M's are plenty cold for issues at the start, rise a bit toward 30 as the event goes on, but never rise above freezing for the whole event (the 25th). Expand any front end snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 On 2/18/2022 at 7:08 PM, paweather said: any front end snow? Expand Basically No. All ice (LSV). Snow map shows <1" up your way before ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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