Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Lancaster never really changes over on the Euro as it wraps up Friday AM. Close call but surface temps stay 28-32 the rest of the LSV so not sure there would be a ton of road issues verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Euro PA snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro PA snow map Lets hope that's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, paweather said: That hope that's wrong My interpretation of the Euro is that the precip races out before most of the cold air. Will have to see ice accretion but guessing .1 or so in the LSV. Just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: My interpretation of the Euro is that the precip races out before most of the cold air. Will have to see ice accretion but guessing .1 or so in the LSV. Just a guess. Yeah think your right and the EURO could be right as we don't often win in these situations down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 We still rate the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 My interpretation of the Euro is that the precip races out before most of the cold air. Will have to see ice accretion but guessing .1 or so in the LSV. Just a guess. That’s a more EXPECTED solution.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just realized all my snow is gone - piles and all. Hope we get more - gonna be at least 10 days for a chance of a snowstorm it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Just realized all my snow is gone - piles and all. Hope we get more - gonna be at least 10 days for a chance of a snowstorm it appears. I saw that change in verbiage to soften the blow. LOL. You would have been taken out to the woodshed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, Superstorm said: That’s a more EXPECTED solution. . Yes sir. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I saw that change in verbiage to soften the blow. LOL. You would have been taken out to the woodshed! Hah I didn’t mean the original - came across way too strong. We’ll get snow I’m sure but time is starting to tick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: I feel like MAG, KTX, and myself are going to be in a weird spot with this one being not far enough NW to get the good stuff but not east and south enough for all the liquid. It's tough to tell. Yea it always is with this type of an event. I kinda disagree with CTP minimizing the ZR threat in favor or a more rain to sleet/snow. I think once that near 1040 high gets positioned just to our north, surface cold is going to try to bleed deeper into central PA before the 925mb-800mb layer cools enough to at least allow for more sleet… which will allow for a longer period of freezing rain. We’re usually lamenting not having a stronger high with these messy systems and we actually have a decent one eventually during this event. We all start this main wave on Thur as rain but I think you guys up there see more frozen (sleet than eventually snow) and a shorter ZR period for a transition, while this area down here could be more 50/50 ZR and sleet turning to T-2” type snow at the end. Then the big thing for the Sus Valley is going to be determining how much ice and sleet can accumulate towards the tail end as the snow threat has been pretty minimal there and the snowier models (GFS and Euro) have really tightened the gradient on the SE side of the swath the last couple runs. Here’s what the 12z HREF had for freezing rain, it’s a model that CTP seems to utilize a good bit in short/near term.. which is another reason I’m kind of surprised the ZR is being downplayed. It has a pretty widespread area of .25-.50” (warning criteria ice) The model only goes out to 48hr and the event isn’t over yet at 12z Friday, so here’s it’s positioning of the p-types at the end of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Sure was nice to get outside today. Hit some golf balls in the backyard for the first time in awhile. Comical to watch the ball bounce 10' in the air after landing on the rock hard frozen ground. Lots 'o winter remaining but getting twitchy for spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Record "high low" for tomorrow is 38....could be at risk according to the warmer suites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Festus said: Sure was nice to get outside today. Hit some golf balls in the backyard for the first time in awhile. Comical to watch the ball bounce 10' in the air after landing on the rock hard frozen ground. Lots 'o winter remaining but getting twitchy for spring. Lot's of 45-50's showing up in the southern LSV. Nice respite before more cold moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 48 in HBG. WIndows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Since snow maps are being used to show how bad this snow event may be for some of us (which is just fine), I'll throw this one out for the masses. Coming from the leader of the model pack as well, so you can decide how many chips you wanna throw down on it verifying..... While still "bad" for me, I'd bet many here would give body parts for this to verify. If only............. Stare at it long and hard, cause in a few hours it goes poof....Hope you get a good chuckle like I did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Parents are in a winter storm warning for .25-.5" zr and 1-3" snow. Going to be lots of issues in Texas overnight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Lot's of 45-50's showing up in the southern LSV. Nice respite before more cold moves in. 39 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, canderson said: 48 in HBG. WIndows open. Aye, 48 in February feels a heck of a lot warmer than 48 in October. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Since snow maps are being used to show how bad this snow event may be for some of us (which is just fine), I'll throw this one out for the masses. Coming from the leader of the model pack as well, so you can decide how many chips you wanna throw down on it verifying..... While still "bad" for me, I'd bet many here would give body parts for this to verify. If only............. Stare at it long and hard, cause in a few hours it goes poof....Hope you get a good chuckle like I did. I’ll take the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: 39 here It's 47 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 18Z Hrrr Ice. No snow to speak of in the LSV. Similar snow map to 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 39ºF here this afternoon so far and cloudy with 26ºF dewpoint. Surprisingly it got all the way down into the upper teens this morning (17.5ºF). Not very much snowpack melt, which is currently a 3-6” hard pack in the yard. Since I got this new weather station rolling just after midnight on the 15th of Jan I don’t have full January monthly data but the mean temperature the last 2.5 weeks from then til now is 19.7ºF, and there were a couple 24 hour periods (midnight to midnight) that averaged in the single digits. It’s been pretty cold here lately. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: 39ºF here this afternoon so far and cloudy with 26ºF dewpoint. Surprisingly it got all the way down into the upper teens this morning (17.5ºF). Not very much snowpack melt, which is currently a 3-6” hard pack in the yard. Since I got this new weather station rolling just after midnight on the 15th of Jan I don’t have full January monthly data but the mean temperature the last 2.5 weeks from then til now is 19.7ºF, and there were a couple 24 hour periods (midnight to midnight) that averaged in the single digits. It’s been pretty cold here lately. Man you keep your house COLD. @Itstrainingtimeneeds to step up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 41 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Since snow maps are being used to show how bad this snow event may be for some of us (which is just fine), I'll throw this one out for the masses. Coming from the leader of the model pack as well, so you can decide how many chips you wanna throw down on it verifying..... While still "bad" for me, I'd bet many here would give body parts for this to verify. If only............. Stare at it long and hard, cause in a few hours it goes poof....Hope you get a good chuckle like I did. That's insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Not bad! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 48 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I’ll take the over. lol....and i the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, paweather said: Not bad! That 16" in Texas sits directly over my parents. If that happens I'll run down Front Street naked and let @sauss06 chase me with a firetruck. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, canderson said: That 16" in Texas sits directly over my parents. If that happens I'll run down Front Street naked and let @sauss06 chase me with a firetruck. HAHA! I can't watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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