Voyager Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 10 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I guess we will stir-up a hornets nest within the forum on wanting warmer weather. I'm with you on seasonable cold but not this 10-20 below normal stuff. I like some snow too but these minor events and frigid conditions that seem to last a long time, not so much. Yes. Minor events are annoying. I'd much rather get an 8-10 storm over two weeks worth of 1-2 inch events. The roads are an absolute salt mess right now. The wife and I went out to dinner last night, and Penndot spread so much salt that the dry road was whiter than where snow had blown and drifted across. I couldn't even see the lane markings. Being that it was night when we came home, if it weren't for some wet margin areas, I wouldn't know what was dry salt and what was snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Another below zero morning. -3 degrees. With all this cold the road salt hasn’t done much to melt the ice. Stoughton MA. 30.9” of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 10.8 degrees this morning was the best I could do. Still have a good 2-2.5" of white ice-pack. Today marks day 15 of continuous snow cover, which is nearly the entire second half of January. I haven't checked the MDT monthly departure yet but I'm willing to bet they're at least -2 degrees. It seems like it's been so long since we've had a below January. The polar vortex winter ('14-'15?) would have created a below January I'm sure. Temp is up to 17.1 degrees on its way to the upper 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 37 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: 10.8 degrees this morning was the best I could do. Still have a good 2-2.5" of white ice-pack. Today marks day 15 of continuous snow cover, which is nearly the entire second half of January. I haven't checked the MDT monthly departure yet but I'm willing to bet they're at least -2 degrees. It seems like it's been so long since we've had a below January. The polar vortex winter ('14-'15?) would have created a below January I'm sure. Temp is up to 17.1 degrees on its way to the upper 20's. Couldn’t even crack the top 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Voyager said: Less than one month to go and then, meteorological spring!!! …which (going by the past couple years) means only three more months of winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 22 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Couldn’t even crack the top 40. Only 3 days with double digit negative departures this month and two days with very high double digit positive departures to start the month. +18 and +16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Sunny and 23 already. Think I should easily reach the 30s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 26 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Couldn’t even crack the top 40. Lol, plenty of cold this month. This doesn’t even mention the number of frigid overnight lows. It’s a below normal month in the middle of Winter that some people thought is now impossible because of…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, plenty of cold this month. This doesn’t even mention the number of frigid overnight lows. It’s a below normal month in the middle of Winter that some people thought is now impossible because of…. It has had a cold feel this month but nothing record breaking. I’m not sure we could survive another cold winter like 94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: It has had a cold feel this month but nothing record breaking. I’m not sure we could survive another cold winter like 94. Using average means to sort, we are already warmer than 7 other January's since 2000 (with two days to go.) Looks like we will end up with the 9th coldest out of the 23 years starting 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 GFS doesn't look very good to me throughout the entire run. Frontal boundary gets hung up and actually retreats allowing waves to run west of us. Low in the great lakes isn't helping. The whole pattern is losing it's wintry look (on the GFS) over the past 48 hours. Also looks like this morning's Euro regressed as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Streak said: …which (going by the past couple years) means only three more months of winter!! Haha...true. Just look at last Memorial Day. Coldest I've ever experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Couldn’t even crack the top 40. Well we know today and tomorrow will be more than 2 degrees below normal. That just might push us up close to 40th (lol). After checking the MDT data we are 2.3 degrees below normal (average). I would think we could make it to -2.5 or -2.6. Just have to wait and see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 The GFS has had some great runs over the last 2 days for the first 2 weeks of February. I posted the model runs a couple of pages back in this thread showing a series of storms from recent GFS runs that could produce a very wintry first half of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 The last 3 GFS runs have trended more wintry for Friday. It appears to heading in the general direction of the Euro for a change… Here is 12z, 6z and 0z for the same Friday time stamp, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The last 3 GFS runs have trended more wintry for Friday. It appears to heading in the general direction of the Euro for a change… Here is 12z, 6z and 0z for the same Friday time stamp, The 12z GFS has a good looking High position sitting in southern Quebec. The 12z also shows moisture stretching all the way back into southern Missouri and northern Arkansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 12z Canadian improved wintry chances for Friday too… 12z top vs. 0z bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 12z UKMET is still a hit as well for Friday… @losetoa6 do you have a PA centered map for the Ukie? I saw this map posted by our friends to the south. In Most of our CTP events, we score better snow when I-95 is mixing… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z UKMET is still a hit as well for Friday… @losetoa6 do you have a PA centered map for the Ukie? I saw this map posted by our friends to the south. In Most of our CTP events, we score better snow when I-95 is mixing… 49 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ralph's frontal wave spectacular on the UKMET 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 This is brutal (seasonal snowfall). Came without a legend, but I think we can all fill in the blanks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Unfortunately the Euro took a step back at 12z for CTP. The Highs are still in a good position. It will come down to the push of cold air and the strength and timing of the wave. Lots of time to resolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Unfortunately the Euro took a step back at 12z for CTP. The Highs are still in a good position. It will come down to the push of cold air and the strength and timing of the wave. Lots of time to resolve. These events rarely work out. Cold chasing the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 19 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: These events rarely work out. Cold chasing the precip This would be potentially be a wave riding up a front. Timing would need to be just right, but the ingredients are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sunny and 23 already. Think I should easily reach the 30s today. Going to publicly admit defeat on this call - 24.8 here approaching 3pm. Not a good prediction on my part. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 52 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Unfortunately the Euro took a step back at 12z for CTP. The Highs are still in a good position. It will come down to the push of cold air and the strength and timing of the wave. Lots of time to resolve. The Ukie also took a notable step back from 0z. Oz had the axis of heaviest snow over the southern border counties. Best snows at 12z moved north 75 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The Ukie also took a notable step back from 0z. Oz had the axis of heaviest snow over the southern border counties. Best snows at 12z moved north 75 miles. I’m going to hug the model with the most snow according to my handbook! This usually works, right… lol… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 My click an point forecast keep dropping Temps Wednesday thru Friday. And it says rain Thursday night with a low of 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 While we're on the subject of the Euro, unfortunately it took a rocket-step back. I think the Ukie is playing catch up and is off by 12 hours. Here's last night's 0Z snow map: And here is today's 12Z... And, here is the freezing rain from 0Z... and here is today's 12Z... and finally, here are the total qpf's (nearly 100% of this occurs from the Thur/Fri event)... and here is today's 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 We do CAD well. Unfortunately we always do ‘warm air rushes in before precip” well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, AllWeather said: This is brutal (seasonal snowfall). Came without a legend, but I think we can all fill in the blanks Snowstorms to the west of me. snowstorms to the East of me. here I am, stuck in the middle with nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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