paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 For New York City it is so different from the NAM 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: GFS is a closer miss.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 RGEM still cuts lanco in 1/2 w broom vs plowable, but it did back into eastern pa w/ more broom snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 36 minutes ago, Festus said: 12Z NAM... dont look at 3k....natsomuch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 It is comical how different the models are so close to this event. Imagine being a met in NYC or Boston.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: It is comical how different the models are so close to this event. Imagine being a met in NYC or Boston.... Boston is in on the goods IMO but NYC and Washington wow what a difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 12z GFS still wide right, pretty much a coastal scraper and complete non-event for the whole of Pennsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 16 minutes ago, pasnownut said: dont look at 3k....natsomuch Yay, a half inch to an inch and a half. Just enough to keep shitting up the roads and make a sloppy mess. It's not worth it, and I'd rather just stay high and dry... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 21 minutes ago, pasnownut said: GFS is a closer miss.... 2 things on the GFS: At least the 3rd run in a row that it nudged west. We need some bigger nudges soon. GFS also has that double barrel low feature out in the Atlantic. Read some discussion on convective feedback issues - not sure what it means if it will mean anything at all. Just noting what I saw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 2 things on the GFS: At least the 3rd run in a row that it nudged west. We need some bigger nudges soon. GFS also has that double barrel low feature out in the Atlantic. Read some discussion on convective feedback issues - not sure what it means if it will mean anything at all. Just noting what I saw. When the bolded is brought up it's always a sure-fire sign that we're getting desperate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Now to see if it continues to carry the storm for next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Now to see if it continues to carry the storm for next weekend. Its looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, paweather said: Its looking good The thing I’ve been noticing lately is next week doesn’t look like a decisive pattern shift at all, there might be good opportunities in Feb. if the pattern reloads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Low is right on the coast line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: The thing I’ve been noticing lately is next week doesn’t look like a decisive pattern shift at all, there might be good opportunities in Feb. if the pattern reloads. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: When the bolded is brought up it's always a sure-fire sign that we're getting desperate First time I heard that was Christmas Eve, 2010. That's when every model known to mankind suddenly jumped several hundred miles west with the Boxing Day storm. People were going nuts and calling out the NWS, who I believe responded with the Convective Feedback issue. Unfortunately for us, those models that all came back west, came about 75 miles too far west, and that was what did us in locally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: The thing I’ve been noticing lately is next week doesn’t look like a decisive pattern shift at all, there might be good opportunities in Feb. if the pattern reloads. 1 minute ago, paweather said: Low is right on the coast line Very encouraging - some thought that this weekend was our last great chance of the season. Certainly appears that we have more opportunities ahead. That'll lesson the sting of watching VA Beach triple our seasonal total this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Nice hit! Gosh to be out this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Very encouraging - some thought that this weekend was our last great chance of the season. Certainly appears that we have more opportunities ahead. That'll lesson the sting of watching VA Beach triple our seasonal total this weekend. Position of the ridge will be key to how that part of the pattern plays out. Certainly doesn’t look like Feb will be as cold as Jan but we knew that already. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Next one coming at 300 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 solid hit as well way too early this is just for funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 57 minutes ago, Voyager said: Yay, a half inch to an inch and a half. Just enough to keep shitting up the roads and make a sloppy mess. It's not worth it, and I'd rather just stay high and dry... I'm guessing you have snow cover..... Some of us don't and will take their 1.5 and like it.....or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 43 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Now to see if it continues to carry the storm for next weekend. verbatim the gfs after brief warmup would arguably be the most tracking we'd be doing this winter. LIne em up....... and lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 41 minutes ago, TimB84 said: The thing I’ve been noticing lately is next week doesn’t look like a decisive pattern shift at all, there might be good opportunities in Feb. if the pattern reloads. Bringing the boundary closer to PA (in this large scale regime) might be the way to getting the goods. Just need that 540 to stay below (as currently depicted) and we might be fighting over who gets the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 24 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm guessing you have snow cover..... Some of us don't and will take their 1.5 and like it.....or not. I do (about an inch or so) but I'm ready for a thaw to get rid of it. Too much ice mixed in with it from the freezing rain events. My wife almost fell a few times. I did notice that Lancaster had no snow this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Euro pretty far offshore. the battle between the Euro and GFS continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I am hoping for a few mood flakes. I seriously doubt it happens but might as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, canderson said: I am hoping for a few mood flakes. I seriously doubt it happens but might as well. I agree there was potential with this one just isn't going to get it done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 EC wants nothing to do with next weekend so different from the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, paweather said: EC wants nothing to do with next weekend so different from the GFS Wave after wave of punishing cold. Look on the bright side, the CMC does have a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Wave after wave of punishing cold. Look on the bright side, the CMC does have a storm. That has not worked out so well as of late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now