Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Snow is mixing in now in Marysville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Snow is mixing in now in Marysville.Starting to mix in here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 light rain here, but gotta be close to the changover. They are 16 minutes late.. All good.. Still think next Tuesday needs watched. Couple models showing the NS/SS vorts and GFS shows them working together a bit more once again. CMC and ICON are too far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 It finally changed over here. Was still raining when I went out at 5:45 and when I came back it was snowing finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 22 minutes ago, pasnownut said: light rain here, but gotta be close to the changover. They are 16 minutes late.. All good.. Still think next Tuesday needs watched. Couple models showing the NS/SS vorts and GFS shows them working together a bit more once again. CMC and ICON are too far apart. For Tuesday, the 6z GFS shows the northern & southern stream interact to bring us a light to moderate snow event. The Canadian was just northern stream, basically a Clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Snow in Marysville but not sticking to any surfaces yet. Current temp is 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 28 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said: It finally changed over here. Was still raining when I went out at 5:45 and when I came back it was snowing finally First flakes mixing here in Akron. For all that are in this one...enjoy! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: For Tuesday, the 6z GFS shows the northern & southern stream interact to bring us a light to moderate snow event. The Canadian was just northern stream, basically a Clipper. ICON looks similar to GEM. Worlds apart. Euro not interested either, but lets see if the GFS is sniffing out the next one like it has been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Oh well....the worry about surface temps came to fruition for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Good Luck everyone in the southern tier! With the the lows tonight hopefully you will have snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just now transitioning to snow here, which is a couple hours later than expected, but already wasted .25 of qpf. Temp at 34 still and all surfaces just wet. The dewpoint of 32 tells the story. We'll see what the next couple of hours bring but anything more than an inch would be a win at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Moderate snow in Marysville with car tops covered. Roads transitioning from slush to lightly snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Snowing here abut a half inch, everything covered temp 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greensnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 BGM Friday Night Friday night is starting to show the hallmarks of an extremely cold night under Arctic high pressure. Though model guidance is already quite low for minimum temperatures, this is a situation in which guidance typically struggles to keep up. The atmospheric column will be extremely dry, to the point that model precipitable water value values are just three to six hundredths of an inch; it simply just does not ever get lower than that around here. This along with snow on the ground should promote ideal radiational cooling, and there is concern that the bottom could really fall out for temperatures. Our forecast has large majority of the area reaching well below zero; in many cases by double digits. This already skews below most guidance, but it should be noted that there is at least a chance for some locations to hit 20 below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Nothing accumulating here. Almost done with the precip too - it flipped to snow an hour ago but it’s 35 out. Not even sticking to trash cans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Driving into office I saw mashed taters in Akron, to all snow in Lititz to starting to slush up in Manheim, to getting white and roads caving in Etown (slushy kinda caving). I share that because its basically a East to West drive in Lanco and shows the difference in what 25 miles can do w/ what one sees. I see it ALL THE TIME. I'd bet I barely get white as the transition likely started too late. Etown will be the winner again. 35 in Akron to 31 by the time I got to Etown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 24 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Just now transitioning to snow here, which is a couple hours later than expected, but already wasted .25 of qpf. Temp at 34 still and all surfaces just wet. The dewpoint of 32 tells the story. We'll see what the next couple of hours bring but anything more than an inch would be a win at this point. Not the first time we've seen the transition be a little late...is it? lol It was a concern from early on, and set my expectations accordingly, but put my hopes in CTP seeing something I/we didn't w/ column being cooled sufficiently would work out. NBD....onto the next one...whenever that is. (still hoping Tuesday comes around). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 We have transitioned into a car topper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Not the first time we've seen the transition be a little late...is it? lol It was a concern from early on, and set my expectations accordingly, but put my hopes in CTP seeing something I/we didn't w/ column being cooled sufficiently would work out. NBD....onto the next one...whenever that is. (still hoping Tuesday comes around). Nope, it's sure not ha. Snow moderate here now but only stickage appears to be to my grill cover. Hoping Tuesday brings something worthwhile because it sure looks dry for the foreseeable future. Not overly optimistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Nope, it's sure not ha. Snow moderate here now but only stickage appears to be to my grill cover. Hoping Tuesday brings something worthwhile because it sure looks dry for the foreseeable future. Not overly optimistic. parking lot getting white here #caving...lol Snowing nicely here in downtown Etown. Yeah Tuesday sure isnt oozing potential, but NS/SS vorts seem to be close enough to watch (a la GFS). That could easily fade (like Icon/Euro already think). Just putting a little faith in the model that seems to have a decent nose to sniff em out this year and that look sorta fits the pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Just got into the office after a late night in Philly - 2 different worlds in a 12 mile drive. Home - snow, 31 degrees and everything is covered. Snow on snow in my back yard. Roads were a mess. Work - Snow/rain mix, wet roads, nothing to see here yet. In between - very little evidence of snow south of Chickies. Different world north of the hill. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 38 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Driving into office I saw mashed taters in Akron, to all snow in Lititz to starting to slush up in Manheim, to getting white and roads caving in Etown (slushy kinda caving). I share that because its basically a East to West drive in Lanco and shows the difference in what 25 miles can do w/ what one sees. I see it ALL THE TIME. I'd bet I barely get white as the transition likely started too late. Etown will be the winner again. 35 in Akron to 31 by the time I got to Etown. Just saw this - at my casa just down the road from Etown, same story. Moderately heavy snow and 31. Last year, you seemed to do much better than I did. I remember posts including pics of your snowy landscape while I was staring at my dead grass. Sure seems like things have switched this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just saw this - at my casa just down the road from Etown, same story. Moderately heavy snow and 31. Last year, you seemed to do much better than I did. I remember posts including pics of your snowy landscape while I was staring at my dead grass. Sure seems like things have switched this winter. Hey....it's your turn....Mo nature just leveling the distribution out a bit. Looks perty out the window. You'll like the look when you get home. I'm just hoping for white when I get home.....any white. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 And that’s all for this one - precip appears to be done. I’d call it a bust but it was a very sketchy WWA. CTP never had my grid over 1”. Is a car topper a trace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, canderson said: And that’s all for this one - precip appears to be done. I’d call it a bust but it was a very sketchy WWA. CTP never had my grid over 1”. Is a car topper a trace? Yup. Might even go in the books at .something ....lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 My NWS forecast low Friday night is -2. Brr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: My NWS forecast low Friday night is -2. Brr! Yeah, there should be a fair number of below-zero readings across the state. Brr indeed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I had a trace of snow at the house. Took a road trip and on big flat ridge (2100ft) there was around 1.5” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Anything on the models to look at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I had a trace of snow at the house. Took a road trip and on big flat ridge (2100ft) there was around 1.5” NWS can say they verified.....lol Very nice.....very jealous. Enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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