Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 36 minutes ago, anotherman said: How are roads in Lancaster county looking? Your drive to Mount Joy should be just fine. Only roads with issues are developments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Your drive to Mount Joy should be just fine. Only roads with issues are developments. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 28 minutes ago, anotherman said: Wow, that’s surprising. only concerns we have in eastern lanco are from rain runoff refreeze. That's it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Your drive to Mount Joy should be just fine. Only roads with issues are developments. Chickies hill area was a little slick this AM from the morning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Birdbean said: Chickies hill area was a little slick this AM from the morning snows. Yes, it was slick on my drive to work but bone dry on my way home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Birdbean said: Chickies hill area was a little slick this AM from the morning snows. It always is, it seems. I can recall driving to work and literally nowhere else was icy or snowy except that whole area. Kind of a little microclimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: It always is, it seems. I can recall driving to work and literally nowhere else was icy or snowy except that whole area. Kind of a little microclimate. I’m the Fed ex driver in Columbia and Marietta/Maytown and everything is flat but Chickies Hill. If we’re getting decent snow I say screw Marietta and stay in town Columbia. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Birdbean said: I’m the Fed ex driver in Columbia and Marietta/Maytown and everything is flat but Chickies Hill. If we’re getting decent snow I say screw Marietta and stay in town Columbia. lol I’ve had many adventures trying to get back to York county during snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, anotherman said: I’ve had many adventures trying to get back to York county during snow. 30 can be a nightmare also with the traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well, if it's the clueless NAM it can't be right...right? Lol, who knows if it’s right & I didn’t necessarily say that I agree or disagree. I’m just posting the maps for us to analyze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: So next day delivery becomes the next day for another day? Lol! I only do that if it’s really snowing or icy, the company hates if they have to pay a tow truck driver to pull you out. Never been towed in 27 years and am out most of the time in snow. Have to be smart where you drive that’s all. People understand if conditions are bad and they have to wait another day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Birdbean said: I only do that if it’s really snowing or icy, the company hates if they have to pay a tow truck driver to pull you out. Never been towed in 27 years and am out most of the time in snow. Have to be smart where you drive that’s all. People understand if conditions are bad and they have to wait another day. I am sure. And I know some stuff really is important to get there next day but your safety is more important. I was sort of glad to hear you say it. We had a Wal-Mart delivery in the middle of the storm, last evening. It was a box of cat food! Crazy the driver put themselves in peril over that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am sure. And I know some stuff really is important to get there next day but your safety is more important. I was sort of glad to hear you say it. We had a Wal-Mart delivery in the middle of the storm, last evening. It was a box of cat food! Crazy the driver put themselves in peril over that. That is nuts to be out last night, that was ground I’m FedEx express. We aren’t out on sundays or if it’s to bad they call us to come back to our station. No sense to be out and risk accidents or getting stuck over cat litter. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I am sure. And I know some stuff really is important to get there next day but your safety is more important. I was sort of glad to hear you say it. We had a Wal-Mart delivery in the middle of the storm, last evening. It was a box of cat food! Crazy the driver put themselves in peril over that. Amazing dropped of a set of pens last night at 845. It is insanity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gfs ejecting sw energy from the southwest quicker at 81 yeah its a bit north, but trough axis still has me a bit worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Still not quite there but closer go look at ICON for comparison. More neg tilt and still slides right. Like you said, plenty of time, so lets hope it ticks towards the Euro. I hate saying that because I'm now rooting/wishcasting for a model that hasnt been up to par. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: It's hard to go against the 51 member Eps inside 100 hours though I like how you think, and will gladly step aboard your snow train bud. Like I said earlier today, ens guidance took a little step back for me from yesterdays event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: go look at ICON for comparison. More neg tilt and still slides right. Like you said, plenty of time, so lets hope it ticks towards the Euro. I hate saying that because I'm now rooting/wishcasting for a model that hasnt been up to par. The EPS supports the Euro Op as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, pasnownut said: I like how you think, and will gladly step aboard your snow train bud. Like I said earlier today, ens guidance took a little step back for me from yesterdays event. The EPS nailed yesterday’s event for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 It’s windier right now than it was any time during the wind advisory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The EPS supports the Euro Op as well. I know I know....but as much as I wanna believe, I dont just put faith in the model that shows me what I want...I put faith in the model that produces results. Am I saying its wrong...not for a second, but its 1 piece of guidance that has little support outside of its own ens, and we are already down to 4 days. Yes, the GFS at 102 looks a little better and is trending, but the separation between it and the Euro is notable and makes me a bit suspect. I'm not leaving the table, but I'm holding chips for this round. After yesterday, I'd think that a reasonable approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: I know I know....but as much as I wanna believe, I dont just put faith in the model that shows me what I want...I put faith in the model that produces results. Am I saying its wrong...not for a second, but its 1 piece of guidance that has little support outside of its own ens, and we are already down to 4 days. Yes, the GFS at 102 looks a little better and is trending, but the separation between it and the Euro is notable and makes me a bit suspect. I'm not leaving the table, but I'm holding chips for this round. After yesterday, I'd think that a reasonable approach. I agree, definitely want to see some reasonable consensus by tomorrow night. The GFS & Canadian had this event in their longer range at different times, so it’s not like they’ve never considered this time period as a possibility. Tomorrow’s runs will start to tell the full story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The 0z Euro is still locked in on the Saturday am coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Here is the 0z Euro snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 The 0z EPS & Control are on board too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Hopefully the other models get on board the weekend snow train today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 MDT event snow amounts were 2.4 Sunday and 1.0 yesterday for a storm total snowfall of 3.4 inches. This brings the MDT season snow total to 10.0 inches, which is is .2 inches Above normal through yesterday’s date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Before we get to the weekend potential, There is growing support for the early Thursday frontal wave. Here is the 6z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 6z RGEM is on board for Thursday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z EPS & Control are on board too. Do you think this will come a little more north more then is modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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