Blizzard of 93 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 inches of snow in Marysville. Mostly sleet now 31 Temp 29 dew point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 I think this was actually remarkably well modeled here in the Capital region (outside of some stingy NAM runs).. Mesos even at range consistently showed onset around 5 pm and changing to sleet between 9-10 pm w/ accumulations in the 4-5 inch range… that’s exactly what has happened here a few miles NE of hbg.. and looking back to global OPs runs from Weds, I think they were pretty good at nailing the upper-levels and general progression/timing.. certainly never budged off of the atypical inland track idea that resulted in our widespread taintage followed by dryslot.. no complaints here!! Glad everyone seems to have gotten something decent out of this fickle beast! Felt like we were tracking this one for a month. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just reached freezing. 3 minutes after 10pm. The forums 3 most vocally followed football teams are all going to fall today. Disappointing for everyone. Wanted them all to win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Jonesy56 said: I think this was actually remarkably well modeled here in the Capital region (outside of some stingy NAM runs).. Mesos even at range consistently showed onset around 5 pm and changing to sleet between 9-10 pm w/ accumulations in the 4-5 inch range… that’s exactly what has happened here a few miles NE of hbg.. and looking back to global OPs runs from Weds, I think they were pretty good at nailing the upper-levels and general progression/timing.. certainly never budged off of the atypical inland track idea that resulted in our widespread taintage followed by dryslot.. no complaints here!! Glad everyone seems to have gotten something decent out of this fickle beast! Felt like we were tracking this one for a month. . I think the GFS was the first to go away from the Miller A solution. If so, props to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Back down to 25 and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I think the GFS was the first to go away from the Miller A solution. If so, props to it. After one run that gave us a coastal along with 12"+ of snow for this storm (6 days ago), it definitely was the first and initially only model to show the inland track with the low going up through PA. It really does deserve credit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 27 here at 10PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just reached freezing. 3 minutes after 10pm. but you still got 3" and not 1.3....so pick whatever part you want to call a win. I'm sticking w/ the snow.... oh and its above freezing here now. WTG NWS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 If Accuweather's future radar is to be believed, I'm going to see some HEAVY sleet here once it flips. There's a lot of yellow and orange colors in the radar presentation aimed right at eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: but you still got 3" and not 1.3....so pick whatever part you want to call a win. I'm sticking w/ the snow.... oh and its above freezing here now. WTG NWS... I got close to 4" and I celebrated that several times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 At 10:10pm in Carlisle, my temperature has risen to 26.8 degrees which is roughly 2.5 degrees higher from last hour. Dew point is 26. The pressure continues its rapid descent, now down to 29.56" or 1001 mb and falling at a rate of 0.11" /hr, or nearly 4 millibars/hr. Since the snow ended and the sleet began I have recorded 0.3" of sleet. It is currently a mixture of sleet with freezing rain roughly 70/30 sleet/zr. If temps don't go much above 32 for too long I should be able to hold on to the new snow pack pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: If Accuweather's future radar is to be believed, I'm going to see some HEAVY sleet here once it flips. There's a lot of yellow and orange colors in the radar presentation aimed right at eastern PA. I posted about this a bit ago a good fetch off the cold ocean right back into south central PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Starting to flirt with the mixing zone on the CC product. Still all snow for now but will see when the next patch of brighter echoes get here shortly. HRRR has been pretty consistent on an approx 11pm transition to sleet here so that’s probably looking pretty good. Also starting to get near the dry slot as well, though I expect some rebuilding of echoes to a degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Heavy snow 20.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Man the far western side of PA/Pittsburgh got screwed. The NAM did right for them - dry slot and torch at 850 while Ohio gets pummeled. That’s terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, canderson said: Man the far western side of PA/Pittsburgh got screwed. The NAM did right for them - dry slot and torch at 850 while Ohio gets pummeled. That’s terrible. it hurts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Man the far western side of PA/Pittsburgh got screwed. The NAM did right for them - dry slot and torch at 850 while Ohio gets pummeled. That’s terrible. Have not had time to analyze too much but I feel like the GFS was on the non Miller A train first, the Nam (like usual it seems) was fairly decent in forecasting thermal issues over there and of course the dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 And here comes the sleet. Just hit the sack and now I hear the first pings on the awnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Voyager said: And here comes the sleet. Just hit the sack and now I hear the first pings on the awnings. Snow pack protection. Beef it up. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 just thought if we do get above freezing we are not going to be dry slotted that fetch of yellow and dark greens off the ocean could cause some flooding ground still rock hard frozen then snow and ice on top of the snow no where for run off the go from dirty grassy areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Severe thunderstorm warning south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 34 and light rain. .06" of rain so far. Pressure now 29.46" and falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Severe thunderstorm warning south of us. Wow! I was wondering if thunder would be a component of this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Heavy precip incoming whether it be rain sleet or freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Im bouncing between 27-28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Severe thunderstorm warning south of us. Didn’t have that on my bingo card tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Holding at 33 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Ping Ping. Going to be clearing boards at 5.2” so far. Sleet with 21ºF, winds NNE 7 G14, and pressure crashing now down under 996mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Big Ben"s final drive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 33 and freezing rain giving day to plain rain. That temp rise as fast. East winds gusting to 26. Tomorrow they’ll be close to double out of the west. Putting 3.75” into the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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