Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:14 PM, paweather said: Is this going to cut? Expand High is not in a favorable position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:14 PM, paweather said: Is this going to cut? Expand Look at the trough. That is where it probably goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:13 PM, losetoa6 said: Rgem holds serve and Gfs is back to the party ( at least at the front door ). Rgem is a downright QPF bomb that's painfully close . Expand Shades of the winter of 2009-10, just displaced 150 miles south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:17 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Shades of the winter of 2009-10, just displaced 150 miles south... Expand This would downright stink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Some snow on the GFS next Friday 7-12pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:23 PM, paweather said: Some snow on the GFS next Friday 7-12pm Expand That's on the back end of the cold front with the low in the St. Lawrence River Valley...that won't work for anything but mood flakes, if that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:28 PM, Itstrainingtime said: That's on the back end of the cold front with the low in the St. Lawrence River Valley...that won't work for anything but mood flakes, if that. Expand Let's hope the Low doesn't cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:29 PM, paweather said: Let's hope the Low doesn't cut Expand It's entirely possible at this point. Low might end up off the east coast of GA for all we know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:33 PM, Itstrainingtime said: It's entirely possible at this point. Low might end up off the east coast of GA for all we know. Expand Look at all the back and forth from the GFS on the Jan 3rd opportunity. It's what makes the hobby fun...I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:34 PM, Bubbler86 said: Look at all the back and forth from the GFS on the Jan 3rd opportunity. It's what makes the hobby fun...I think? Expand expect the unexpected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:29 PM, paweather said: Let's hope the Low doesn't cut Expand It is a little bizarre to me as to why the GFS is cutting the January 7th storm. There appears to be be decent high pressure to the north with some ridging out west. This low is relatively weak at 1003 so it’s not like this is some strong storm screaming towards the lakes. I like the Euro’s handle on this at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:48 PM, losetoa6 said: Nice shift on the Ukie for Jan 3rd . Expand You are the Ukie king. I keep forgetting to check it. Thanks for keeping us on our toes (seriously). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:48 PM, losetoa6 said: Nice shift on the Ukie for Jan 3rd . Expand Can you post it if you get the chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2021 Author Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:39 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: It is a little bizarre to me as to why the GFS is cutting the January 7th storm. There appears to be be decent high pressure to the north with some ridging out west. This low is relatively weak at 1003 so it’s not like this is some strong storm screaming towards the lakes. I like the Euro’s handle on this at this time. Expand My take on it...Right or wrong... the GFS digs a deep trough down into N. Texas which raises the heights over us...and the SER is still out there though displaced a bit East vs. now. So the low takes the path it is given. It attacks that high in the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:48 PM, losetoa6 said: Nice shift on the Ukie for Jan 3rd . Expand Does the UKIE get us some white stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:48 PM, losetoa6 said: Nice shift on the Ukie for Jan 3rd . Expand RGEM, GFS stepped back in our favor. Slightly slower and wester with better spacing (as we suggested was needed yesterday). It's almost like they listened to us.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 For those worried about next Friday, pay attention to the 1/3 event first. As your seeing enough changes at 66 hours, dont fret yet abt 156hrs. Pattern looks to finally be taking a different look, and likely will throw out a few sliders/curve balls along the way. Just keep the bat off the shoulder (sports analogy for all you friggn sportsaholics) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The Canadian is painfully close at 12z for Monday. We just need a little bump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 5:01 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: The Canadian is painfully close at 12z for Monday. We just need a little bump north. Expand It just can't make it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Pretty dry and cold nationwide at the end of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 The 12z Canadian also has a bizarre progression of the Jan 6/7 storm. It can’t make up its mind as to where to put the low as it approaches PA. We are very much in the game for this one. We just need the pattern to stay a little more progressive & we will be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:52 PM, Bubbler86 said: My take on it...Right or wrong... the GFS digs a deep trough down into N. Texas which raises the heights over us...and the SER is still out there though displaced a bit East vs. now. So the low takes the path it is given. It attacks that high in the NE. Expand Spot on. GFS has the low finding the weakness and riding it. It's a totally plausible idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 Just went for a 4 mile hike with my dad in the forested hills around Danville. 55 degrees with new vegetation growing on the forest floor. It looks and feels like Spring. Just crazy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 5:41 PM, TugHillMatt said: Just went for a 4 mile hike with my dad in the forested hills around Danville. 55 degrees with new vegetation growing on the forest floor. It looks and feels like Spring. Just crazy. Expand Awesome my wife and I talk about Exercising more often but don't 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 4:12 PM, Itstrainingtime said: That is true... I also forgot to add at the bottom of that post that my streak ended this year. Remember Illinois? It was too hard for me to add that. I'm 45-1 all-time. Expand That’s an astounding record. Amazing, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 5:53 PM, paweather said: Awesome my wife and I talk about Exercising more often but don't Expand I am proud of him. Since the summer he has been dedicated to losing weight. Greatly reduced carb intake and gets at least 10,000 steps a day. He has lost 40 pounds (below 200 pounds), almost 70 years old, and walked the same pace as me. I can tell he has so much more energy! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 6:07 PM, TugHillMatt said: I am proud of him. Since the summer he has been dedicated to losing weight. Greatly reduced carb intake and gets at least 10,000 steps a day. He has lost 40 pounds (below 200 pounds), almost 70 years old, and walked the same pace as me. I can tell he has so much more energy! Expand That is GREAT! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 ON EC first storm is not going to make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 It is cutting again for next Friday. UGH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 31, 2021 Share Posted December 31, 2021 On 12/31/2021 at 6:12 PM, paweather said: ON EC first storm is not going to make itThis is the better chance than next weekend.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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