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Widespread Snow Potential January 16th to January 18th


sferic
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2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Need to start looking at temps and we can't see in-between frames..

850th.us_ne (38).png

Start?!? I’ve been obsessing for days. Lol. Right on the cusp. The maps are more aggressive than the soundings. But it’s very close. As Vort said, dynamic cooling should help. NYC always gets saved by it- why can’t we for once? 

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1 minute ago, rochesterdave said:

Start?!? I’ve been obsessing for days. Lol. Right on the cusp. The maps are more aggressive than the soundings. But it’s very close. As Vort said, dynamic cooling should help. NYC always gets saved by it- why can’t we for once? 

I'm no pro, but I would be shocked if there were any sleet mixed in that.

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14 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Your hope is our disaster. Lol

I get that but cant help but think a 75-100 mile shift west is logical.  Most storms that head to this region end up much farther north and west than previously thought.

 

We currently are running a zero snow cover and extreme snow drought.

 

 

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6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Pretty massive jump east on NWS mapimage.thumb.jpeg.d11dd1643735a893f9848c43709669b3.jpeg

Why do they do this to me lol Especially with the models showing sleet during heaviest precipitation..Hrrr does have 1.5" liquid overnight, couple hours of sleet, hope that verifies, which it won't lol

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8 minutes ago, Owensnow said:

I get that but cant help but think a 75-100 mile shift west is logical.  Most storms that head to this region end up much farther north and west than previously thought.

 

We currently are running a zero snow cover and extreme snow drought.

 

 

You trolling?

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2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Why do they do this to me lol Especially with the models showing sleet during heaviest precipitation..Hrrr does have 1.5" overnight, couple hours of sleet, hope that verifies, which it won't lol

Looking forward to their disco. You’d hope that they have cohesive reasoning behind such a huge jump. They moved the 12-18 by like 40 miles

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7 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

NBM

I wanted to post a GIF of the composite reflectivity but it's too large to post more than a few frames. That band has been well advertised on the models... definitely looks like 2-4"/hour rates might be possible.

nbm-conus-nystate-refc-2399200.thumb.png.9b3130ba686f0d4fc63c2d2f71fc5bd8.pngnbm-conus-nystate-refc-2406400.thumb.png.a290878d564865853b228529ec752965.pngnbm-conus-nystate-refc-2420800.thumb.png.31c77c1a3666b2470e6b444a7cb2ccfb.png842074942_nbm-conus-nystate-total_precip_inch-2485600(1).thumb.png.a9db513410d6e098c00e48505515035e.png

1207072337_nbm-conus-nystate-total_snow_10to1-2485600(1).thumb.png.457fc4aaa313979881f3df7e63377414.png

What the hell is the NBM?

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