vortmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Not digging the 00z GFS. Canada vs US 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, vortmax said: Not digging the 00Z GFS. It’s pretty good! Soundings look fine for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: It’s pretty good! Soundings look fine for us. I'm being greedy, but would really like to see the US models cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: It’s pretty good! Soundings look fine for us. What’s that odd hole just east of KBUF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 0Z GFS not good for CNY. It's aost as if it's the 18Z NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 NAM leading the way on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 GFS is a good deal colder than the NAM..CNY slots pretty good... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Slam job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 00z canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Look at that band over monroe county. If that don't scream thundersnow. Lol. This is hi rez canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Any have access to hi rez Canadian maps on diffrent sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hour 48. Last frame 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I really think ROC gets dumped on but I also think this storm has an unusually high bust potential anywhere East of the Gennessee River. Like a 25% chance of a big bust. Warmth can over perform. A wound up storm can blow open a big dry slot. But I’m thinking 12”+ for Roc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hi rez Canadian totals. Thru 48 still snowing but almost done. Dave you would like that. This is only 10 to 1 ratio as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Pretty fugly look for CNY. Looks like 3-5" waa thump with probably some sleet mixed in during the 2nd half of the night and then slot. Syr area might do better on the backside with some wraparound snow. Thinking BGM issues WWA for all or most of the remaining watches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Syracuse is such a loser in synoptic snowstorms anymore. Enjoy your awesome band, Western NY friends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Ukie 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 RAP looks awful for CNY. By 7am monday the i81 corridor is above freezing with drizzle in the slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, tim123 said: Any have access to hi rez Canadian maps on diffrent sites 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: RAP looks awful for CNY. By 7am monday the i81 corridor is above freezing with drizzle in the slot. No matter where a low goes ..north, south, east.... We warm. I'm out for the night. Happy resting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Ukie 00z I'm a fan. I'm a big fan. Excellent uptick here this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 This model looks like it shows reverse down sloping in buffalo area with a ne wind. Not saying its correct at all just interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On the bright side, im glad I got a plow for the tractor this year. No more having to shovel heavy wet paste, slush, or sleet. Was hoping this storm might be the one to finally test the new snowblower attachment but that's gonna have to wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: No matter where a low goes ..north, south, east.... We warm. I'm out for the night. Happy resting. We're in the same boat, but I also know we got a solid 2 months ahead of chances too There also could be a sudden surprise too, ya never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Tornado warnings in Florida panhandle as storm comes onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Lowest pressure is at Pensacola fl. 29.63. 1003mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Tornado warnings in Florida panhandle as storm comes onshore Good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Euro is excellent. I'll sign the contract. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 No mixing at all north of bmg. Looks better for central ny 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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