lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, WHEATCENT said: man these mesoscale models out this far really screw ohio they must know something.... I wouldn’t trust a single thing the RAP says. That model is worse than the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I will die on the hill of SE ticks from here forward. I’ve seen this movie many, many times. …plus, if I’m wrong, who cares? It’s just weather! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Where you at blue moon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, Blue Moon said: Oswego Oh I didn't realize we had a Oswego poster. How long you been on this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: Oh I didn't realize we had a Oswego poster. How long you been on this forum Apparently he shows up once in a… I shall see myself out. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Point and click for roc is 6 to 10 sunday night alone. Then for Monday it just says heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Warning hoisted for 12-18 in WNY 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 There seem to have been a lot of instances over the past few years where we hit very cold temps (say below zero) and then rain a day later. It has happened enough that I find myself seeing a very cold forecast, then skeptically looking beyond to see what storm is going to pump warm air up. It happened last Sunday and is happening again this Sunday/Monday. Fascinating and infuriating all at the same time…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Hearing in New England forum 06z euro run took a jog east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Hearing in New England forum 06z euro run took a jog east. I have weatherbell, 6z euro doesn’t run until 6:45 I thought, I’ll check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Heisy said: 1 minute ago, Heisy said: I have weatherbell, 6z euro doesn’t run until 6:45 I thought, I’ll check Ok. Maybe I read it wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: Ok. Maybe I read it wrong. I looked. It was an “if statement.” We will find out in the next 15 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 21 minutes ago, Buckeyes_Suck said: Warning hoisted for 12-18 in WNY I read the AFD about 20 minutes ago and it’s just incredible. The comma head will be overhead Monday for several hours until the intensity drops as the system moves NE. They stated there is a chance someone in that area could exceed 18” during that time. Really exciting read. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 My bad. Not sure if it's so much a south east tic of low itself as much as its the upper level dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Like I had said odd to have such warm layers wrapped around a deepening low that far to nw of system. But I am just a novice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Nice morning out with 2 inches of fluff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Hopefully this is our tic SE a lot of us hoped for. Starting to think last nights 0z run NAM’ed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 This is from the Euro 0z output. Turned it sideways when I realized it looked exactly like Keuka Lake. Therefore, I am calling a northern Keuka Lake jackpot. Good luck all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Huge volcanic eruption in tonga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, tim123 said: Like I had said odd to have such warm layers wrapped around a deepening low that far to nw of system. But I am just a novice. It's basically because you have closed lows all away from the surface to at least h500, already established in the deep south... Warm air at many of these levels basically circulates around the storm, And transfers that warmth northward. Most East Coast storms that provide the goods for us in the northeast, start closing off around around the Mid Atlantic States. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 We should take this to the banter thread....but wow!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Wow that satellite imagery is incredible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Tsunami was pretty crazy. This world is wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Got some nice lake snow goin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Blizzard warnings possible in smokies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Nam has wind gusts to 95 mph on eastern long Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 EURO ticked colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: EURO ticked colder. Lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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