BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Depressing run for sure. But still time. Hopefully the EPS are more favorable and onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 EPS is going to shift dramatically west of 12/18z again based on early frames. Just seems like they are playing catchup to the shifts of the Op runs. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Damm BGM you the real MVP bro much appreciated with these maps! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, BGM Blizzard said: Some really good hits for the entire upstate 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6z ICON - yes, I know, would be amazing for us. Hopefully we’ve come far enough NW and now we start a few ticks to the SE… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS kicks a little SE and even pops a Low south of LI. Nice outcome for this board. I think I’ve reached my image max. Sorry no maps! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: GFS kicks a little SE and even pops a Low south of LI. Nice outcome for this board. I think I’ve reached my image max. Sorry no maps! Just woke up from my 4 hour nap. Lol. Go to your profile and then "My attachments." You can then select everything you want to delete. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 A nudge SE. Thankfully the NW trend stopped for a run. This would be good for all in NY except for the Long Island crew. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 And there it is eastern ohio is screwed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: A nudge SE. Thankfully the NW trend stopped for a run. This would be good for all in NY except for the Long Island crew. The low ends up east of LI just like the gefs. I'm not sure if the east trend is done . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The low ends up east of LI just like the gefs. I'm not sure if the east trend is done . I am ok with a bit more. I don't think it will be enough to help you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: The low ends up east of LI just like the gefs. I'm not sure if the east trend is done . Well, the EPS went well West so I wouldn’t call one ensemble model a “trend.” Plus what I see isn’t a major change of low placement - it’s a redevelopment. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: I am ok with a bit more. I don't think it will be enough to help you guys. Not trying to steal your thunder. Just posting the model runs. I envy your location 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 06 Z NAM has the Low west of Savannah, GA at 84 while the Rgem has it way back over the MS/AL line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Well, the EPS went well West so I wouldn’t call one ensemble model a “trend.” Plus what I see isn’t a major change of low placement - it’s a redevelopment. Eps and Euro have been way too amped lately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not trying to steal your thunder. Just posting the model runs. I envy your location Hey, I make it a point that I hope as many can cash in as possible. But if an awesome defo. band sits 10 miles to my west, that's a bit rough to take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps and Euro have been way too amped lately. I try not to look at recent storms since they are all different. For now I mentally blend it all I think it will take a lot to get you - but I’ve seen it before! Having lived down there most of my life, I have a soft spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I try not to look at recent storms since they are all different. For now I mentally blend it all I think it will take a lot to get you - but I’ve seen it before! Having lived down there most of my life, I have a soft spot. Where did you live ? You made a great choice moving out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Hey, I make it a point that I hope as many can cash in as possible. But if an awesome defo. band sits 10 miles to my west, that's a bit rough to take. I would love lake effect snow but I would be pissed if there is a snow band 5 miles from me while im not getting anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Where did you live ? You made a great choice moving out of here. Skaneateles NY. MesoBanding from other boards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Skaneateles NY. MesoBanding from other boards. I didn't even know it's you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 One key feature that we many times overlook, is the H 700 closed low position (Tombo mentioned it awhile back). It has been trending southeastward over the last 4 runs..... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 New England constantly refers to a benchmark track being optimal for them. The benchmark for my part of central NY is right up the Jersey coast and over LawnGuyland. Almost exactly what’s being modeled now for this storm. We take! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Where is everybody. ?lol. To much model porn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The 6z EPS is right over NYC. Awesome solution for us! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Last frame of 6z Euro. Closed 500mb low is in the western Carolinas this run vs TN/GA border on 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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