TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Ok, back to work... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: BIG run for the old King coming up. Looks good at 42 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaistDeepSnow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The bonus snows off Ontario are now reaching the northtowns. I like living in this secondary belt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: In the aforementioned New England thread, the Mets there were talking about how ALL the analogs were way to the east of the current models. And all agreed that with the starting 500mb maps (or something like that) they would bet on a typical storm track. But with all the models showing what they are, they were thinking this west track is the most likely outcome. That was maybe the one good point made in their recent tirade of a thread. Still finding it hard to believe that at least one of the major NWP op models doesn't go off the rails soon to add more confusion to the mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Was goin to say buffalo northtowns can get some accumulation today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro coming in hot and west....yikes. NIA the winner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: No need for personal attacks and vindictiveness here. When storms, or entire winters go against us we already know who to blame it on... cc: @TugHillMatt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Have winter? Not that it'll make you feel any better, but after Monday parts of Kentucky might have more seasonal snow than me. Certainly if the NAM is right anyway (yeah, I know) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Was goin to say buffalo northtowns can get some accumulation today Snowing the last 2 hours. Albeit light it’s close to a fluffy inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro almost gives south shore .2" from LE alone....hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, vortmax said: Euro coming in hot and west....yikes. NIA the winner. Yep Niagara Frontier looks to jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, vortmax said: Euro coming in hot and west....yikes. NIA the winner. Still looks good for you guys..(If it's all snow) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 .2" of that is pre-storm. NIA gets 2.00"+ from synoptic only. I still think we're going to see the SE shift begin tonight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, vortmax said: Euro coming in hot and west....yikes. NIA the winner. Post it bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Post it bro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 26 minutes ago, Syrmax said: imagine Matt in the NE Forum. Buwaahaaa! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 We kid of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I'll take that Euro run! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12Z Euro interesting...everything looks really good for CNY but like other models, seems to have a reduced precip area passing thru CNY. I wonder if its more attributable to the intense banding to the North and west of this feature rather than a traditional dryslot, which seems to be depicted further S&E as you can see below. The mid/upper levels look great...stacked low from H850 up to H500 passing just to eastern side of CNY. The slp location at h72 also is located a tad west of where you would think it would be based on trajectory from the SE up into Canada... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Great position for all of WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: So it drops 10 mB from CPA to N VT. That’s rapidly deepening. We should see dynamic cooling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: How does a low follow this track? Just doesn't seem realistic based on past experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks nice out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Oof. Deformation band blasts through and into Canada and it looks like ROC dry-slots and then relies on a good and long backside hit -- not what you want to count on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 We have some glitter falling here with full sunshine and barely a cloud in the sky lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, cny rider said: How does a low follow this track? Just doesn't seem realistic based on past experience. Glitch in the matrix. Just like Sandy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, cny rider said: How does a low follow this track? Just doesn't seem realistic based on past experience. I still think the models are struggling with the placement of the actual main slp. Some, including GFS have had multiple closed surface contours invcty of the actual L. So a bit of uncertainty there perhaps. But, this 'squirrley' slp track has appeared on numerous models and runs. So I dunno. I'm not going to try to invent an explanation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Not much change with the latest update.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Updated qpf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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