cny rider Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 27 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Yep not good. Just about lights out for here. I'm shocked BGM issued watches all the way to I81 and esp this early. Its marginal at best for warning criteria snowfall the way things have been looking. Yeah but we can look up and see the eye as it passes over us! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If this goes from Norfolk to Jamestown I’m gonna take up tropical fish…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Rgem still showing mixing FWIW..I guess we'll find out soon enough when meso guidance gets into range.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Rgem. With ratios. Not sure. I am confused cause it shows all sleet on map on pivitol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Gives rochester 2 inches of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Unless it counts sleet as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Rgem. With ratios. Not sure. I am confused cause it shows all sleet on map on pivitol. This map literally follows the 540 line for output. I looked closely. North and west of it snow. The rest, sleet. …long range rgem so we have to just keep waiting for that kind of transparency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If this happened we might lose @TugHillMatt 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 28 minutes ago, tim123 said: Ne to sw cloud streets forming. Actually light snow in Williamsville and the band is coming in from Lake Ontario. My feeling is anywhere North of the thruway for this event is in for the best enhancement. I feel this COULD be a reason for the inflated numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 23" in ROC and 3" in SYR would cause half this board to jump off a bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Icon crusher. But is it snow or a mix? Don't show mix just rain or snow in algorithms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Part of it(not all) is due to lower precipitation totals for syracuse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Can we just get ONE synoptic system in bloody Syracuse that isn't a freakin pile of #$#@#@#Q@#?!?! YEP. THM Melt Warning in effect. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Part of it(not all) is due to lower precipitation totals for syracuse.. Dry slotted with h7 track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Part of it(not all) is due to lower precipitation totals for syracuse.. 1.7” at KBUF? At 10-1 that’s 17”…this is more 12-1/15-1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Perfect. Sleet and then Dryslot. The curse continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: 1.7” at KBUF? At 10-1 that’s 17”…this is more 12-1/15-1? On that model, no.. This would be a big FU to kbuf CWA lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks way worse on pivitol. Tropical tidbits looks more reasonable with snowfall output 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: On that model, no.. This would be a big FU to kbuf CWA lol Very brief mid level intrusion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Looks way worse on pivitol. Tropical tidbits looks more reasonable with snowfall output I can’t believe that we’re even discussing the possibility of any mixing with the system so far to our east. Incredible. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I can’t believe that we’re even discussing the possibility of any mixing with the system so far to our east. Incredible. It’s still out of useful range of mesos, but look at the llj it’s a firehose right off the Atlantic due to the severe negative tilt the system takes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Odd having a 979 low in Hudson Valley and no wind anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12Z GFS running. Pretty similar to 06Z so far, maybe a bit slower. Northern stream seems to be digging a bit more. LP 3mb stronger at our lattitude. Precip shield moved west again. 25-50 miles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 18 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Perfect. Sleet and then Dryslot. The curse continues. Are you even going to be in Lysander for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS with this track would have one heck of a backside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Occludes back into VT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Nice run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Total precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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