tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Bgm area would be one area that could see bit less as dry slot issues could play a role. Heck that could shoot into syr and my area too but thinking we see 6+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, vortmax said: The EPS really tightened up. Nice. Is 18z the first run with some good northern stream vortmax sampling? Or it’s just getting closer in time so you’re getting more agreement on h5 features Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: This looks like a 6-10 for most of the region. Buffalo to Rochester 10-15 be my guess Thinking generally the same. Like 4-8/6-10 of WAA thump for most places and then another 4-8/6-10 in the deformation zone which right now looks to favor Gen Valley, south shore, western finger lakes area... maybe as far west as Buf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro definitely went a few ticks NW, obviously still snowing after this frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 All these ticks North and West... boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: All these ticks North and West... boo. And you still have 2.5 days to go lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: And you still have 2.5 days to go lol Ha...I feel like we've wasted so much synoptic snow over Lake Erie and Lake Ontario the past couple years. I don't know if there's going to be a SE shift that some of us are hoping for. The models continue to narrow in on the Low moving over PA...and of course that dry slot shoving its way directly north...and getting closer and closer to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 hours ago, Blue Moon said: You gotta fill me in on... whatever this is. Who DARES to buy a vowel??? 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Gorizer said: Who DARES to buy a vowel??? I’ll take an O Please. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Darth Bond? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Darth Bond? Darth band, darth Vader’s uncle 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Blue Moon said: Y'all are a wild lot We all get teased for different reasons...makes for a fun time. The quick wit and hilarious comebacks have only improved over the years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 30 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Darth Bond? Everyone's a smart ass. You'll get what's coming to you Mr. Smart Guy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Everyone's a smart ass. You'll get what's coming to you Mr. Smart Guy. Speaking of which...Why do all your memes consist of ugly, miserable looking men? Is that how you identify? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Speaking of which...Why do all your memes consist of ugly, miserable looking men? Is that how you identify? That's a subject I am not broaching here, or even in OT... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Wow, if the NAM ends up anywhere close to being right, my in-laws in Clarksville, TN will get over a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 While it has the Low in a great spot off the coast of New Jersey, it has a huge dry slot...right up into CNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Wow, if the NAM ends up anywhere close to being right, my in-laws in Clarksville, TN will get over a foot of snow. The snowbelts of Tenesee always rake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Lol The NAMS have ALWAYS hated CNY. I think they were engineered with the intention of ticking us off. "Ehhh...let's give CNY a random mix and THEN dryslot them. tehehe." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Lol That’s heavy snow. Because looking at the 700 and 850, there’s no way it’s sleet. No way 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: That’s heavy snow. Because looking at the 700 and 850, there’s no way it’s sleet. No way Ehhh...remember who lives there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Ehhh...remember who lives there. Lol. Honestly, the NAM would be perfect for you. Dry slot would just miss you to the East. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 My bad. My hours were off on the upper levels. But still, how could the mix be that far NW?!? Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2.2 inches! I don’t drink much but I may start if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: That’s heavy snow. Because looking at the 700 and 850, there’s no way it’s sleet. No way Yeah, that just looks like high end deformation to me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: Lol. Honestly, the NAM would be perfect for you. Dry slot would just miss you to the East. No? JUST misses to the east. No breathing room. But we also know that's usually the case if you can luck out and stay in the heavy banding that surrounds the dryslot. That's usually the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, CNY_WX said: 2.2 inches! I don’t drink much but I may start if this verifies. Eh, check out the bullcrap it pulls though...it "tries" mixing us and lightning up the precip. as the dryslot nears. Seems silly with the Low all the way off the NJ coast, which is a great spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: That’s heavy snow. Because looking at the 700 and 850, there’s no way it’s sleet. No way Nam does actually pop 850s above freezing verbatim llol But it's the LR NAM.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Lol..The Ultimate Sizzle Effect? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now