Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: NAM 3km shows freezing rain on the backside of a low pressure system. I've never seen that before. That has to be sleet right? Is that not just really heavy snow? Hard to tell with the color scheme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3km nam nails roc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: 3km nam nails roc 10:1? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, vortmax said: With ratios bit I think not much diffrent at 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 10 to 1 map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: We should have a CNY storm contest...predict the time of first pingers. Bonus is time and duration of dryslot. 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Matt should start a CNY pingslot obs thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 35 deg at BUF currently, forecast high I think was 29. Warm spot in upstate currently, some downslope warming on light southeast wind? Hopefully not a harbinger of “overachieving warmth” to come here in WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hrrr drops this precip in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 That's a massive dryslot on HRRR. I'll be posting later, good luck to all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: 35 deg at BUF currently, forecast high I think was 29. Warm spot in upstate currently, some downslope warming on light southeast wind? Hopefully not a harbinger of “overachieving warmth” to come here in WNY. 3km kinda shows this for buffalo in snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: What sort of validity do you find in not only the track, but the extensive mixing it shows? I think it's a bit over amped....but seeing all the models show some mixing, at some point over just about everywhere north and west of the storm track, gives me pause from going with big totals region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Blue Moon said: Is Matt still hiding out after rage quitting last night? Eh, I just decided I wasn't going to spend the whole day fretting about a storm that doesn't necessarily look the greatest for my locale. And as a weenie, I know my emotions can get ridiculous over snow. OH...and I was preoccupied with visiting somebody with the wife...... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Tomorrow morning in CNY, many will be saying "what storm?".... But I think we salvage a wintery scene by mid afternoon through Tuesday. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Eh, I just decided I wasn't going to spend the whole day fretting about a storm that doesn't nexe look the greatest for my locale. And as a weenie, I know my emotions can get ridiculous over snow. OH...and I was preoccupied with visiting somebody with the wife...... That’s funny. My coworkers been driving me crazy with this storm. It’s clear that nobody but weenies care. They be all, “I heard it’s going to hit NYC”. “Wasn’t it supposed to happen last night?” “I think it’s too cold to have a storm” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: Tomorrow morning in CNY, many will be saying "what storm?".... But I think we salvage a wintery scene by mid afternoon through Tuesday. The back end has salvaged countless storms like this. Thank goodness for Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Never let a dry slot get in the way of a fun time! Wait… 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: The back end has salvaged countless storms like this. Thank goodness for Ontario. Warmer than average lake too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Tomorrow morning in CNY, many will be saying "what storm?".... But I think we salvage a wintery scene by mid afternoon through Tuesday. Wow sounds like you're even less impressed with this than the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Wow sounds like you're even less impressed with this than the Nam. The first part... We get 4-6" mid afternoon through Tues afternoon.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I am glad the lake effect provided a bit for here the past couple weeks, as I am starting this event off with a several inch glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I am glad the lake effect provided a bit for here the past couple weeks, as I am starting this event off with a several inch glacier. And I'm starting this event off with grass not covered this season yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I am glad the lake effect provided a bit for here the past couple weeks, as I am starting this event off with a several inch glacier. The sleet bomb should be good for making a solid snowcover for weeks. Sizzle notwithstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 BGM updated map through 1AM Tuesday. Pretty similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, vortmax said: And I'm starting this event off with grass not covered this season yet. I am more excited for you to get clobbered than I am for anyone else here. I definitely know what you're going to get, as Tim reminds us every two minutes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I am more excited for you to get clobbered than I am for anyone else here. I definitely know what you're going to get, as Tim reminds us every two minutes. Where has Tim been? Hasn’t even appeared once on this page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: The sleet bomb should be good for making a solid snowcover for weeks. Sizzle notwithstanding... Eh, the next warmup we get where everyone else is in the 40s we will somehow hit 60 and melt it anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I am here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Where has Tim been? Hasn’t even appeared once on this page. Adjusting his ruler... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Adjusting his ruler... Practicing the slant stick method of measurement Rochester is know for. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 You people and your jealousy cause I need a bigger ruler. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now