mississaugasnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 enjoy guys! All it took for a big dog was for me to head to Florida. I woke up this morning though to tornado warnings from the same storm so all is not lost haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Welcome Back Freaky!Thanks BW, I wish I could be here, but just too much going on with the sale of the house and moving, so its been pretty hectic, and it's happening, in the middle of Winter, how stupid right? I can thank my ex for that bullshit!Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Still bones syracuse with slot. But hits em good with warm advertising snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, MGorse said: Well now, I am glad I did not name the actual town! LOL How’s everything going with mt holly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Classic look for lake enhanced snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Pretty noticeable shift east with mix and dry slot on nam. Noticed that here too. The NAM had been one of the most aggreessive models with slotting us down here, but the 3K did not get us in the dry slot at all so a big jump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, KPITSnow said: Noticed that here too. The NAM had been one of the most aggreessive models with slotting us down here, but the 3K did not get us in the dry slot at all so a big jump. Hope you guys get a win and a foot down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: Hope you guys get a win and a foot down there. I am not a Steelers fan haha. I am rooting for KC to destroy them (not so much I have another team, steelers fans are grating) And I'm being greedy. I want 15+. PIT does not get set ups like this often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 What is up with BGM?? Are they serious with that stupid looking adv-warning maps? Advisory for Onondaga and Madison and even Oneida? Idk who's forecasting but man, they may be right, I suppose, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 It’s a nice SE jog here. Especially on the 3K. Limits the dry slot some for Onondaga and nearby. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Oh, I see, their seeing a wicked dry slot that's why the paltry totals coming out of BGM.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: How’s everything going with mt holly? Short staffed again but we are making it work. Amazing the arctic air in place now will be gone tonight with just a wind driven rain occurring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Lol. @wolfie09 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Whoever gets under that Deformation band will be the winners for sure and look how far NW it goes from the SLP!Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 That’s a major snow jump for eastern areas on the 3K. Good little trend and it doesn’t hurt our brethren out West. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, MGorse said: Short staffed again but we are making it work. Amazing the arctic air in place now will be gone tonight with just a wind driven rain occurring. Even as a MET, does it still shock you to see places go from 5 degrees to 40 and rain in 24 hours? I can't tell you how many times I've seen it here and it just blows my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, 96blizz said: It’s a nice SE jog here. Especially on the 3K. Limits the dry slot some for Onondaga and nearby. Tightening up the precip shield like that is probably the difference between getting 6" and getting 12" IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, MGorse said: Short staffed again but we are making it work. Amazing the arctic air in place now will be gone tonight with just a wind driven rain occurring. I will help out Gorse (MesoBanding from other boards). I’m terrible and don’t know much but my passion is intense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, PerintonMan said: Tightening up the precip shield like that is probably the difference between getting 6" and getting 12" IMBY. Definitely don’t mean to root against anyone. One side or the other will get hurt here. Always cutoffs and dry slots with these storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: What is up with BGM?? Are they serious with that stupid looking adv-warning maps? Advisory for Onondaga and Madison and even Oneida? Idk who's forecasting but man, they may be right, I suppose, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Hey, Freaky! I agree with you there despite the ugly runs we've been seeing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3k nam is pretty wet, not all snow verbatim but we take lol Looks like around 1.75" liquid near BM in Oswego.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Pretty much all guidance has spread the QPF out more evenly over the state the past day or so. We all win. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 18 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Even as a MET, does it still shock you to see places go from 5 degrees to 40 and rain in 24 hours? I can't tell you how many times I've seen it here and it just blows my mind. It is quite amazing, but I like snow so it is rather frustrating as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 33 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: What is up with BGM?? Are they serious with that stupid looking adv-warning maps? Advisory for Onondaga and Madison and even Oneida? Idk who's forecasting but man, they may be right, I suppose, so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Although odd looking, it's reasonable based on the current modeling. All the models shove a dry slot right up thru CNY. Warning criteria snowfall is not very likely right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Pretty much all guidance has spread the QPF out more evenly over the state the past day or so. We all win. True for most... Sleet and/or dryslot continue to show up over one of the most infuriating weather locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 HAHAHA. That m’fer. 3k been trolling me for days. Finally collapses. Jesus. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 HiREZ GFS excited to see if it’s any good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The heavier banding could sneak into SW Oswego county.. This map is not far off from the 6z Rgem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: HiREZ GFS excited to see if it’s any good. Dave you will like the wrfs as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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