Parsley Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:07 AM, TugHillMatt said: Welcome! Question: Do you have all your teeth? Expand Lol! Yes, thankfully. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:01 AM, tombo82685 said: usually above -3. I'm not saying it's not snow for you. I'm just saying a -5 temp at h7 is very warm compared to normal and would effect ratios Expand I was speaking specifically in reference to this storm and wether it was a temp that would support snow at that level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Considering I'm the only one here who has lived in Altmar, I would know.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:08 AM, tombo82685 said: -6.6 out there right now Expand That's what your snow depth will be after Monday's storm. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:09 AM, Parsley said: Lol! Yes, thankfully. Expand Well, if you want to blend in, knock a few of them out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Nws does mention a period of stronger wind 35mph on south shore after low heads up to dacks. So could be near blizzard for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:10 AM, wolfie09 said: Considering I'm the only one here who has lived in Altmar, I would know.. Expand I actually catch a Children of the Corn vibe whenever I drive through the Tug. Like, ‘please car, don’t breakdown now’. But then I wished I lived there. Conflicted 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Cmc near end of run. Lol. This weather tracking takes years off your life i swear. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:12 AM, rochesterdave said: I actually catch a Children of the Corn vibe whenever I drive through the Tug. Like, ‘please car, don’t breakdown now’. But then I wished I lived there. Conflicted Expand I could see that...especially when everyone you meet is a Yerdon. You're like, "Oh....ok. I just...met...your cousin?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:16 AM, TugHillMatt said: I could see that...especially when everyone you meet is a Yerdon. You're like, "Oh....ok. I just...met...your cousin?" Expand Where I go up there, there have literally been ‘big foot’ sightings. I kid you not. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 5:19 AM, rochesterdave said: Where I go up there, there have literally been ‘big foot’ sightings. I kid you not. Expand That's just me looking for frozen dog turds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Thanks for the laughs folks. I'm goin to bed with some nice snow falling! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 We take. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Today, Saturday, is the day we really look to see if any ticks SE occur. If they're to occur, we should start to see it in the next set of 06Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Euro looks same tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Kutchie maps anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 6:16 AM, tim123 said: Euro looks same tonight Expand Looks east to me compared to the gfs and nam. It's the same with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 An inch of liquid on the dot here, all snow. I'll take that in a heartbeat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 6:17 AM, tim123 said: Kutchie maps anyone? Expand Here ya go. Gotta see what the meso models show regarding the sleet issue tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 6:22 AM, rochesterdave said: Here ya go. Gotta see what the meso models show regarding the sleet issue tomorrow. Expand Can you put up 12z at same time to compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Local Met Peter Hall seems pretty convinced we have lots of mix here in CNY. Meh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 6:25 AM, tim123 said: Can you put up 12z at same time to compare? Expand Almost exactly the same. The 0z pushes the heaviest a tiny smidge NW. but not a lot. 0z looks better than 18z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Seems same run really nothing glaring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 0z 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 6:27 AM, TugHillMatt said: Local Met Peter Hall seems pretty convinced we have lots of mix here in CNY. Meh. Expand If you read his write up this was based on information as of 11 PM so I get the feeling he was heavily influenced by the 0Z NAM. There are still enough difference in the models that we can’t be certain what’s going to happen, especially here in CNY. It will be interesting to see what the models bring tomorrow but I’m actually intrigued to see how this storm plays out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 HRRR looks like a nice swath of snow. Snowfall is most similar to Euro through this time and the Low looks like it moves east..at least the last few frames. So very Euro-like. Good start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Ohio gets completely screwed with that run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 7:58 AM, TugHillMatt said: HRRR looks like a nice swath of snow. Snowfall is most similar to Euro through this time and the Low looks like it moves east..at least the last few frames. So very Euro-like. Good start. Expand Looking hrrr this far out is like looking at nam 84 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 8:09 AM, tim123 said: Looking hrrr this far out is like looking at nam 84 hours out Expand Disagree.36 hours separate the two. Big difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now