BGM Blizzard Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks to keep it all snow? Not for THM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: Thats actually quite warm for 700mb lol Nah. As long as 700’s stay -4 we are ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 @LakeEffectKing dream of 12z ukmet has fallen, as ukmet has aligned with the rest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: My analysis I'm even on the line of your circle. That doesn't help. Do I get snow or bullshit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Nah. As long as 700’s stay -4 we are ok. In the general scheme of things that is warm, considering you're talking over 10k ft in the air. -4 or -5 is very warm for that layer of atmosphere this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I'm even on the line of your circle. That doesn't help. Do I get snow or bullshit? Frozen dog turds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: Frozen dog turds But that's what @tim123likes. A pile gets covered in a dusting of snow and he measures in at 7 inches. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: But that's what @tim123likes. A pile gets covered in a dusting of snow and he measures in at 7 inches. Thats a big dog turd. 7 inches 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 15, 2022 Author Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: But that's what @tim123likes. A pile gets covered in a dusting of snow and he measures in at 7 inches. This is my fault, I own it, I brought Long Island's Nassau County snow hole here with me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 UK just went to shit. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: @LakeEffectKing dream of 12z ukmet has fallen, as ukmet has aligned with the rest Hey, if the Icon and Ukie fail us, we can always go with the Rap! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 UKIE did cave to a CMC look. 850’s stay pretty cold but admittedly it could be between frames we see the worst of it. And….it’s the Uncle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: UK just went to shit. Oh well That looks more in line with other guidance now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 On second thought... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 13 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: In the general scheme of things that is warm, considering you're talking over 10k ft in the air. -4 or -5 is very warm for that layer of atmosphere this time of year. What temp does it stay snow at the 700? I was always led to believe it was -4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Hey, if the Icon and Ukie fail us, we can always go with the Rap! The Russian model is way southeast wow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: What temp does it stay snow at the 700? I was always led to believe it was -4. Either way its brief I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: The Russian model is way southeast wow But has the low near Pittsburgh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Arrived in Altmar, NY this evening. 1 degree on the car thermometer. Solid snow/ice pack. This is a rescheduled vacation from Christmas (no snow + 1 sick kid = cancel). I’ll have obs. rolling as things unfold. Didn’t have time to analyze the models much today with travel, etc. Looks like a wintry mix on tap ending with snow on the backside. Those who mix can blame me and @tombo82685for bringing the sleetfests from southeast PA. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: What temp does it stay snow at the 700? I was always led to believe it was -4. usually above -3. I'm not saying it's not snow for you. I'm just saying a -5 temp at h7 is very warm compared to normal and would effect ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Parsley said: Arrived in Altmar, NY this evening. 1 degree on the car thermometer. Solid snow/ice pack. This is a rescheduled vacation from Christmas (no snow + 1 sick kid = cancel). I’ll have obs. rolling as things unfold. Didn’t have time to analyze the models much today with travel, etc. Looks like a wintry mix on tap ending with snow on the backside. Those who mix can blame me and @tombo82685for bringing the sleetfests from southeast PA. Trust me. You guys class that area up. Your pickups aren’t on blocks. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 You can spit this storm in half in 2 parts. 10 to 1 first 12 hours. Then 20 to 1 last 12 hours. Average entire storm 15 to one. Thats what kutchie maps are showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Trust me. You guys class that area up. Your pickups aren’t on blocks. My wife said we may have to stop at the Dollar General in town tomorrow. I wonder what aisle the meth. is in? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 I could see Monroe co raining this whole event 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, Parsley said: My wife said we may have to stop at the Dollar General in town tomorrow. I wonder what aisle the meth. is in? Let me know. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: I could see Monroe co raining this whole event This isn't the new England forum. Trolling is allowed. Ha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Parsley said: Arrived in Altmar, NY this evening. 1 degree on the car thermometer. Solid snow/ice pack. This is a rescheduled vacation from Christmas (no snow + 1 sick kid = cancel). I’ll have obs. rolling as things unfold. Didn’t have time to analyze the models much today with travel, etc. Looks like a wintry mix on tap ending with snow on the backside. Those who mix can blame me and @tombo82685for bringing the sleetfests from southeast PA. Welcome! Question: Do you have all your teeth? 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Trust me. You guys class that area up. Your pickups aren’t on blocks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: This isn't the new England forum. Trolling is allowed. Ha haha, I think you're in a great spot. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 -6.6 out there right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Parsley said: My wife said we may have to stop at the Dollar General in town tomorrow. I wonder what aisle the meth. is in? Aisle 4, next to the crack.. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now