Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Snooze fest. Can't even get my man Ralph some freaking snow. -RSC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 27 minutes ago, RedSky said: Can't remember the last time the NAM kicked me in the butt like this lol Hoochie mama! It's just coming into range on the last panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This one’s looking like a total non event now for 95 s and east. all the trends from 12z pretty much bounced back to the west at 18z, not even an inch in most models. Good luck to the n and w folks, hopefully you guys get a decent thump. I’m ready for the next threat, whenever that will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 hours ago, RedSky said: The tracking has been a tedious affair with this one. We don't get many of these inland huggers the last twenty years. More like a Piedmont special... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 18 minutes ago, The Iceman said: This one’s looking like a total non event now for 95 s and east. all the trends from 12z pretty much bounced back to the west at 18z, not even an inch in most models. Good luck to the n and w folks, hopefully you guys get a decent thump. I’m ready for the next threat, whenever that will be. That sucks. We majorly overproduced last Feb, was hoping those SE to me would catch up early this year. It's still 72 hours out though so don't give up just yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, The Iceman said: This one’s looking like a total non event now for 95 s and east. all the trends from 12z pretty much bounced back to the west at 18z, not even an inch in most models. Good luck to the n and w folks, hopefully you guys get a decent thump. I’m ready for the next threat, whenever that will be. At least we know days ahead of time. Still holding out hope for more than a dusting of snow and sleet before the rain moves in. It's the weather, so things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The 0z NAM is pretty far southeast of its 18z run. The only problem? There's a huge warm tongue that torches everyone, even the Poconos! This is gonna be a nightmare to nail down over the next day or two... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 DT first guess map in an hour. Suggests popcorn and hard liquor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: The 0z NAM is pretty far southeast of its 18z run. The only problem? There's a huge warm tongue that torches everyone, even the Poconos! This is gonna be a nightmare to nail down over the next day or two... Hoochie's tongue will be everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: The 0z NAM is pretty far southeast of its 18z run. The only problem? There's a huge warm tongue that torches everyone, even the Poconos! This is gonna be a nightmare to nail down over the next day or two... It's pretty easy outside of the LV. Non event lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 well this NAM model run says it all for our snow chances in the video clip. No way if this keeps up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 DT first guess...a 30-50 mile move east would make a huge difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Might as well put up the start time maps too but careful it causes seizures for epileptics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Mt. Holly's initial thoughts yesterday afternoon - And WPC's take - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6z GEFS shows a move east... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: 6z GEFS shows a move east... Not seeing it. Looks like a brief thump to rain for many still outside of far interior N and W: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Not seeing it. Looks like a brief thump to rain for many still outside of far interior N and W: As clarification, "move east" compared to most of the other guidance the past couple days that had it much further inland. The 6z Euro is still running it mostly inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Weenie handbook rule #11: When all else fails, go with "The storm will manufacture it's own cold air". But seriously, amazing how locked in the models have been on the overall track since Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Unfortunately, it looks like high winds close to the coast will be the story with this one. But we’ll likely see more chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Ch6 at noon accumulation map. May be a little high as warm air seems eager to rush in fast/early... 44F/Windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The Great warm wind storm of arctic cold January 2022. Without the actual numbers done this likely will be a top 5 cold January in the last 30 years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Ch6 at noon accumulation map. May be a little high as warm air seems eager to rush in fast/early... 44F/Windy Keep taking bites off my expectations, now they stand at 2" again like the last "storm" and the snow looking like it won't make it before dark...and only like 4 hours of it...spring can't get here soon enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Of course the GFS had to win this one in a blowout 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro 12Z....better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Euro 12Z....better than nothing. Hopefully we can thump for 2-3 hours, that’s all we have left to cling to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Hopefully we can thump for 2-3 hours, that’s all we have left to cling to. I never knew I had the same climo as DC just look at that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Good news is euro is wound up like an extra tropical cane, the wind swept mild rain is reduced to just six hours and it's gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro seems pretty bullish on snowfall totals north of the Lehigh Valley. I guess they're called clown maps for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Euro 12Z....better than nothing. Yes I’m surprised it is that high. Some of it could be sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, mattinpa said: Yes I’m surprised it is that high. Some of it could be sleet? Maybe counting on the initial thump...my expectations are pretty low at 1-2" of snow then whatever falls. 42F/Gusty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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