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Jan 16-17th Boom or Bust


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1 minute ago, John1122 said:

This is the strangest event I've ever seen. The models just showed random slots of rain/mix/snow in unusual locations and I didn't believe it. They were right though. 

Yeah it's really weird.  And elevation definitely hasn't been the key factor either. Seems like the further south you are the better. Apparently the warm nose set right up over Western Cumberland County and random other spots and won't leave. I have no clue how the snow from this morning is still on the ground.

It's pouring snow in town according to WATE cameras too and they are 1850ft and further south.

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Just now, Shocker0 said:

Yeah it's really weird.  And elevation definitely hasn't been the key factor either. Seems like the further south you are the better. Apparently the warm nose set right up over Western Cumberland County and random other spots and won't leave. I have no clue how the snow from this morning is still on the ground.

It's pouring snow in town according to WATE cameras too and they are 1850ft and further south.

An area 600 feet lower than me, but just to my southwest got 2 inches here this morning while I struggled to a sloppy mixed up inch. It's like there are pockets of random warmth in the atmosphere.

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I am right at the bottom of the area that is begaining to piviot.  Hope it fills in as the direction changes.
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That’s what I’m hoping also. Need to get those winds running in a different direction. Surface winds here are ripping it out of the NE though


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Yeah it's really weird.  And elevation definitely hasn't been the key factor either. Seems like the further south you are the better. Apparently the warm nose set right up over Western Cumberland County and random other spots and won't leave. I have no clue how the snow from this morning is still on the ground.
It's pouring snow in town according to WATE cameras too and they are 1850ft and further south.

I think there’s a fine line between being underneath the core dynamics but not too close to the L that the temps are warmer. I think maybe you are not benefiting from dynamic cooling like SE Tennessee is.


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2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

The precipitation goes back to Nashville and up to Louisville Ky and the pivot might rotate that back through especially west of Knoxville.


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The HRRR seems to think so. It has it pinwheeling through until around 10pm tonight until it starts breaking down and being confined to the mountains.

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Talk to me about the trailing wave tonight. Would that effect Knoxville or just the boarder counties north of Knoxville? If the DGZ is low and saturated, a good NW CAA might be enough for high ratios.


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Could if the energy is stout enough valley locations could get involved and under banding. Yesterday there were advisories issued in Iowa and Minnesota as it was diving south they have since ended but up that way it was moisture starved so that was impressive for a moisture starved disturbance in an area that doesn't have elevation to aid in lift. As we know our mountains are great a 1 thing, that being trapping low level moisture. If enough lingers it could be a nice surprise event for even the central valley.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk




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