Kasper Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 39 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: “Americans most trusted weather network” . I’ll take 2 please 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 39 minutes ago, Kasper said: Where the heck is @Carvers Gaphe usually eats these damn things lol Been out doing some running this morning and some other errands. Then watched the UT basketball game.................................................Recovering from the UK/UT game. I can only handle watching so much bad basketball in one afternoon, and then try to watch models after that. Update: 18z Euro looked steady. It also had a slight 25 mi SE jog over the Carolinas. Didn't make much difference to the run. Also, there are just times when I don't know what the crap it is going to do. LOL. This is one of them. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 We are either going to be... or or or ....but for now I am . Seriously @Kasper, I post a lot when the board is quiet, especially medium and long range stuff. But when you all are doing the discussing, it is a blast just to sit back and watch the forum go to work. And man, the 18z GFS looked good. This storm is likely the beginning of about a 12-14 day cold shot. Fingers crossed that the STJ stay active. We are likely in a good spot for once during the last two weeks of January. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: For the NBM: To me that model sucks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: We are either going to be... or or or ....but for now I am . Seriously @Kasper, I post a lot when the board is quiet, especially medium and long range stuff. But when you all are doing the discussing, it is a blast just to sit back and watch the forum go to work. And man, the 18z GFS looked good. This storm is likely the beginning of about a 12-14 day cold shot. Fingers crossed that the STJ stay active. We are likely in a good spot for once during the last two weeks of January. @carvers Looked good for this storm or after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Been out doing some running this morning and some other errands. Then watched the UT basketball game.................................................Recovering from the UK/UT game. I can only handle watching so much bad basketball in one afternoon, and then try to watch models after that. Update: 18z Euro looked steady. It also had a slight 25 mi SE jog over the Carolinas. Didn't make much difference to the run. Also, there are just times when I don't know what the crap it is going to do. LOL. This is one of them. I didn’t even bother watching the game, that offense is about as bad as the models with this storm, oh and the defense went south as well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Hrrr really starting to pull meaningful precip into the valley tmrw morning. Tick tick tick continues. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Not something I see very often Chattanooga local TV WTVC News Channel 9 is not aligning with the NWS and channel 9 tends to be pretty conservative with snow but they are saying 1"-3" valley and 3"-6" or higher mountains. I think that is more reasonable than MRX forecast.Haven't checked Knoxville local stations, I live in an area where both cities TV stations are available.https://fb.watch/az7tq0RViK/Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I’ll take 2 pleaseBoobs. I love boobs. Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Not something I see very often Chattanooga local TV WTVC News Channel 9 is not aligning with the NWS and channel 9 tends to be pretty conservative with snow but they are saying 1"-3" valley and 3"-6" or higher mountains. I think that is more reasonable than MRX forecast.Haven't checked Knoxville local stations, I live in an area where both cities TV stations are available.https://fb.watch/az7tq0RViK/Sent from my SM-G965U using TapatalkWhich is big change of course from them… they were talking about not seeing anything this morning. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The waiting game is on. The hours until snow actually starts is the hard time. Will it, won't it? I hate marginal set ups. I want a Miller A/Slider with 20s forum wide. Not sure where the HRRR had my temperature a few runs ago for this hour, but it's 36/32. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Yep. Bill Race is normally conservative. He was showing 1-3" in the valleys but he did go low and said immediate Chattanooga area 0.6". Hell, no one knows at this point. Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Yep. Bill Race is normally conservative. He was showing 1-3" in the valleys but he did go low and said immediate Chattanooga area 0.6". Hell, no one knows at this point. Sent from my moto z4 using TapatalkHonestly I love tracking these winter storms, but this one is ridiculous. No one knows. . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 14 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said: Not something I see very often Chattanooga local TV WTVC News Channel 9 is not aligning with the NWS and channel 9 tends to be pretty conservative with snow but they are saying 1"-3" valley and 3"-6" or higher mountains. I think that is more reasonable than MRX forecast. Haven't checked Knoxville local stations, I live in an area where both cities TV stations are available.https://fb.watch/az7tq0RViK/ Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk David Aldrich is calling for .5 inch to 3+ inches in the valley I guess that’s why he’s Captain Accurate! Lol 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Interesting…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Interesting….They had to convert a lot of winter weather advisories to winter storm warnings in Arkansas the storm way over performed for a lot of areas that were not expected to see anything at all or very little.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 I going all in on this one, might be wrong but I have a good feeling. Been watching these setups for 40 years. I think areas around Chatt might even have a chance. Athens North I think have a fair chance up the valley. See how I hedged everything. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 25 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: @carvers Looked good for this storm or after? To clarify....Next two weeks AFTER the storm. 18z GFS has a big storm next weekend as does the Euro and CMC. Euro and CMC are both to the SE with that system, but I suspect it trends to the NW as pretty much every storm has. This current storm moved almost 300-400 miles west once it began to move - I think. Good look for E TN IF it holds. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 So far, it's overperforming everywhere. Parts of Iowa got 14-15 inches. I believe it had been showing 6-8 there. Unfortunately, past performance doesn't guarantee future success. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Interesting… . The Ozark mountains in Arkansas were supposed to get 4-8 from this. The quachita mountains were 2-4. Reports from north/central Arkansas have all been overperforming. Which is good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The waiting game is on. The hours until snow actually starts is the hard time. Will it, won't it? I hate marginal set ups. I want a Miller A/Slider with 20s forum wide. Not sure where the HRRR had my temperature a few runs ago for this hour, but it's 36/32. Looking around temps are pretty uniform across ETn below 2500’. I’m at 38 and would think normally you would be 7-10 degrees colder than me. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: So far, it's overperforming everywhere. Parts of Iowa got 14-15 inches. I believe it had been showing 6-8 there. Unfortunately, past performance doesn't guarantee future success. On the other hand, my buddy in Batesville, AR has 0" still and NWS had him at 3-5". But it's like he's in a snow dome or something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 On the other hand, my buddy in Batesville, AR has 0" still and NWS had him at 3-5". But it's like he's in a snow dome or something.Could that be because the system tracked further west? Or is he having p type issues?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 The Ozark mountains in Arkansas were supposed to get 4-8 from this. The quachita mountains were 2-4. Reports from north/central Arkansas have all been overperforming. Which is good . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Shocker0 said: On the other hand, my buddy in Batesville, AR has 0" still and NWS had him at 3-5". But it's like he's in a snow dome or something. It wasn’t supposed to start snowing for them until tonight. They should be getting into it within the next few hours. 8-1am is their prime time to rack up some snow ⛄️ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highway2Heel Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Looking around temps are pretty uniform across ETn below 2500’. I’m at 38 and would think normally you would be 7-10 degrees colder than me. . On days like today, southerly flow, cloudy, saturated atmosphere, the difference isn't as much normally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Could that be because the system tracked further west? Or is he having p type issues? . He's just been getting rain while everyone else has been getting snow all around him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: . 8 inches of heavy wet snow, you know that will be a beautiful sunrise there tomorrow morning! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now