Mrwolf1972 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I will take the cmc it moves the warm air west enough for loudon to get hammerd. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The UK from last night also shows a more traditional Miller A... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It will be interesting to see what the 12Z Euro shows... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Hrr at its furthest brings the whole system south nothing in Tennessee at 48hrs 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 59 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I'm just going to guess here, but looks like Chatty gets TROWAL'd on the 12z GFS. I remember when west TN got TROWAL'd a few years ago. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: Hrr at its furthest brings the whole system south nothing in Tennessee at 48hrs Way out there for the HRRR, but that look would be a big storm. Probably not right FTR. However, that is a Miller A. Tough storm to track. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 23 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: One of the biggest issues in the grand scheme is not getting the truly cold Canadian air down here that's been hanging out and mainly being shunted b4 getting to our Latt. Many of us can remember systems that tracked in a similar fashion as this one that we all still received a decent snowfall, due to much colder air involved ; in place as well as backside caa. Jan 20-30th. That is where we have a shot with that. This storm is likely the beginning of a cold couple of weeks. Fingers crossed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: Hrr at its furthest brings the whole system south nothing in Tennessee at 48hrs I would think the precip filled more to the north. I mean that just looks so not right. Like a brick wall at the TN border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At this rate the euro is last remaining hope. Which lately it’s not been so king. Sunny & cool weekend I can handle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At this rate the euro is last remaining hope. Which lately it’s not been so king. Sunny & cool weekend I can handle. Isn’t the NAM and RGEM close to the Euro? Been busy this morning. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbald Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: At this rate the euro is last remaining hope. Which lately it’s not been so king. Sunny & cool weekend I can handle. Is it really though? CMC was a good hit and track for east tn, and so was its short range model. Still plenty of time for this to trend good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastTNWeatherAdmirer Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The Hi-Res CMC, or RGEM, is a fairly respectable and somewhat reliable model its outcome is halfway decent for the valley, particularly along and north of I-40, I 81 and up through TYS... RGEM Kutchera Output: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 It's wild that the UKIE has blanked the western half of the state so consistently while the Canadian models were burying it. Now the Canadian models have backed off on it a lot too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codgator Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Any idea what the models are picking up on to cause the western and mid state snow reduction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lol. Gotta love TN wx. If Euro goes south & less frozen precip. I would expect WSW by OHX to be dropped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Turned out to be a pretty nice day in Knoxville. The sun feels good without a breeze. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Beautiful here in mid state also. I could use a pretty weekend like today to cut some bushes out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 euro is rolling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VOLtage Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Latest GFS and NAM both show a hole in the snowfall that pretty much blanks Blount county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbald Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, VOLtage said: Latest GFS and NAM both show a hole in the snow that pretty much blanks Blount county. We can't even pin down the exact track of the storm so I wouldn't be too crushed about snow holes just yet 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro coming in a little South and west with the shortwave over Oklahoma. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Mrwolf1972 said: I will take the cmc it moves the warm air west enough for loudon to get hammerd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks like the Euro didn't run the Apps and is back to transferring from Alabama or Georgia to over South Carolina. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks like the 12z Euro stills tries to run the 850 low up the valley, but in a tiny increment, I think it was better than 6z. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At 51 there's a low over Gatlinburg again transfers at 54 to sc. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Everyone getting super excited again, just like your first time, only to learn you lasted 30 seconds and she’s disappointed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Not a huge change from 6z for the valley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Apparently at HR 51 is did run it up briefly before the transfer. Looks like it books it up the coast this time instead of lingering around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 In some of those "mix" areas there doesn't seem to be a warm nose (I only checked Morgan and Roane though) at hr 54. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbald Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Dang that's a pretty looking run for western NC mountains. To rehash 12z, it's basically a UKIE, CMC, RGEM battle against euro, gfs, nam ? Would this be roughly correct? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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