H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If anyone could post a map with the warmest 925s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations If this thing tracks like 50 miles east of that Euro track we get pummeled. I mix more than you in any situation. But 50 miles is all we need for a solid hit. Maybe 6-12 from east to west PWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, H2O said: If anyone could post a map with the warmest 950s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. This what you’re looking for? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: If anyone could post a map with the warmest 950s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. Warmest 850 and 925. Runs up and down 95 before hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 curious on how well the HRRR generally does? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Thanks, y'all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: This what you’re looking for? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? Does decent in the 1-2 hour range. Past that…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 How much of that is sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? Posted this for the Jan 3rd storm. This typically seems to be the bias, let's see how it holds up once the storm enters the 48hr HRRR run range. On 1/2/2022 at 2:32 PM, Cobalt said: At this time during storms where we're on the SE fringe, we look to the HRRR to have a colder and more SE solution compared to general guidance (and it ends up being wrong) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? 1 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The euro had another decent upper level low track and improved the surface a bit. SLP tracks from ORF right up the bay then into eastern PA. If we were to continue to get these minor adjustments and the upper low were to track another 30-50 miles southeast and the surface low were to track up just east of the bay, it would cut down on the low level warmth quite a bit...might increase the WAA thump some although I think the angle the WAA precipitation is coming in at has more to do with that then anything else at this point...but it would increase our chances of some snowfall Monday morning with the upper low pass also. On the WAA snowfall...We want the trajectory to be more south to north and less east to west with the angle of that WAA precipitation. The more negative tilt that banding is the longer it will take to progress northeast and we will lose the column faster. A further east track of the mid level and surface features could help with that some also. There was a minor improvement in that regard this run over the previous one. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmk Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations I feel like we're in a weird spot on this one. Especially considering Warrenton is under the WSW and we're not, but I'm only about 15 min from the county line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 You know, I am usually pretty upbeat, but these temperature maps are slightly depressing lately. We're still gonna get snow though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Kick in the junk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, jaydreb said: This what you’re looking for? Short pump is 17 degrees colder than me. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, Chase said: I'm going to go to my parents' house in the Shenandoah Valley. Good move? Better than eastern Prince William but I think you should reposition in Berkeley County in West Virginia. Thats a very very good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, jmk said: I feel like we're in a weird spot on this one. Especially considering Warrenton is under the WSW and we're not, but I'm only about 15 min from the county line. Yeah but Weather doesn’t know county lines. I think we’ll do ok for a not so great set up…but who knows …it’s been a blast so far this Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 None of those 10:1 ratios will verify, especially since a good deal might be sleet. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 What is the threat of a severe ice storm in northern moco/frederick area? Ice will be substantial, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. I'd love a tool with a ratio slider on the snow map. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. Agreed - anyone have 20:1 maps? 2 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If we could get enough people to lineup from Texas to North Dakota and blow east as hard as they can, rev up some industrial grade blowers, maybe we could get this damned storm track to shift east 60 miles. 1 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Hola. 17 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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