wolfpackwxDC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, kristia said: That would be me. Have a great generator. It’s the trees that worry me. I balked on buying a generator after 2 big storms knocked out power here in Arlington last summer. Lights flickered during the snow last week. I think we will be getting said generator as soon as we can secure one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Booked a room in Harrisonburg, VA. Should be mildly more exciting than Adelphi, MD. lol If it busts out there, Harrisonburg is sooooo romantic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Booked a room in Harrisonburg, VA. Should be mildly more exciting than Adelphi, MD. lol If it busts out there, Harrisonburg is sooooo romantic. It's not bad for a college town. Some good places to eat. Enjoy the view. Are you doing Hotel Madison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, JB Fins said: It's not bad for a college town. Some good places to eat. Enjoy the view. Are you doing Hotel Madison? Nah. Marriott. I just want to watch the snow and go out and have dinner or something. Real quick. Not trying to make it a vacation. It's only an hour and a half away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Roger Smith said: That trend on the 12z GFS towards more of a coastal low dominance could make the outcome much different if the storm slows down a bit, I read the commentary here before running the loop and saw a somewhat more optimistic potential, mixing looks brief and I could see how this trend might lead to an all-snow outcome. You can follow a center of low pressure up the coast developing offshore and heading for Cape Cod. Halfway house to a much different outcome? Interesting to see if Euro goes in this direction also. My first call would be 3.5" BWI, DCA and 5.5" IAD, 8 to 15 over regions northwest of DC to ROA, about 6-9" CHO. Some sleet and max temps 34-38F, dropping back to low 30s, mixed showers for most with 3-5" upslope in wraparound. Results, some snow left on ground in metros and 3-6 frozen pack further west, slow meltdown Tuesday-Wednesday with a few more passing flurries. I’ll smoke whatever you are smoking and I won’t apologize for it…at all 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro looks pretty good for the wrap around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Low on the Euro is at least just east of DC this run; maybe some backside snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 42 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Banana Big or small? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4" for DC..not bad. I mean, to be honest, this storm seems like a letdown, even with the front end thump (for the metros), but it's something. Looks like less rain, so that's good? and it's on the wrap around train! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12z Euro has a slightly stronger low but also slightly over east and takes the track directly over the Bay. No real change in front end snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 4" for DC..not bad. I mean, to be honest, this storm seems like a letdown, even with the front end thump (for the metros), but it's something. Looks like less rain, so that's good? and it's on the wrap around train! Any snowfall that doesn't have rain is a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: 12z Euro has a slightly stronger low but also slightly over east and takes the track directly over the Bay. No real change in front end snowfall. Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 46 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Banana Split 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The victory here is the 4" the 12z Euro has for DCA, which gets 99% of climo by mid January. Hey maybe we'll all win out...the storm will jog east by 50 miles and it stays all snow. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, Twilly05 said: I’ll smoke whatever you are smoking and I won’t apologize for it…at all Not indulging, just a natural high -- but seriously, I have the feeling there's going to be a surprise ending to this story, looking at how cold that high is over n ON today, when it settles into the St Lawrence valley and feeds down through NY, very cold surface temps may make the low decide to follow the path of least resistance. That could translate into extra snow for anywhere in this subforum except east of the Bay, and also same holds true for e PA. I see the forecast nightmare looming for NYC but they could start out with heavy snow before the inevitable mixing. I'm not the only one, SCC also stating similar views. The clash between this frigid high and the amped southerly stream over anomalously warm ocean should lead to a very powerful storm. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations From the Euro, not really but no one really gets ice on the Euro it's just a snow to rain line. The NAMs we get a pretty significant ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, jacindc said: Any snowfall that doesn't have rain is a win. Any snow while I am still breathing is win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Wraparound precip from the 12z Euro 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If anyone could post a map with the warmest 925s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations If this thing tracks like 50 miles east of that Euro track we get pummeled. I mix more than you in any situation. But 50 miles is all we need for a solid hit. Maybe 6-12 from east to west PWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, H2O said: If anyone could post a map with the warmest 950s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. This what you’re looking for? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: If anyone could post a map with the warmest 950s that wold be great. Curious to see where the warm nose gets to. Warmest 850 and 925. Runs up and down 95 before hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Euro snow map anybody? Just curious if the 4" of snow people say DC has is uniform up 95 or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 curious on how well the HRRR generally does? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Thanks, y'all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: This what you’re looking for? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? Does decent in the 1-2 hour range. Past that…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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