MDsnowPRO Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: or memes In that case… 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That’s what the storm is missing, a few more of your memes. Some might say the storm is punishing us because of my memes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, jayyy said: I know NAM gets trashed, which is usually pretty spot on when we’re talking about 60-84 hours, but if the 12k and 3K are showing a major ice storm at the 24-48 hour mark, we need to be paying attention, as the NAM is better at picking up mid level warming in these setups than the GFS. I am with you. I have been out all morning, running errands at IKEA and Costco because I hate myself, but just catching up on things and I really think we might be underplaying the ice threat. Sure, 100% agree on the initial thump of snow, but as I have experienced in many a winter setup in eastern NC, you can have 2-3 inches of snow, followed by .25 - .5 inches of ice and those storms were the freaking worst. Feel like the threat is more aligned with the Rt. 15 corridor, just west of the city - but who knows. I sold my soul Wx soul for more money and a better commute, so my model analysis eyes are probably garbage at this point 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, H2O said: Some might say the storm is punishing us because of my memes It's true. For instance, I was just saying that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I'll like any post by a red-tag. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: We need some positive news on the Euro.. I have a feeling it will also be negative.. but hoping! it keeps spitting out 7-8 for you....every run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I don't know guys, this is some heavy precip as snow. I think it will overperform. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I'll like any post by a red-tag. Banana 12 2 15 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I live inside the DC beltway (and I have since 2011) so my expectations for what we can get in any storm are realistic. I will be happy if we get even 2" of snow falling in the late afternoon Sunday so I can go outside with my kid before it gets dark and have some fun. Sure it sucks we aren't getting HECS'D, but the trend has been clear on this one since Tuesday. That's OK, it's been a good January so far. Ideal scenario = snow--->sleet---> drizzle. Hoping the euro can lock in that solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Banana Well we know RR will like this post too 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: I live inside the DC beltway (and I have since 2011) so my expectations for what we can get in any storm are realistic. I will be happy if we get even 2" of snow falling in the late afternoon Sunday so I can go outside with my kid before it gets dark and have some fun. Sure it sucks we aren't getting HECS'D, but the trend has been clear on this one since Tuesday. That's OK, it's been a good January so far. Ideal scenario = snow--->sleet---> drizzle. Hoping the euro can lock in that solution. I am with you - same location, same situation. With a 3 year old, unless we get a HECS, give me enough to enjoy Sunday and Monday. Then, the damn roads better be clear for Daycare dropoff on Tuesday morning! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristia Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, wolfpackwxDC said: Feel like the threat is more aligned with the Rt. 15 corridor, just west of the city - but who knows. That would be me. Have a great generator. It’s the trees that worry me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, kristia said: That would be me. Have a great generator. It’s the trees that worry me. I balked on buying a generator after 2 big storms knocked out power here in Arlington last summer. Lights flickered during the snow last week. I think we will be getting said generator as soon as we can secure one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Booked a room in Harrisonburg, VA. Should be mildly more exciting than Adelphi, MD. lol If it busts out there, Harrisonburg is sooooo romantic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Booked a room in Harrisonburg, VA. Should be mildly more exciting than Adelphi, MD. lol If it busts out there, Harrisonburg is sooooo romantic. It's not bad for a college town. Some good places to eat. Enjoy the view. Are you doing Hotel Madison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, JB Fins said: It's not bad for a college town. Some good places to eat. Enjoy the view. Are you doing Hotel Madison? Nah. Marriott. I just want to watch the snow and go out and have dinner or something. Real quick. Not trying to make it a vacation. It's only an hour and a half away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Roger Smith said: That trend on the 12z GFS towards more of a coastal low dominance could make the outcome much different if the storm slows down a bit, I read the commentary here before running the loop and saw a somewhat more optimistic potential, mixing looks brief and I could see how this trend might lead to an all-snow outcome. You can follow a center of low pressure up the coast developing offshore and heading for Cape Cod. Halfway house to a much different outcome? Interesting to see if Euro goes in this direction also. My first call would be 3.5" BWI, DCA and 5.5" IAD, 8 to 15 over regions northwest of DC to ROA, about 6-9" CHO. Some sleet and max temps 34-38F, dropping back to low 30s, mixed showers for most with 3-5" upslope in wraparound. Results, some snow left on ground in metros and 3-6 frozen pack further west, slow meltdown Tuesday-Wednesday with a few more passing flurries. I’ll smoke whatever you are smoking and I won’t apologize for it…at all 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Euro looks pretty good for the wrap around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Low on the Euro is at least just east of DC this run; maybe some backside snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 42 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Banana Big or small? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 4" for DC..not bad. I mean, to be honest, this storm seems like a letdown, even with the front end thump (for the metros), but it's something. Looks like less rain, so that's good? and it's on the wrap around train! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12z Euro has a slightly stronger low but also slightly over east and takes the track directly over the Bay. No real change in front end snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 4" for DC..not bad. I mean, to be honest, this storm seems like a letdown, even with the front end thump (for the metros), but it's something. Looks like less rain, so that's good? and it's on the wrap around train! Any snowfall that doesn't have rain is a win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: 12z Euro has a slightly stronger low but also slightly over east and takes the track directly over the Bay. No real change in front end snowfall. Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 46 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Banana Split 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The victory here is the 4" the 12z Euro has for DCA, which gets 99% of climo by mid January. Hey maybe we'll all win out...the storm will jog east by 50 miles and it stays all snow. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, Twilly05 said: I’ll smoke whatever you are smoking and I won’t apologize for it…at all Not indulging, just a natural high -- but seriously, I have the feeling there's going to be a surprise ending to this story, looking at how cold that high is over n ON today, when it settles into the St Lawrence valley and feeds down through NY, very cold surface temps may make the low decide to follow the path of least resistance. That could translate into extra snow for anywhere in this subforum except east of the Bay, and also same holds true for e PA. I see the forecast nightmare looming for NYC but they could start out with heavy snow before the inevitable mixing. I'm not the only one, SCC also stating similar views. The clash between this frigid high and the amped southerly stream over anomalously warm ocean should lead to a very powerful storm. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations From the Euro, not really but no one really gets ice on the Euro it's just a snow to rain line. The NAMs we get a pretty significant ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, jacindc said: Any snowfall that doesn't have rain is a win. Any snow while I am still breathing is win. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Wraparound precip from the 12z Euro 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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