pazzo83 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, mattskiva said: You prefer we destroy our watersheds by littering them with broken glass, plastic and steel from cars? ideally people would just drive less. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. That looks quite realistic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. Great map. 4-8 through the Shen Valley is a smart call. We are going to end up getting more ice than some think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. Your forecast map looks spot on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Icon also absolutely sucks at warm noses/mid levels too. And this is the wrong storm by a million miles to be weak in that dept yea but somehow it always outputs the least snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. Thanks for throwing that 3-7" area my way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ji said: the 12z gfs ticked something somewhere Yeah.. it ticked people off considering that it is just now catching on to the warm nose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: ideally people would just drive less. That's highly unlikely, especially as the mass exodus from the cities post covid continues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, H2O said: VDOT brining the shit out of the roads today. Gotta love the stupidity to destroy our watersheds all for cars The brine trucks were out in Columbia, SC *yesterday*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12z GFS says mod snow DC metro 12z Mon... interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS gives the wraparound love. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 56 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: NAM looks good to me. Maybe 5 hours of snow and an EAGLE upset will make my day. E-A-G-L-E-S…Eagles! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks like the gfs jumps to the coast quicker than previous runs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, dukeblue219 said: The brine trucks were out in Columbia, SC *yesterday*. Well the storm will hit there way before it hits dmv so one would think that’s a good call. Plus, Columbia Sc isn’t an area that commonly sees accumulating winter weather very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, LP08 said: GFS gives the wraparound love. Reach arounds have happy endings, sometimes 2 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Yeah. It is strengthening that backside potential on each run. But the hopes of an all snow bomb to the west is pretty much over. I won't be making fun of the NAM again anytime soon. It was the first to pick out the realistic amount of ice out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 850s seem to be subfreezing for the entirety of this panel. Definitely something to watch once the mesos get into range. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Looks like the gfs jumps to the coast quicker than previous runs. And the rain starts earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 17 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. Can we move that pink about 60 miles east? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS is a disaster for I-95. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Any wrap-around snow east of the Shenandoah Vly would be insignificant. The GFS overdoes that in these scenarios. the boundary level temps will be mostly above freezing, and it may even mix with rain at times, so nothing more than a dusting or coating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: First Call Map I'll have more on my current thoughts later today when I get a chance. I also want to see any shifts in the ULL track and timing of vertical stack with the SLP. Some changes may occur in the next 24-36 hrs for my forecast, but zones should stay relatively the same. I see you have adopted the Ellinwood grey zone of despair. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 19 minutes ago, mattskiva said: That's highly unlikely, especially as the mass exodus from the cities post covid continues. I don't think you understand the concepts behind work-from-home very well. People not commuting every day = less driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Yeah. It is strengthening that backside potential on each run. But the hopes of an all snow bomb to the west is pretty much over. I won't be making fun of the NAM again anytime soon. It was the first to pick out the realistic amount of ice out this way. Yes, the NAM does a lot better than people like to admit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 29 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: VDOT is using beet juice and salt alternatives this year. Not joking...much less salt application. Good to hear. Gotta change how roads get treated before it’s too late 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, Snowfan96 said: Any wrap-around snow east of the Shenandoah Vly would be insignificant. The GFS overdoes that in these scenarios. the boundary level temps will be mostly above freezing, and it may even mix with rain at times, so nothing more than a dusting or coating. I can tell you’re not a glass half full kind of person. Any wrap around is always a bonus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, SnowCane said: I can tell you’re not a glass half full kind of person. And wrap around is always a bonus! Just keeping it real! I'd love to see this work out, but this isn't our storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Reach arounds have happy endings, sometimes If done right, every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, H2O said: Good to hear. Gotta change how roads get treated before it’s too late The use of brining during pretreatment has shown to reduce the use of salt by 75% over just post treatment. So the brining is not the enemy. It is part of the solution to the problem you are concerned about. also beat juice is high in sugar and leads to algae blooms in the bay so it’s not really a solution either. Also bad for aquatic insects. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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