nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: In true mid-atl forum fashion, its every weenie for themselves and I’m now only paying attention to the western area/mountains. but in all seriousness, would like to see the thump/sleet/ice/dry slot scenario for dc and no rain for the 95 corridor. Tent space out that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Tent space out that way? Caved. Wife booked us a cabin near Spruce Knob. Sometimes gotta make your own luck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: cold air damming is still pretty fierce down there and storm tracks are typically such that they get big warm layers overhead (hence freezing rain). You move north, the less likely you have such layers. You move south, and that wedge isn't as strong. Now does that have to do with their geography (or perhaps the proper term is topography?) Is their elevation such that it's still cold enough for frozen previl, yet not cold enough for all the layers to be cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, Fozz said: It looks pretty bad here but the Carolinas always seem to get the worst ice storms. Time for ice storm overhype mode for some glaze and a 100 year old overgrown tree falling down in Rockville. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: In true mid-atl forum fashion, its every weenie for themselves and I’m now only paying attention to the western area/mountains. but in all seriousness, would like to see the thump/sleet/ice/dry slot scenario for dc and no rain for the 95 corridor. You aren't the only one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just jumping back in the fray. How much ice for Hagerstown? Oh. And Carbondale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, Jebman said: GB 16 what a storm. We KNEW we were gonna get demolished. 27 inches of snow in Dale City on a level. Plows were having such a hard time! Some of them kind of bounced off the pack lol. I was digging and digging and digging! First I made a path for my Dad's car to the street, which was in fact a wall of snow. What little the plows did, made it worse! Then my neighbor wanted me to chop thru a 7 foot drift in front of her front door and windows! My phone was going off over and over and over again! I was getting slightly tired then the other neighbors started up: You love snow, Jeb! Dig ME out! The other neighbor: All you ever do is go on and on and on about that weather forum! When are you gonna dig me out? Yeah I had talked myself right into having to dig everyone out. People joked about the so-called Jebman Standard (Dig at least 8 feet around all cars lol). I was in over my head, lol - I never realized people read American Weather Forums in my neighborhood lmao And so it went. Yeah I dug so much snow, I was digging it in my exhausted dreams, for days. Legen…..dary! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Tent space out that way? Isn’t that a personal question…..? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 On 1/12/2022 at 2:11 PM, snowmagnet said: I was in Fairfax/Fair Oaks. The 1st storm that week gave us about 2 feet. The 2nd storm (I’m guessing that was the 12th) was about 10”-12”. 1995-96. Memorable times! So much snow. So much shoveling. Wonderful jebwalks for all-time! The coverage on TWC was engrossing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, Jebman said: GB 16 what a storm. We KNEW we were gonna get demolished. 27 inches of snow in Dale City on a level. Plows were having such a hard time! Some of them kind of bounced off the pack lol. I was digging and digging and digging! First I made a path for my Dad's car to the street, which was in fact a wall of snow. What little the plows did, made it worse! Then my neighbor wanted me to chop thru a 7 foot drift in front of her front door and windows! My phone was going off over and over and over again! I was getting slightly tired then the other neighbors started up: You love snow, Jeb! Dig ME out! The other neighbor: All you ever do is go on and on and on about that weather forum! When are you gonna dig me out? Yeah I had talked myself right into having to dig everyone out. People joked about the so-called Jebman Standard (Dig at least 8 feet around all cars lol). I was in over my head, lol - I never realized people read American Weather Forums in my neighborhood lmao And so it went. Yeah I dug so much snow, I was digging it in my exhausted dreams, for days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 18 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: That is a catastrophic ice storm out here as modeled. .4 qpf and the surface never goes above freezing. Sounding shows no issues until about hour 74 or so. Layer is around 800 and is shallow. Might mix for a couple of hours and then all sleet for a couple. Back to an all snow sounding at 81. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 RGEM….Hmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: Isn’t that a personal question…..? For sure. I have to work on Saturday so will wait to decide after work if we will be traveling early Sunday. Likely won’t go as far as Deep Creek, but if we do, I’ll drop you a PM. Be good to grab a drink together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Just don't gag on your beef franks and you'll be A-ok. Remember, they plump when you cook 'em. Are you talking about Yeoman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 59 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol 00z NAM has SLP south of FL panhandle at 51 The GFS is nearly identical with the surface pressure field. What is with the obsession with the placement of the L on the map? Do people really not understand what surface pressure means and how there can be several relative minimums? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 to 3 for DCA on 00z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 RGEM…….about the same as the NAM but shift the ice west. DC escapes the ice 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 00z ICON has a bit more wintry precipitation for i95 corridor compared to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: RGEM…….about the same as the NAM but shift the ice west. DC escapes the ice Poor South Carolina! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 ICON unchanged basically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 C'mon I wanna see snow in York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 2 to 3 for DCA on 00z RGEM Model number 2 of the models we shouldn’t be looking at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 GFS vs Euro 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, AU74 said: Poor South Carolina! My aunt and uncle live in Lugoff, SC outside of Columbia. I’m growing concerned for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Model number 2 of the models we shouldn’t be looking at. And the ICON is 3 right? You know, them Germans can make awesome stuff but they can’t make a sleet or ice map on their weather model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2022 Author Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: And the ICON is 3 right? You know, them Germans can make awesome stuff but they can’t make a sleet or ice map on their weather model They do! But be careful, they've been known to start trouble. Double trouble. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 wow almost 1 1/2 inchs of ice for atlanta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: ICON unchanged basically I'll take my 4 to 6 on there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Warm Nose said: Tip for our pros. This seems more relevant than 'best worst-case scenario' maps: That's lowballing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: I'll take my 4 to 6 on there lol It gave you 3.9 to 5.9 on the prior run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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