Sernest14 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks in the same spot as 18z at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The undercards are painful. NAM at this range is like two 37 year old flyweight boxers with 17-14 records 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Lol 00z NAM has SLP south of FL panhandle at 51 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, Jebman said: There may be a warm nose, but you, You are on Route 9. I've been there, many many times on the way to Charles Town. You got elevation. You are gonna get AT LEAST 7-8 inches. You're gonna get obliterated during the thump from orographic effects! Position yourself at Charles Town. They get demolished BAD in these kinds of setups. I'm at 800' literally a mile from the crest of the BR and we still get mixing a lot. If you're west of the ridge, sure. But if there's mixing it makes it out my way many times. I'll be shocked if we don't see some from this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol 00z NAM has SLP south of FL panhandle at 51 about the same odds as Brian Boyle getting a hat trick tonight in LA... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, Warm Nose said: I'm at 800' literally a mile from the crest of the BR and we still get mixing a lot. If you're west of the ridge, sure. But if there's mixing it makes it out my way many times. I'll be shocked if we don't see some from this setup. You'll probably see some mix, but not before you get THUMPED but good! Get a yardstick. Its easier to find lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 You couldn’t have two model runs look more identical than the NAM does at 57. I’m looking at NCEP btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Lol 00z NAM has SLP south of FL panhandle at 51 I think it Has to be around EYW to be relevant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: I'm at 800' literally a mile from the crest of the BR and we still get mixing a lot. If you're west of the ridge, sure. But if there's mixing it makes it out my way many times. I'll be shocked if we don't see some from this setup. Well. It won’t be too far a chase for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You couldn’t have two model runs look more identical than the NAM does at 57. I’m looking at NCEP btw i am having a hard time recalling a more steadily modeled storm. Like, it hasn't wavered in terms of outcomes, for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 CFS have any value in the short-range? Or the NAVGEM? 4 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: i am having a hard time recalling a more steadily modeled storm. Like, it hasn't wavered in terms of outcomes, for days. If I remember correctly the Blizz of 93 was basically called from 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 What a beast on the NAM. Yucatan express of moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twilly05 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 19 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: That was she said… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, pazzo83 said: If I remember correctly the Blizz of 93 was basically called from 5 days out. On a computer you could fit into a watch today 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: CFS have any value in the short-range? Or the NAVGEM? I didn't even know it HAD a short range, lol 5 star post, haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: i am having a hard time recalling a more steadily modeled storm. Like, it hasn't wavered in terms of outcomes, for days. Jan. 2016 was locked in from basically a week out. There was one Euro run that went south but came right back. That was an insane week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 998 over ILM at 69.... snow on DC doorstep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 At 72 the 850 line is almost to 66 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: On a computer you could fit into a watch today right? isn't that insane? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Just now, pazzo83 said: right? isn't that insane? Sure is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Thump, mix, slot I've seen far worse runs than this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said: Jan. 2016 was locked in from basically a week out. There was one Euro run that went south but came right back. That was an insane week. yeah the only ambiguity was up more towards NYC. we scored a late coup up there (it became NYC's biggest snowstorm of all time). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Snow to sleet to ice to dry slot for DC this run. No rain 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Nam is a sleet and ice storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The surface low actually went SE a good bit at 6Z Monday from the 18Z run. Closer to the Euro and GFS this run in that regard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 NAM = goodbye power if you're a BGE customer. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Go ahead. Call me crazy. Call me a weenie. I have no faith in that NAM solution. Think of it this way. We are talking about the NAM. On Thursday. Regarding Sunday. Can it be said any more plainly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts