DDweatherman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, mappy said: lol he’s not so doom and gloom now We are at BC Brewery, a coworkers last day is tomorrow so out with work folks I met the guy who runs BC before (trying to remember where I was). Nice guy though & good beers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Isn't DCA 5" below climo right now? DCA is 4.9" below climo according to Ion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Everyone needs to relax and be happy with 3-6” of atmospheric weenie (along the corridor). Cheers @ravensrule 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS has McHenry gusting into the low 50s Sunday night. Check out this panel for the 95 corridor. I’d think overdone but we do wind well around here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 RGEM drives into central VA at the end of its run. 2-5 for pretty much everyone before the ice takes over. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS has McHenry gusting into the low 50s Sunday night. Check out this panel for the 95 corridor. I’d think overdone but we do wind well around here. That looks like power outages 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 FWIW, GEFS finally catching on and shifting west again. Still east of op but west of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS has McHenry gusting into the low 50s Sunday night. Check out this panel for the 95 corridor. I’d think overdone but we do wind well around here. I can't think of a time when the euro gust panels were accurate for any kind of storm. Never checked gfs. Euro always seemed way overdone. I started looking at wind a different way and got much better at predicting. Look at your sustained surface winds instead of gusts. Then add 10-15mph to that for "gusts". Check 925s and see how quick it's ripping just off the deck and make adjustments in your head. Generally speaking, I95 & west really doesn't get big wind gusts without a westerly component. Maybe it's topography. My yard or neighborhood gets little if any wind damage when there's an easterly component. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 My wife has to fly out of IAD on Monday midday for some business trip to go fire one of her CEOs. I'm selfish and don't want her to go. I haven't told her about this storm so she hasn't had the chance to change the flight to BWI. I feel guilty, but not really. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, IronTy said: My wife has to fly out of IAD on Monday midday for some business trip to go fire one of her CEOs. I'm selfish and don't want her to go. I haven't told her about this storm so she hasn't had the chance to change the flight to BWI. I feel guilty, but not really. That CEO thanks you. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 24 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Yeah, I’ll take 70-90% and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Let’s get that good 00z juju going up in here. #JebRuns 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: No more southern sliders on the GEFS it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, yoda said: That looks like power outages Good thing those rarely verify! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Taking P02 and that’s it. Don’t need to see any more models. I’ll just wake up Sunday to get ready to get smoked….I wish 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, yoda said: P02 works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 What is the HRRR saying. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 42 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That CEO thanks you. Yeah way to put a silver lining on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Va wine country Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 43 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That CEO thanks you. Plot twist....Iron Ty is the ceo 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Va wine country said: Plot twist....Iron Ty is the ceo Let’s not forget Ty got an NSX for a birthday present from his wife. She doesn’t play any games. If she’s firing “one of the CEO’s”, she has to be on the board? He’ll survive one way or the other. If it doesn’t snow and we smoke cirrus even, take the whip for a spin. That makes missing out on snow naso bad if you ask me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Is the 18z euro running? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Name one system where that warm nose was over-forecast on something wrapped up like this. I think this is going to be a bigger sleetfest than most are willing to accept atm. I'd be kind of surprised if DC gets any more than ~3-4 hours of snow out of it before pingers mix in. That elevated warm nose/WCB is going to kill totals east of the mountains. 4 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I'll be at snowshoe for this one...so I am ok with these runs that are destroying WV lol 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Let’s not forget Ty got an NSX for a birthday present from his wife. She doesn’t play any games. If she’s firing “one of the CEO’s”, she has to be on the board? He’ll survive one way or the other. If it doesn’t snow and we smoke cirrus even, take the whip for a spin. That makes missing out on snow naso bad if you ask me. Hmmm, impressed you remembered that. Yeah I also just retired at 41yo. My first day of retirement was out big snowstorm last Monday. Don't cry too many tears for me. Private equity big boss for the win. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I'll be at snowshoe for this one...so I am ok with these runs that are destroying WV lol With this storm and the projected cold temps I think the ski resorts are going to be good for quite some time. Just spare us few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Name one system where that warm nose was over-forecast on something wrapped up like this. I think this is going to be a bigger sleetfest than most are willing to accept atm. I'd be kind of surprised if DC gets any more than ~3-4 hours of snow out of it before pingers mix in. That elevated warm nose/WCB is going to kill totals east of the mountains. Sadly I think this history tell us this is exactly what will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I'll be at snowshoe for this one...so I am ok with these runs that are destroying WV lol I’m pretty excited for this event. Mountains look to get whacked. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 This is not the hide yo kids, hide yo wives storm that @nj2vapromised. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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