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MLK 2022 Storm Potential


stormtracker
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Just now, Va wine country said:

Plot twist....Iron Ty is the ceo

Let’s not forget Ty got an NSX for a birthday present from his wife. She doesn’t play any games. If she’s firing “one of the CEO’s”, she has to be on the board? 

He’ll survive one way or the other. If it doesn’t snow and we smoke cirrus even, take the whip for a spin. That makes missing out on snow naso bad if you ask me. 

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Name one system where that warm nose was over-forecast on something wrapped up like this.

I think this is going to be a bigger sleetfest than most are willing to accept atm. I'd be kind of surprised if DC gets any more than ~3-4 hours of snow out of it before pingers mix in. That elevated warm nose/WCB is going to kill totals east of the mountains.

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4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Let’s not forget Ty got an NSX for a birthday present from his wife. She doesn’t play any games. If she’s firing “one of the CEO’s”, she has to be on the board? 

He’ll survive one way or the other. If it doesn’t snow and we smoke cirrus even, take the whip for a spin. That makes missing out on snow naso bad if you ask me. 

Hmmm, impressed you remembered that.  Yeah I also just retired at 41yo. My first day of retirement was out big snowstorm last Monday.  Don't cry too many tears for me.  

 

Private equity big boss for the win.  

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5 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Name one system where that warm nose was over-forecast on something wrapped up like this.

I think this is going to be a bigger sleetfest than most are willing to accept atm. I'd be kind of surprised if DC gets any more than ~3-4 hours of snow out of it before pingers mix in. That elevated warm nose/WCB is going to kill totals east of the mountains.

Sadly I think this history tell us this is exactly what will happen. 

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12 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Name one system where that warm nose was over-forecast on something wrapped up like this.

I think this is going to be a bigger sleetfest than most are willing to accept atm. I'd be kind of surprised if DC gets any more than ~3-4 hours of snow out of it before pingers mix in. That elevated warm nose/WCB is going to kill totals east of the mountains.

Yup.  With this track it will PUMMEL the column and flip way sooner than those models show. 
 

Hell even when there is a great track that’s East MBY and DC flip to sleet for a while.  Every huge storm does this.  So people need to expect more warm air at least East of the BR. 

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

The one trend that continues and its not what we want...is a slightly more amplified SW each run.  That's what's offsetting a lot of the improvements people point out on some runs. 

Yep, and goes negative too fast. We want a pitch that comes in farther east. This ain't it. Take the pennies you get and cut your losses on this one.

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