Eskimo Joe Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: A foot for Nashville and .2 for DCA. Nice run. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Lol at the idea that the NAM will get these features right beyond H48. Nam at 84 is like the gfs at 384 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Lol at the idea that the NAM will get these features right beyond H48. HR 3 more like it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I like this NAM map more than yours. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: I like this NAM map more than yours. That includes sleet that’s why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I don’t think we get shafted quite as badly as the NAM shows but 18z could definitely be the set of runs that crystallizes this as a 3 inch ceiling for the 95 corridor. Seemed liked 3-6 wasn’t out of the question but that diving NS is not going to have it. Gotta make peace with that. Oh, and don’t forget urban heat island effects… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NAM pain scale 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: That includes sleet that’s why. I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I like this NAM map more than yours. Yeah. It was pretty clear it was a sleet bomb for the Shen Valley. I would be fine with 3 inches of snow followed by 3 inches of sleet. It would keep the ground white for a long while at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 48 minutes ago, gymengineer said: Oh, his Annapolis tornado antics is just one example. And his response to other meteorologists’ criticism of him for that reinforced a pattern. Can you give more detail or a source? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NAM takes MBY from 14F at 7am on Sunday to 41F at 1:00am on Monday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks like the ICON probably will be a step in the wrong direction...Closing off faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, mattie g said: NAM takes MBY from 14F at 7am on Sunday to 41F at 1:00am on Monday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 25 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: NAM does seem to trend warmer so that's a plus?? The HoCo jackpot is a plot twist I did not see coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 One thing for sure. This thing is hauling ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Going from single digits Sunday morning to rain. I’m going to need a case of alcoholic beverages to cope with this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jon_snow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 guyz give it to me straight, is this storm a bust for DCA? 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Going from single digits Sunday morning to rain. I’m going to need a case of alcoholic beverages to cope with this one. We do wind and rapid warm ups quite well in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, jon_snow said: guyz give it to me straight, is this storm a bust for DCA? Give it until 12z monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 34 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: NAM sleets to Erie LOL https://youtu.be/dmHpXfP7S0k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, jon_snow said: guyz give it to me straight, is this storm a bust for DCA? What’s your definition of bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, AU74 said: https://youtu.be/dmHpXfP7S0k Appropriate for this thread: something else that falls seriously short of perceptions. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, jon_snow said: guyz give it to me straight, is this storm a bust for DCA? Yes! DC south and east get an inch or two of snow - at best - then it quickly turns to rain, and almost as quickly ends. Even the areas west, closer to I-81 will receive less than currently advertised. The trends among nearly all of the guidance has been for a stronger system with a sfc low track farther west. This results in an inevitably minor event, esp. for the I-95 corridor and most of the Shenandoah Valley as well. 1 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowfan96 said: Yes! DC south and east get an inch or two of snow - at best - then it quickly turns to rain, and almost as quickly ends. Even the areas west, closer to I-81 will receive less than currently advertised. The trends among nearly all of guidance has been for a stronger system with a sfc low track farther west. This results in an inevitably minor event, esp. for the I-95 coordior and most of the Shenandoah Valley as well. You may end up right, but the current guidance (GFS and Euro) show a pretty significant event in the Shenandoah Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Snowfan96 said: Yes! DC south and east get an inch or two of snow - at best - then it quickly turns to rain, and almost as quickly ends. Even the areas west, closer to I-81 will receive less than currently advertised. The trends among nearly all of guidance has been for a stronger system with a sfc low track farther west. This results in an inevitably minor event, esp. for the I-95 coordior and most of the Shenandoah Valley as well. Minor event for the Shenandoah Valley?? Ok Deb.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, jaydreb said: You may end up right, but the current guidance (GFS and Euro) show a pretty significant event in the Shenandoah Valley. I don’t see it happening with the sfc and H5 low tracks. They will at least change to sleet, if not mix with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Snowfan96 said: I don’t see it happening with the sfc and H5 low tracks. They will at least change to sleet, if not mix with rain. You're not quite living up to your name with this stuff! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowfan96 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WVsnowlover said: Minor event for the Shenandoah Valley?? Ok Deb.. I can almost guarantee the majority of 00z guidance will start to fall more in line with the 18z NAM. The NAM is consistently under-valued in these scenarios. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 the hand wringing in here over the 84-hr NAM is pathetic. get ahold of yourselves weenies 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Snowfan96 said: I can almost guarantee the majority of 00z guidance will start to fall more in line with the 18z NAM. The NAM is consistently under-valued in these scenarios. The NAM is undervalued at 84 hr with numerous upper air features and phasing at play? How, exactly? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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