H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, jayyy said: It’s not really going to be about latitude here. Our issue is how far west this storm comes, allowing an easterly wind to torch upper levels. You can be at the PA/MD border north of Baltimore or up in Philly or New York City and still see the same result as places further south than you along the same longitude. There is going to be an east to west snow gradient. Not the typical “as long as you’re further north” deal we have around these parts. Could very well see places like Manchester get 2-4” before a slopfest occurs as Emmitsburg or Hancock gets 6-12+, despite having a similar latitude. Could also see DC with more snow than Baltimore because of this. If this low indeed tracks over Baltimore or west, York & Lancaster PA will meet a similar fate as Baltimore. places further north will hold on to the column a bit longer than places south. it will probably even out when all is said and done, as it will be snowing in DC before it snows up our way. But we won't mix as soon as they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Automator Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, The Ole Bucket said: Going to Charlottesville on purpose is, indeed, a mistake. But if you do come, eat at a few restaurants while you're here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This whole thing could be a rainstorm. But all I know is if the track was perfect 72+ hours out, no one would believe we are locked in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Automator said: But if you do come, eat at a few restaurants while you're here. Who knew the Mayor of Charlottesville was a weather weenie? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 gfs hr 84 sounding is still really good for the burbs, at least. even dc is still below freezing at the mid levels. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2022011312&fh=84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: Who knew the Mayor of Charlottesville was a weather weenie? Yeah is that you Lloyd?! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, mappy said: places further north will hold on to the column a bit longer than places south. it will probably even out when all is said and done, as it will be snowing in DC before it snows up our way. But we won't mix as soon as they do. Precisely. I meant more in the way of the outcome (snowfall totals) than timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Precisely. I meant more in the way of the outcome (snowfall totals) than timing GFS gives me 1" qpf. My total will be more than DC verbatim. Regardless of the warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, RIC_WX said: This whole thing could be a rainstorm. But all I know is if the track was perfect 72+ hours out, no one would believe we are locked in. 100%. I said this last night. If we were jackpotting at this juncture, it would ultimately not turn out that way. The problem is, there’s no trend east really occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, RIC_WX said: This whole thing could be a rainstorm. But all I know is if the track was perfect 72+ hours out, no one would believe we are locked in. Its not going to be entirely a rainstorm. The airmass is pretty solid. We all are going to see some snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Meme to QPF ratio is getting out of control 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Paleocene said: Meme to QPF ratio is getting out of control A PDS just went out for widespread memes for the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Hoping we see a sub 60 hour steal like last Monday, but the windows rapidly closing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: It seems like TT is showing different things on different devices. My Monday 06z frame looks nothing like anything anyone posted here... That’s an interesting pic. Could be graphics, but it looks like a dual low center. Get rid of that, if it’s real, and this becomes a much different picture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Big dawg Euro is running! Is this our last hope? Of course not, this thing is still 72H away... but I am ing hard about this storm, so. LFG 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Paleocene said: I am ing hard about this storm Don’t let @mappysee this 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t let @mappysee this Or RR. He will fight the competition 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Big dawg Euro is running! Is this our last hope? Of course not, this thing is still 72H away... but I am ing hard about this storm, so. LFG What happens if you soft?. 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 And I’m not sure I’m taking the off ramp for a storm that goes west. I’ll stay in the left lane and drive slow waiting for the next one to get closer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 @clskinsfan was right. This thread is rockin today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 He fixed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 23 minutes ago, H2O said: DC and SE crew I remark that resemble! (or is it ensemble??) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, H2O said: He fixed it lol yes. even my joking meme mind knows this thing is going west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, H2O said: He fixed it Quickly. I guess that’s how he rolls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 If nothing else we got a banger thread from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I feel bad for those who have not been on here for a couple hours to see multiple new pages and posts thinking the models shifted to a HECS only to come in here and see memes explaining out despair... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Quickly. I guess that’s how he rolls the worst. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t let @mappysee this Everyone needs a hard weenie in their life. ... ill see myself out 1 1 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: the worst. Since we're tossing weenies around here, maybe you should say the "wurst"!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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