The Ole Bucket Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: From my limited years down there, that does appear to be true. I guess on the positive side for winter wx, I'd expect the CAD to hold on a bit longer. Could be pretty icy. Given what happened with all the trees around these parts with the last storm... I could do without ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Biggest GFS run of the year coming up. Baby steps. We stopped the bleeding, can we creep back toward a winning solution? the good part is snow is almost a lock of some amount for us..that amount is in question but flakes will fly for a bit...not too shabby considering I had the AC on at Xmas and NYE...both of which were warmer than memorial day in 2021...we've come a long way my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, mattie g said: Incredibly. I don't think I've been this annoyed in a while. I liked your "banana bruise' analogy. It's perfect. Y’all need to stop talking bananas. You know who is gonna get drawn in lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The surface low path on the ICON is interesting. Just offshore SC/NC, over the southern Outer Banks, and then it curls back under the 500 low west of Va Beach. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: From my limited years down there, that does appear to be true. I guess on the positive side for winter wx, I'd expect the CAD to hold on a bit longer. Could be pretty icy. More importantly, because of climo and topography, that area is simply further S and often in the crosshairs of the WAA of a developing cyclone. Circulation hasn't destroyed the column nearly as much during onset/heavies as it will when the storm reaches DC latitude. Thumps to rain for DC often have SWVA jack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 WB 12Z ICON, not Kuchera so probably underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 To quote @clskinsfan, the ICON is a beatdown for 81/west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: the good part is snow is almost a lock of some amount for us..that amount is in question but flakes will fly for a bit...not too shabby considering I had the AC on at Xmas and NYE...both of which were warmer than memorial day in 2021...we've come a long way my friend I had a foot and then 2-3 inches from the last two storms. After a week of mid 50s over Christmas in Canaan. 6 weeks of deep winter and ripping fatties is all I ever wanted lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, LP08 said: If we could get that to vertically stack and occlude even 30 miles east, DC and Baltimore do much better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: Thank you so much for that GIF super helpful in understanding why the track looks like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS out to 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS looks very similar to NAM at 27 & 42 minus the H in the PNW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: GFS out to 30 Keep us posted 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: GFS out to 30 The time now is 10:49am 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: Keep us posted what mattieg said was spot on for us just west of 95...get that ICON look 30miles east and it would be a lot more fun for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Heights over Kansas look to be 1 mb lower. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The time now is 10:49am Already outdated information, appears to be 10:52am for me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS seems farther east and slight north at 54 compared to NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heights over Kansas look to be 1 mb lower. Heights are in meters 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, lpaschall said: GFS seems farther east and slight north at 54 compared to NAM We should not be comparing the GFS to the NAM... We should be comparing the 12Z GFS to the 6Z GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just a note...that capture/tuck/stall that the Icon does in south-central VA (and all the other guidance does somewhere nearby as well) is what we dream about. When it occurs 50mi east of Norfolk/Ocean City. That's when the deform band just crushes the metro corridor. 9 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 If anything through 60, its a little slower than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I'd be grasping at straws to find any significant differences at hour 69 from the 06z run, but the atlantic low is a bit closer in (less spacing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Definitely south at 63, Low is down on the panhandle. a hair slower as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: We should not be comparing the GFS to the NAM... We should be comparing the 12Z GFS to the 6Z GFS Then....Low seems farther east and a smidge south compared to GFS 06Z HR48 vs HR54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well the spacing between the ocean low and our storm seems to keep getting smaller, for what it’s worth. So far, at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I see slower, but not much else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This run isn't going to do it for i95 ...same as before just a bit more rainSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Heights are in meters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 GFS farther south and east at HR66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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