WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: For lower levels, sure, but switching over to sleet due to a warm nose seems to surprise us way more than we hope! Agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Not to mention how much more difficult it makes shoveling...It's like shoveling purr cement and ya never get all of it, lol No one needs to leave the house anyway. I wouldn’t risk it because I could get lost with all these new maps without legends. Where is the bottom, where is the top? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: Subtle changes but two things I see to watch today. Using the Nam cause its running. Ocean storm intensity (notice the change in strength from 6z to 12z and as it pushes northeast). Pushing the PV lobe west some, causing heights to drop in the east. This allows our storm to gain longitude as it moves. Second piece not in range but talked about a bunch. NS SW that eventually phases with our storm. Delay it and the storm gets further east before turning north (delays the trough turning negative). Speed it up and congrats Pittsburgh. Getting it to a good spot isn’t the problem. It already gets to a perfect spot. Time frame 72-96 is what is key IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 59 minutes ago, H2O said: This will bring the weenies back in for the 12z 4 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Rhino16 said: No one needs to leave the house anyway. I wouldn’t risk it because I could get lost with all these new maps without legends. Where is the bottom, where is the top? i love this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Nam trying to go full Mark Wahlburg Perfect Storm into Cape Cod with a 972 beast prior to our event 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Nam trying to go full Mark Wahlburg Perfect Storm into Cape Cod with a 972 beast prior to our event I prefer Stephen Kings Storm or the Century 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 12 NAM: Not that I'm looking at it, but do a trend comparison and the h5 so far this run is better. From what I was told. Because I'm not checking on my own, just to be clear. 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I prefer Stephen Kings Storm or the Century Give me what I want and I’ll go away. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I prefer Stephen Kings Storm or the Century LOL man Colm Feore is a creepy dude. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Wxdavis5784 said: Give me what I want and I’ll go away. You may have the best avatar in this forum. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 12 NAM: Not that I'm looking at it, but do a trend comparison and the h5 so far this run is better. From what I was told. Because I'm not checking on my own, just to be clear. You need help I'll go look too to confirm 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 12 NAM: Not that I'm looking at it, but do a trend comparison and the h5 so far this run is better. From what I was told. Because I'm not checking on my own, just to be clear. I am absolutely looking at it. I hadn't really been paying attention to it, but that 850 jet straight from the north through NE/KS/OK is impressive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Pretty big changes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Pretty big changes 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I know we've seen it on every model, but it still boggles my mind that this thing is going from an extreme positive tilt to a negative one in such a short distance. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 The NAM is really tapping the gulf at 57. Gonna be an extremely juicy run. But when is the NAM not juicy? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 16 minutes ago, LP08 said: Subtle changes but two things I see to watch today. Using the Nam cause its running. Ocean storm intensity (notice the change in strength from 6z to 12z and as it pushes northeast). Pushing the PV lobe west some, causing heights to drop in the east. This allows our storm to gain longitude as it moves. Second piece not in range but talked about a bunch. NS SW that eventually phases with our storm. Delay it and the storm gets further east before turning north (delays the trough turning negative). Speed it up and congrats Pittsburgh Cleveland. Fixed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well this run is definitely going to have a very heavy east push 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The NAM is really tapping the gulf at 57. Gonna be an extremely juicy run. But when is the NAM not juicy? Actually imo not so much after the upgrade that occurred awhile back. It’s not the NAM I used to know where itd paint 3-4” or qpf only to cut it in half 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At 66 hrs, the 850 low is further south (central MS vs northern MS) than it was on the 06z NAM/GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Substantial difference from the 6z GFS vs 12Z NAM. Nam had a major shift this run so maybe there's some new data coming in and the GFS will follow. NAM has one hell of a kicker to push this east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Bit chilly sunday AM on the NAM eh? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Bit chilly sunday AM on the NAM eh? It’s not just the NAM with the cold temps. To certain degree most of the guidance has shown a pretty stout cold shot before the storm dies whatever it does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Nam long range so all caveats yada yada, but at 75 the NS SW looks elongated and "over the top" rather than diving into the Trough. H5 way south compared to other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Southern vort is MUCH further southeast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 NAM showing the low more south but also a tad stronger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Its comical to NOT want a negative closed low in the deep south and hoping for open and positive tilt progressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This looks fabulous. Let's hope globals follow. GFS is headed towards this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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