yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 That's a strong h5 low in W MS at 84... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Euro shifted west...Still a nice thump, but then it gets ugly for most of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Pretty ugly run, hopefully tomorrow brings better trends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Snow approaching DC at 93 with 999 L over the Smokies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Could be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Euro takes DC from 28f at 7pm to 47f at 4 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At least h5 runs right over us... so thump to some brief rain and dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Euro shifted west...Still a nice thump, but then it gets ugly for most of us... All three Globals (ETA: the ones I care more about…GFS, Euro, CMC) with similar tracks at 00z. I wonder if the westward bumps are finished. I’m starting to sweat for the mountains, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I'll take my 2-4/3-6 and run. So far we've gotten lucky this winter with snow... some already nearing their seasonal averages (those S and E of DC are close to them I think). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: At least h5 runs right over us... so thump to some brief rain and dryslot This run really torches us in the DC metro. Would still be a few fun hours Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Well... 00z EPS also shifted west a tad compared to 18z... but: All 50 of the members give DCA 2" of snow Around 20 members would give DCA WSW criteria snow (5"+) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Well... 00z EPS also shifted west a tad compared to 18z... but: All 50 of the members give DCA 2" of snow Around 20 members would give DCA WSW criteria snow (5"+) Any big hits in there? 40% chance of a warning level event ain’t bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 24 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Any big hits in there? 40% chance of a warning level event ain’t bad Over a foot? None. Like 6-10 inches for DCA? A handful at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, yoda said: Keep the faith everyone! We'll WILL this one home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 hours ago, nj2va said: The CCB is pretty insane on the ICON. If that verifies, Binghamton NY will probably break their all time record they just set last year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I think the 06z NAM was okay... at least looked that way at h5 at 78 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 06z NAM ends at 84h position se GA while 90h 00z GFS was on SC coast. Slower by at least six hours, similar intensity. Not a lot of difference in high positions, both near ALB, both about 1030 mbs. Implications for M/A outcome not all that clear. Lots of time left for possible improvements to track, no time for panic yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 WB 6Z ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Maybe a slight nudge SE on 06z GFS at h5 at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 FWIW, 06z RGEM at 78 h5 was a bit further south compared to 00z 84 h5. 06z h5 84 is in W AL with 1001mb SLP in almost same place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Maybe a slight nudge SE on 06z GFS at h5 at 54 Slightly lower heights in NE Canada at 78... let's see if we get an east nudge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Definitely SE at 84 to these tired eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Slightly lower heights in NE Canada at 78... let's see if we get an east nudgeLooks on top of N Myrtle @84 and E from 00zSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At 90 jumps just South of South Hill vaSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Better track for sure at least... 96 just south of PHL at 988mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks like deform snow at 99 to 102 across the region? Nothing heavy... but definitely snowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks incrementally better, capture is just about over DCA, 500 mb low track has shifted slightly southeast. Good signs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 WB 6Z GFS; slight tick SE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Slight improvements….0Z to 6Z; every 25 mile shift in storm track either way will make a big difference for everyone. 4 days and counting…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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