SnowGolfBro Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Well... 00z EPS also shifted west a tad compared to 18z... but: All 50 of the members give DCA 2" of snow Around 20 members would give DCA WSW criteria snow (5"+) Any big hits in there? 40% chance of a warning level event ain’t bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 24 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Any big hits in there? 40% chance of a warning level event ain’t bad Over a foot? None. Like 6-10 inches for DCA? A handful at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, yoda said: Keep the faith everyone! We'll WILL this one home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 hours ago, nj2va said: The CCB is pretty insane on the ICON. If that verifies, Binghamton NY will probably break their all time record they just set last year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I think the 06z NAM was okay... at least looked that way at h5 at 78 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 06z NAM ends at 84h position se GA while 90h 00z GFS was on SC coast. Slower by at least six hours, similar intensity. Not a lot of difference in high positions, both near ALB, both about 1030 mbs. Implications for M/A outcome not all that clear. Lots of time left for possible improvements to track, no time for panic yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 WB 6Z ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Maybe a slight nudge SE on 06z GFS at h5 at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 FWIW, 06z RGEM at 78 h5 was a bit further south compared to 00z 84 h5. 06z h5 84 is in W AL with 1001mb SLP in almost same place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, yoda said: Maybe a slight nudge SE on 06z GFS at h5 at 54 Slightly lower heights in NE Canada at 78... let's see if we get an east nudge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Definitely SE at 84 to these tired eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Slightly lower heights in NE Canada at 78... let's see if we get an east nudgeLooks on top of N Myrtle @84 and E from 00zSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 At 90 jumps just South of South Hill vaSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Better track for sure at least... 96 just south of PHL at 988mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks like deform snow at 99 to 102 across the region? Nothing heavy... but definitely snowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks incrementally better, capture is just about over DCA, 500 mb low track has shifted slightly southeast. Good signs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 WB 6Z GFS; slight tick SE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Slight improvements….0Z to 6Z; every 25 mile shift in storm track either way will make a big difference for everyone. 4 days and counting…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 May this be the start of a good model run day for us all 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS Thanks Will. Not bad at all. Another tick east and many are happy 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just when you think your out, they pull you back in. Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Just when you think your out, they pull you back in. Haha One thing looks certain..avoid driving on 81 Sunday…clobbered 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Can confirm that the GFS did take a noticeable shift S and E vs 0z...still not there enough to save us, but if you toggle between runs, you can def see it. Hopefully it continues...at this point we need to stop doing the 1 step forward 2 steps back dance. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ens again well east of op. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 wow, only 4 pages to read since i went to bed at 11. oh boy. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, mappy said: wow, only 4 pages to read since i went to bed at 11. oh boy. You know that means Gloom and Doom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, mappy said: wow, only 4 pages to read since i went to bed at 11. oh boy. Just skip over everything until the last page. Last night wasn’t good (at least for east if 81), but hopefully the rest of the day will continue the 6z trend and stop the ledge jumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Latest WPC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 New product I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: You know that means Gloom and Doom Not sure about that. Maybe we're suffering from STF, storm thread fatigue. Nothing wrong with the overnight runs. The guidance is moving the storm more south and east which will be good for everyone but we're still 3.5 days from first flakes. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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