Chris78 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: UKMET is a pretty classic Miller A track. Savannah to Myrtle Beach to (north of) Wilmington to Norfolk to just east of Atlantic City. Interested to see if the Euro follows suit with a UKMET solution. Years ago the UKMET used to foreshadow what the Euro was going to show but not sure that's the case anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, Chris78 said: Interested to see if the Euro follows suit with a UKMET solution. Years ago the UKMET used to foreshadow what the Euro was going to show but not sure that's the case anymore. Yeah, I remember that a while back but it seems lately (at least when I’m paying attention), that’s not how it works now. But we’ll see! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z GEPS did take a significant shift west on low pressure mean track compared to 12Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z GEPS still good hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 While we wait, WB EURO runs since 0Z last night, and at 12Z yesterday afternoon, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z EURO 1am Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z EURO 1pm Sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 looks nice… 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 east of the beltway/95 temp problems at 129 - fine pretty soon into FFX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 east of the beltway/95 temp problems at 129 - fine pretty soon into FFXSo better than gfs. Most important thing is its not suppressed 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 deform comes in at 132/135, adds some nice snow. Still sorta painful in the I-95 zone 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Ill take that as an appetitzer to jan 25 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z precip totals…. GN! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ji said: Ill take that as an appetitzer to jan 25 Somehow we're on the same wavelength about this, lol (except I think if it happens it'll be a couple days earlier on the weekend!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 1am Mon. OZ GFS v 0Z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Nogaps closes the gap. Way west of previous run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Let the sorcery begin, a thousand weather wizards all chanting Quebec high coastal track max the cold confine the warmth. All hail King Euro and Prince Icon. And Baron Ukie. A plague be upon you, GEM and GFS. The wizards of wPA have a much different chant. Off with their heads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Let the sorcery begin, a thousand weather wizards all chanting Quebec high coastal track max the cold confine the warmth. All hail King Euro and Prince Icon. And Baron Ukie. A plague be upon you, GEM and GFS. The wizards of wPA have a much different chant. Off with their heads. Lol u ok dude? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 GFS Analogs #6, #7 and #12 kind of look like the GFS/Canadian this evening, but, hey, winter of 2002-2003 shows up three times, and ... Snowmageddon, and 12/5/03, the last storm that is in the Kocin-Uccellini (2004) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, Chinook said: GFS Analogs #6, #7 and #12 kind of look like the GFS/Canadian this evening, but, hey, winter of 2002-2003 shows up three times, and ... Snowmageddon, and 12/5/03, the last storm that is in the Kocin-Uccellini (2004) yeah we kind of need to watch this system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB 0Z EPS… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 50 mile east shift on the Euro and EPS and we all rejoice... or we just take the UKIE lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Morning AFD from LWX .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Saturday will be the "calm before the storm" during the long term period across our region. A strong 1040+ mb artic high will be building to our north, setting the stage for much colder air. Highs will likely not make it above freezing for most on Saturday, but we should be dry during this period. Elsewhere on Saturday, a winter storm will be brewing over the central Plains and into the southeast. The first key feature will be a very strong Alberta Clipper system that dives out of Canada through the central Plains and into the southeast by Saturday night. The upper low looks to cut off over the southeast Saturday night. Meanwhile, probably the most important piece of the puzzle will be another upper low diving out of central Canada into the Great Lakes region Sunday through Monday morning. For our area, this sets the stage for a potentially high impact winter storm across the region. Surface low pressure will slide across the southeast before transferring energy off the east coast into Sunday night. As is so often the case with these storms, the track, as well as warm air aloft, are going to be key in who gets an all snow event versus who gets a wintry mix and who may even just get a plain cold rain. Guidance is starting to come into at least some agreement that areas west of the I-95 corridor could be in for a high impact winter storm, while the I-95 corridor and areas east still hold some uncertainty. Virtually all guidance at this point is at least agreeing on a strong low moving up the eastern seaboard, it is just a matter of how close it tracks to the coast. Again, as is often the case, 20 miles can make all the difference. Those details will have to be ironed out as we continue to move closer to the event. For now, just be prepared for a potentially high impact winter storm across the area, and check weather.gov/lwx/winter for more updates on the forecast as we get closer to the event. One minor change on this cycle is that the guidance seems to be speeding up in terms of when the low departs. By Monday morning most of the precipitation should be off to our northeast. High pressure then briefly returns through Tuesday, with highs expected to be near seasonal averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 06z ICON looks good to me... those temps though are a bit lol... teens and 20s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Yup! ICON at 6Z, and still snowing… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Note it is still snowing heavily across the region as the deformation band is moving through eastward at 120 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB depictions of 6Z ICON and as pointed out by Yoda not done yet.., 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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