LP08 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Not offer buffalo gets deformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 132 ISW for me on that map. Sure why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, Fozz said: GFS has southern MD surface go from 20°F to 50 in the span of 18 hours. I find that a bit hard to believe. Umm it isn’t. It’s a west track, the high up top goes East and the winds blow off the oceans for hours with southerly flow. You can warm surface temps just as fast as you can cool them 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This is the key feature. Weaken it or slow it, and the storm isn’t coming as far west. Probably weaker though. Just my opinion 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Temp is near 50 in La Plata during the low passage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, snowfan said: That wouldn't be a surprise at all. Maybe, but I'm skeptical. More often than not I've seen the models overdo the scouring out of cold air. But this is a potent system with an overhead track as depicted so who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 We rarely see lows trend west inland then go back SE to the coast/benchmark. I think someone said that earlier, this really could cut. Too many runs/solutions to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: This is the key feature. Weaken it or slow it, and the storm isn’t coming as far west. Probably weaker though. Just my opinion You are all over the place today. Hahahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 the ensembles are always east though so congrats in about 20 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ji said: everyone cheering that ocean storm/50 50 low to move so quickly.Congrats! Remember PSU when he said the other day that we needed it to move away but not too slowly yet not too quickly either...and here we go, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, MN Transplant said: Temp is near 50 in La Plata during the low passage. Good for some instability and spin ups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Temp is near 50 in La Plata during the low passage. Yea its an ugly op run. No other way to slice it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Pretty wild. Not one GEFS member showed this solution at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: ISW for me on that map. Sure why not ISW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Never gets below above freezing in CHO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, H2O said: You are all over the place today. Hahahaha I don’t think so lol. Been talking about it since this morning. The ne low moving out is letting it come north but I think that feature circled is what’s pulling it west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is the key feature. Weaken it or slow it, and the storm isn’t coming as far west. Probably weaker though. Just my opinion You don't have anything attached to this post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just blend the GFS and ICON....thats my in house ensemble. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Never gets below freezing in CHO ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 ISW?Ice Storm WarningSent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Never gets below freezing in CHO Need you to go to Jamaica please. It hasn’t snowed well since you came back. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: ISW? Ice Storm Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: ? haha, above. mistype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: You don't have anything attached to this post. I edited it. Let me know if it’s still not showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 GFS with an insane jet at 850. Winds screaming off the ocean like that will warm you up quick no matter what. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Seriously though, it looks like the difference from 12z is like 25 miles??? Not sure why the reaction is this. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I edited it. Let me know if it’s still not showing Yep, good now. I fully agree, thats the feature I'm focusing on post hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Seriously though, it looks like the difference from 12z is like 25 miles??? Not sure why the reaction is this. Hi, welcome to the Mid-Atlantic forum where the tides turn on a dime. Are you new here? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Seriously though, it looks like the difference from 12z is like 25 miles??? Not sure why the reaction is this. Probably because people feel that there's no going back to a further east track. I'd still give it until Thursday or Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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