clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said: I was originally planning on going to Massanutten near Harrisonburg to ski on Sunday (6-10) was looking likely there until now.... Now I'm contemplating going to the Homestead in Bath county instead. Bath county looks like maybe one of the few places in Virginia to see a "mostly clean" snowstorm? Thoughts? Thanks in advance! If you are going to go all the way to Bath just go the extra hour to Snowshoe. They are going to get pummeled with backside fluff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, GATECH said: DT refuses to cave….LOL, guess he didn’t see the gfs or he did see it, and decided to toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: If you are going to go all the way to Bath just go the extra hour to Snowshoe. They are going to get pummeled with backside fluff. They are sold out of lift tickets for the weekend and I'm looking to avoid all that holiday weekend traffic on slopes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: There's still one rather insignificant model that hasn't caved yet NAVGAP still offshore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, GATECH said: DT refuses to cave….LOL, guess he didn’t see the gfs what a doofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 or he did see it, and decided to toss it.he’s running the DT model at this point - no OP guidance from the last day shows quite what he’s showing — those upper end totals are gonna be tough to hit. Not to say it’s wrong and I admire the boldness I suppose, but… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, GATECH said: DT refuses to cave….LOL, guess he didn’t see the gfs He never does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, GATECH said: DT refuses to cave….LOL, guess he didn’t see the gfs Just now, Imgoinhungry said: what a doofus His map FROM 8 MINUTES AGO! Ji gets 10 and I get 11-15. Bwahahahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, mdhokie said: snow flurries in deep creek, maybe thats a good sign Just got here. 25 and SN-…it was graupel in Cumberland when we stopped at Chik Fil A and Sheetz and basically SN- from the county line to here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Just got here. 25 and SN-…it was graupel in Cumberland when we stopped at Chik Fil A and Sheetz and basically SN- from the county line to here. I’m down in Davis, 23 and light snow. Ridges have decent ice build. Light freezing rain at 24 degrees made the drive in on 48 pretty dicey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: His map FROM 8 MINUTES AGO! Ji gets 10 and I get 11-15. Bwahahahaha! Captain DT always goes down with his ship. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Just got here. 25 and SN-…it was graupel in Cumberland when we stopped at Chik Fil A and Sheetz and basically SN- from the county line to here. Enjoy man. I am seriously contemplating chasing this from Winchester. Maybe out by Jon Jon. Or Parsons. They are going to get mauled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: he’s running the DT model at this point - no OP guidance from the last day shows quite what he’s showing — those upper end totals are gonna be tough to hit. Not to say it’s wrong and I admire the boldness I suppose, but… He hasn't done well at all this year. Way under, and way over for the last 2 storms, but he used to do really well with his maps. Back in 2013-2015, he was often forecasting way higher than anyone else and was pretty accurate most of the time. Here's to hoping he might have a magical DT model and get this one right! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, chris21 said: I’m down in Davis, 23 and light snow. Ridges have decent ice build. Light freezing rain at 24 degrees made the drive in on 48 pretty dicey. Nice man, enjoy the storm. I’m starting to think the mountains will get more snow Monday AM into Tuesday AM from upslope than the WAA portion. That strong of a LP with the NW winds will really crank the upslope. Regardless should be a fun Sunday and Monday. Glad you got there safely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 I want to clarify something. I know that the snow looks to be changing to more sleet and warm up to rain west of DC, but the ground will still be considerably cold for this. How significant will the sleet and freezing rain be in the I-95 corridor? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 20 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: His map FROM 8 MINUTES AGO! Ji gets 10 and I get 11-15. Bwahahahaha! Lol. Hagerstown in the 11 to 16?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDphotog Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Lol. Hagerstown in the 11 to 16?? Don’t forget the “significant ice” as well. It’s going to be epic up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Cold air is always slow to move in and fast to move out. Models have temps in the mid to upper 20s in northern MD and southern PA right now and it’s still 32-34. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Cold air is always slow to move in and fast to move out. Models have temps in the mid to upper 20s in northern MD and southern PA right now and it’s still 32-34. cold air is not fast to move out? Models always under do CAD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Euro snow map? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 1 inch of marginal snow overnight and then a little slop followed by a few hours of rain. Final call. Hope the rain washes away any trace of frozen to avoid having to shovel. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 45 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: There's still one rather insignificant model that hasn't caved yet Doesn’t matter. Many here never see a positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Yeah. Euro map? What’s the alternative to the GFS dumpster fire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: cold air is not fast to move out? Models always under do CAD We are going from teens to rain in 18hrs ya it’s fast to move out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: Nice man, enjoy the storm. I’m starting to think the mountains will get more snow Monday AM into Tuesday AM from upslope than the WAA portion. That strong of a LP with the NW winds will really crank the upslope. Regardless should be a fun Sunday and Monday. Glad you got there safely. Thanks man. We’ll be interesting to see the differences between davis and deep creek. Pretty wide variety of possibilities still at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Like a rock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Do you have the entire state of va? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 DC flips just before 7 looking at the soundings….and ~0.3” QPF falls by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 15, 2022 Share Posted January 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Jackpot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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